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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣(BTC)價格預測:BTC可以在$ 90,00上破損或面部阻力嗎?

2025/05/03 04:45

比特幣從4月份的75,000美元低點開始的強大集會可能有可能停頓,因為92,000美元至98,00美元的電阻樂隊具有強勁的態度。

比特幣(BTC)價格預測:BTC可以在$ 90,00上破損或面部阻力嗎?

Bitcoin’s strong rally from April’s $75,000 low might be at the risk of a halt as the $92,000-$98,000 resistance band stands strong.

比特幣從四月的75,000美元低點開始的強大集會可能會停止,因為$ 92,000- $ 98,000的電阻樂隊強勁。

Popular market analyst Capo of Crypto warns that the current levels may represent a local top and possible “LTF distribution.”

Crypto的流行市場分析師CAPO警告說,當前水平可能代表本地頂部和可能的“ LTF分佈”。

“Above $92k-93k → Bullish, but strong resistance at $96k-98k. Below $92k → Bearish,”

“超過$ 92k-93k→看漲,但強勁的抵抗力為$ 96K-98K。低於$ 92K→看跌,”

According to Glassnode, long-term holders (LTHs), defined as those who have held BTC for more than 155 days, are approaching a critical profitability threshold.

根據GlassNode的說法,定義為持有BTC超過155天的長期持有人(LTHS)正在接近關鍵的盈利能力閾值。

The latest report shows that the average unrealized profit for these holders will hit approximately 350% if BTC reaches $99,900. This level is historically linked to large-scale distribution events where holders sell.

最新報告顯示,如果BTC達到99,900美元,這些持有人的平均未實現利潤將達到約350%。此水平在歷史上與持有人出售的大規模分銷活動有關。

“Average unrealized profit for long-term holders (LTH; coin age > 155 days) will reach ~350% at $99,900. This level is historically linked to large-scale distribution events, where LTHs tend to sell a significant portion of their holdings.”

“長期持有人的平均未實現利潤(LTH;硬幣年齡> 155天)將達到〜350%,至99,900美元。這一水平與大規模的分銷事件有關,LTH傾向於出售其大部分持股。”

Notably, LTH supply has increased by 254,000 BTC over the last two months. Despite their reputation for diamond hands, LTHs have shown a clear tendency to take profits near macro tops, as seen during rallies in 2021 and 2023.

值得注意的是,在過去兩個月中,LTH供應量增加了254,000 BTC。儘管在鑽石之手上享有聲譽,但在2021年和2023年的集會上可以看出,在宏觀頂部附近獲得利潤的明顯趨勢。

The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio on Binance recently spiked to 1.142, the highest level in its current range.

Taker的Binance買賣比最近飆升至1.142,這是當前範圍內的最高水平。

This indicates that market participants are aggressively buying at market price, not waiting for dips; a clear sign of bullish FOMO.

這表明市場參與者正在以市場價格積極購買,而不是等待下降。看漲的明顯跡象。

Furthermore, a sharp $200 million BTC outflow from exchanges (as per the Whales Screener) coincided with Bitcoin breaking through $96,000.

此外,從交易所(根據鯨魚篩選器)出發的2億美元BTC流出,比特幣破裂了96,000美元。

This withdrawal, typically interpreted as whales moving coins into cold storage, reflects confidence and reduces immediate sell pressure on exchanges.

這種戒斷通常被解釋為將硬幣移至冷藏中的鯨魚,反映了信心並減少了對交流的立即銷售壓力。

The Bollinger Bands (BB) show BTC pushing the upper band near $100,000, signaling overbought conditions but also strong upward momentum.

Bollinger樂隊(BB)顯示BTC將上層帶推近100,000美元,這標誌著過度買的條件,但也向上勢頭強勁。

Mid-BB support rests near $90,000, which aligns with Capo’s short-term bearish invalidation zone. If price retraces to this area, the reaction will be critical.

中型BB支撐架的餘額接近90,000美元,與Capo的短期看跌無效區保持一致。如果價格回溯到該區域,則反應將是至關重要的。

Also, the RSI (14-day) sits at 69.66, teetering on overbought. Historically, Bitcoin can push well above 70 in parabolic rallies, but it also suggests a pullback could follow if bulls lose momentum.

此外,RSI(14天)的位置為69.66,搖搖欲墜。從歷史上看,比特幣可以在拋物線集會上推高超過70,但這也表明,如果公牛失去動力,則可能會回馬。

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