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加密货币新闻

比特币(BTC)价格预测:BTC可以在$ 90,00上破损或面部阻力吗?

2025/05/03 04:45

比特币从4月份的75,000美元低点开始的强大集会可能有可能停顿,因为92,000美元至98,00美元的电阻乐队具有强劲的态度。

比特币(BTC)价格预测:BTC可以在$ 90,00上破损或面部阻力吗?

Bitcoin’s strong rally from April’s $75,000 low might be at the risk of a halt as the $92,000-$98,000 resistance band stands strong.

比特币从四月的75,000美元低点开始的强大集会可能会停止,因为$ 92,000- $ 98,000的电阻乐队强劲。

Popular market analyst Capo of Crypto warns that the current levels may represent a local top and possible “LTF distribution.”

Crypto的流行市场分析师CAPO警告说,当前水平可能代表本地顶部和可能的“ LTF分布”。

“Above $92k-93k → Bullish, but strong resistance at $96k-98k. Below $92k → Bearish,”

“超过$ 92k-93k→看涨,但强劲的抵抗力为$ 96K-98K。低于$ 92K→看跌,”

According to Glassnode, long-term holders (LTHs), defined as those who have held BTC for more than 155 days, are approaching a critical profitability threshold.

根据GlassNode的说法,定义为持有BTC超过155天的长期持有人(LTHS)正在接近关键的盈利能力阈值。

The latest report shows that the average unrealized profit for these holders will hit approximately 350% if BTC reaches $99,900. This level is historically linked to large-scale distribution events where holders sell.

最新报告显示,如果BTC达到99,900美元,这些持有人的平均未实现利润将达到约350%。此水平在历史上与持有人出售的大规模分销活动有关。

“Average unrealized profit for long-term holders (LTH; coin age > 155 days) will reach ~350% at $99,900. This level is historically linked to large-scale distribution events, where LTHs tend to sell a significant portion of their holdings.”

“长期持有人的平均未实现利润(LTH;硬币年龄> 155天)将达到〜350%,至99,900美元。这一水平与大规模的分销事件有关,LTH倾向于出售其大部分持股。”

Notably, LTH supply has increased by 254,000 BTC over the last two months. Despite their reputation for diamond hands, LTHs have shown a clear tendency to take profits near macro tops, as seen during rallies in 2021 and 2023.

值得注意的是,在过去两个月中,LTH供应量增加了254,000 BTC。尽管在钻石之手上享有声誉,但在2021年和2023年的集会上可以看出,在宏观顶部附近获得利润的明显趋势。

The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio on Binance recently spiked to 1.142, the highest level in its current range.

Taker的Binance的买卖比最近飙升至1.142,这是当前范围内的最高水平。

This indicates that market participants are aggressively buying at market price, not waiting for dips; a clear sign of bullish FOMO.

这表明市场参与者正在以市场价格积极购买,而不是等待下降。看涨的明显迹象。

Furthermore, a sharp $200 million BTC outflow from exchanges (as per the Whales Screener) coincided with Bitcoin breaking through $96,000.

此外,从交易所(根据鲸鱼筛选器)出发的2亿美元BTC流出,比特币破裂了96,000美元。

This withdrawal, typically interpreted as whales moving coins into cold storage, reflects confidence and reduces immediate sell pressure on exchanges.

这种戒断通常被解释为将硬币移至冷藏中的鲸鱼,反映了信心并减少了对交流的立即销售压力。

The Bollinger Bands (BB) show BTC pushing the upper band near $100,000, signaling overbought conditions but also strong upward momentum.

Bollinger乐队(BB)显示BTC将上层带推近100,000美元,这标志着过度买的条件,但也向上势头强劲。

Mid-BB support rests near $90,000, which aligns with Capo’s short-term bearish invalidation zone. If price retraces to this area, the reaction will be critical.

中型BB支撑架的余额接近90,000美元,与Capo的短期看跌无效区保持一致。如果价格回溯到该区域,则反应将是至关重要的。

Also, the RSI (14-day) sits at 69.66, teetering on overbought. Historically, Bitcoin can push well above 70 in parabolic rallies, but it also suggests a pullback could follow if bulls lose momentum.

此外,RSI(14天)的位置为69.66,摇摇欲坠。从历史上看,比特币可以在抛物线集会中推高超过70,但这也表明,如果公牛失去动力,则可能会回落。

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