比特币 (BTC) 价格预测：随着 Delta 梯度转为负值，比特币 (BTC) 会跌破 60,000 美元吗？

如果比特币的价格走势与历史模式相符，那么它的价格将低于过去几天的水平。简而言之，这种预计的下降可能会持续一两个月。

If Bitcoin’s [BTC] price action follows historical patterns, it could soon drop lower than it has in recent days. This projected decline could last a month or two, according to a recent analysis by AMBCrypto.

如果比特币的价格走势遵循历史模式，它可能很快就会跌至最近几天的水平。根据 AMBCrypto 最近的分析，这种预计的下降可能会持续一两个月。

One key metric that aligns with this prediction is the Delta Gradient, which measures the relative change in momentum against the true organic capital of a cryptocurrency. When the gradient is positive, it typically indicates an uptrend, which can last 28 to 60 days.

与这一预测相符的一个关键指标是 Delta 梯度，它衡量动量相对于加密货币真实有机资本的相对变化。当梯度为正时，通常表明上升趋势，可持续 28 至 60 天。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s downtrend was -2.34, indicating a negative reading. This suggests that the price may continue to experience a downtrend, which could last a similar duration.

截至撰写本文时，比特币的下跌趋势为-2.34，表明读数为负。这表明价格可能会继续经历下降趋势，并持续类似的持续时间。

According to AMBCrypto’s analysis, BTC was trading at $61,062, with a 4.96% decrease in the last seven days. If the Delta Gradient continues to drop, Bitcoin’s price could fall below $60,000, as it did recently.

根据 AMBCrypto 的分析，BTC 交易价格为 61,062 美元，过去 7 天下跌 4.96%。如果 Delta 梯度继续下降，比特币的价格可能会跌破 60,000 美元，就像最近那样。

This analysis also aligns with Bitcoin’s response to the period when the Realized Price rose above the spot value. Additionally, the Network Realized Profit/Loss was examined.

这一分析也与比特币对实现价格高于现货价值期间的反应一致。此外，还检查了网络已实现损益。

This metric showcases the value of transactions that have realized a profit or loss recently. A positive reading of the metric indicates high profit-taking, which could lead to lower prices.

该指标显示最近实现盈利或亏损的交易价值。该指标的正值表明获利了结程度较高，这可能导致价格下跌。

However, if the metric is negative, it suggests a surge in realized losses, which, if intense, may indicate an upcoming rise in price.

然而，如果该指标为负，则表明已实现损失激增，如果损失剧烈，可能表明价格即将上涨。

According to the analysis, Bitcoin’s Network Realized Profit/Loss was -1.92 million, indicating that a大部分 of the transactions on-chain ended in losses.

据分析，比特币网络已实现盈亏为-192万，表明链上交易大部分以亏损告终。

Typically, this decline is expected to foreshadow a price increase. However, due to the dwindling activity on Bitcoin’s network, this may not be the case.

通常，这种下降预计预示着价格上涨。然而，由于比特币网络上的活动减少，情况可能并非如此。

At the time of writing, the 24-hour Active Addresses had dropped to 694,000, down from almost one million a few days ago. Active addresses is a measure of user activity.

截至撰写本文时，24 小时活跃地址已从几天前的近 100 万个降至 694,000 个。活跃地址是用户活动的衡量标准。

When it decreases, as it has recently, it indicates that market participants are not interacting with BTC at a high level, which could lead to a significant decline in demand for the coin.

当它下降时，就像最近发生的那样，表明市场参与者没有与 BTC 进行高水平的互动，这可能会导致对该代币的需求大幅下降。

Despite this analysis, others, such as analyst Michael van de Poppe, believe that BTC’s correction might be coming to an end, highlighting a good week for the coin.

尽管有这样的分析，但分析师 Michael van de Poppe 等其他人认为 BTC 的调整可能即将结束，这凸显了该代币的美好一周。