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在四月份的低於$ 90k的水平飆升之後,今天的比特幣價格徘徊在104,000美元左右,顯示出耗盡跡象,略低於105,000美元的電阻區。
After surging from sub-$90K levels in April, the Bitcoin price today is hovering around $104,000, showing signs of exhaustion just below the $105,000 resistance zone. On the daily chart, BTC has moved into a crucial supply area that previously triggered sharp rejections, suggesting buyers are becoming cautious.
在四月份的低於$ 90k的水平飆升之後,今天的比特幣價格徘徊在104,000美元左右,顯示出耗盡跡象,略低於105,000美元的電阻區。在每日圖表上,BTC已搬到一個關鍵的供應區域,該供應區以前引發了急劇的拒絕,這表明買家正在變得謹慎。
The rally that began with a breakout above $95,000 now faces key resistance between $104,000 and $106,000, a zone marked by multiple historical rejections. At the time of writing, Bitcoin price trades with mild intraday losses, showing -0.1% on the day and a potential pause after a strong weekly move.
集會始於超過95,000美元的突破,現在面臨著104,000美元至106,000美元的關鍵阻力,這一區域以多次歷史拒絕為標誌。在撰寫本文時,比特幣價格以輕微的盤中損失的價格交易,當天為-0.1%,每週一次強勁的搬遷後潛在的暫停。
Bitcoin Price Action Near-Term: Key Indicators Show Divergence
比特幣價格動作近期:關鍵指標顯示差異
On the 30-minute chart, BTC remains in an elevated structure but is trading sideways with a flattening bias. The RSI is currently at 47.5 — just below the neutral 50 mark — signaling a loss in bullish momentum.
在30分鐘的圖表上,BTC仍處於較高的結構中,但側向交易的偏差呈扁平。 RSI目前為47.5(低於中性50分),這表明了看漲勢頭的損失。
Meanwhile, the MACD histogram is narrowing and nearing the zero line, indicating waning momentum. This aligns with the sideways movement seen since May 10. Bollinger Bands are compressing around the $104K zone, a common precursor to a breakout. However, the candles are showing smaller body formations, reinforcing the lack of directional conviction. This increases the probability of a volatility event over the next 24 hours.
同時,MACD直方圖正在縮小並接近零線,表明勢頭減弱。這與自5月10日以來所看到的側向運動保持一致。布林樂隊在$ 104K的區域周圍壓縮,這是突破的常見前體。但是,蠟燭顯示出較小的身體形成,增強了缺乏方向性的信念。這增加了接下來24小時內波動率事件的概率。
In addition, the Ichimoku Cloud on the 4H timeframe shows BTC trading above the cloud, with flat Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen lines — a classic signal of trend pause. If Bitcoin price volatility expands, the next breakout could be rapid.
此外,4H時間範圍內的Ichimoku雲顯示了BTC在雲上方的交易,其平坦的Tenkan-Sen和Kijun-Sen線條是趨勢停頓的經典信號。如果比特幣價格波動率擴大,下一個突破可能會很快。
Why Bitcoin Price Going Down/Up Today: Battle at $105K Defines Outlook
為什麼比特幣的價格下跌/今天上漲:$ 105K的戰鬥定義了Outlook
The price remains caught between a short-term consolidation phase and a strong macro uptrend. The 30-minute chart shows a tight range forming between $103,800 support and $104,800 resistance, with neither bulls nor bears showing full control.
在短期合併階段和強大的宏觀上升趨勢之間,價格仍然存在。 30分鐘的圖表顯示,範圍很緊,在$ 103,800的支撐範圍內,電阻介於104,800美元之間,既沒有公牛也沒有熊表現出完全控制。
Bitcoin price spikes earlier in the week were triggered by a clean triangle breakout above $101K, but recent candles have failed to close convincingly above $104.5K. Trendline breaks and volume signals on the intraday chart suggest a possible minor correction if $103.5K fails to hold.
本週早些時候的比特幣價格峰值是由超過$ 101K的干淨三角突破引發的,但最近的蠟燭未能令人信服地超過104.5k美元。潮流圖中的趨勢線斷裂和室內圖表中的音量信號表明,如果$ 103.5K無法持有,則可能進行較小的校正。
That said, there is no clear reversal pattern yet. The underlying structure still favors buyers above the 200 EMA, which sits near $97,400 on the 4-hour chart. A failure to break above $105K could trigger a test of the $102,500–$103,200 support band.
也就是說,還沒有明顯的逆轉模式。基礎結構仍然有利於200 EMA以上的買家,在4小時圖表上,該建築物的價格在$ 97,400。未能超過$ 105K的破損可能會觸發102,500- $ 103,200支持樂隊的測試。
Bitcoin Price Forecast for May 13
5月13日的比特幣價格預測
Looking ahead, if bulls push Bitcoin price above $105,200 with volume confirmation, the next resistance lies at $107,500 and then $110,000. A decisive breakout from this area could invite fresh long positions.
展望未來,如果公牛將比特幣的價格推高105,200美元,並確認了數量,則下一個阻力為107,500美元,然後是110,000美元。該區域的決定性突破可以邀請新的長位置。
On the downside, if Bitcoin price today loses the $103,000 handle, a retracement toward $101,500 and the prior breakout zone at $99,000 becomes likely. Key support for bulls to defend remains the $100K psychological level, which also aligns with multiple EMAs and Ichimoku support.
不利的一面是,如果今天的比特幣價格損失了103,000美元的手柄,將回溯到101,500美元,而先前的突破區則可能會達到99,000美元。為公牛隊捍衛公牛的主要支持仍然是10萬美元的心理水平,這也與多個EMA和Ichimoku的支持保持一致。
With indicators like Stoch RSI showing over sold levels on the 4-hour chart and MACD flattening, Bitcoin appears ready for a directional move — traders should monitor volume closely for confirmation of breakout or breakdown.
隨著諸如Stoch RSI之類的指標顯示在4小時圖表上的售出水平和MACD變平上,比特幣似乎可以進行方向移動 - 交易者應密切監視量以確認突破或分解。
BTC Technical Forecast Table: May 13
BTC技術預測表:5月13日
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