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在四月份的低于$ 90k的水平飙升之后,今天的比特币价格徘徊在104,000美元左右,显示出耗尽迹象,略低于105,000美元的电阻区。
After surging from sub-$90K levels in April, the Bitcoin price today is hovering around $104,000, showing signs of exhaustion just below the $105,000 resistance zone. On the daily chart, BTC has moved into a crucial supply area that previously triggered sharp rejections, suggesting buyers are becoming cautious.
在四月份的低于$ 90k的水平飙升之后,今天的比特币价格徘徊在104,000美元左右,显示出耗尽迹象,略低于105,000美元的电阻区。在每日图表上,BTC已搬到一个关键的供应区域,该供应区以前引发了急剧的拒绝,这表明买家正在变得谨慎。
The rally that began with a breakout above $95,000 now faces key resistance between $104,000 and $106,000, a zone marked by multiple historical rejections. At the time of writing, Bitcoin price trades with mild intraday losses, showing -0.1% on the day and a potential pause after a strong weekly move.
集会始于超过95,000美元的突破,现在面临着104,000美元至106,000美元的关键阻力,这一区域以多次历史拒绝为标志。在撰写本文时,比特币价格以轻微的盘中损失的价格交易,当天为-0.1%,每周一次强劲的搬迁后潜在的暂停。
Bitcoin Price Action Near-Term: Key Indicators Show Divergence
比特币价格动作近期:关键指标显示差异
On the 30-minute chart, BTC remains in an elevated structure but is trading sideways with a flattening bias. The RSI is currently at 47.5 — just below the neutral 50 mark — signaling a loss in bullish momentum.
在30分钟的图表上,BTC仍处于较高的结构中,但侧向交易的偏差呈扁平。 RSI目前为47.5(低于中性50分),这表明了看涨势头的损失。
Meanwhile, the MACD histogram is narrowing and nearing the zero line, indicating waning momentum. This aligns with the sideways movement seen since May 10. Bollinger Bands are compressing around the $104K zone, a common precursor to a breakout. However, the candles are showing smaller body formations, reinforcing the lack of directional conviction. This increases the probability of a volatility event over the next 24 hours.
同时,MACD直方图正在缩小并接近零线,表明势头减弱。这与自5月10日以来所看到的侧向运动保持一致。布林乐队在$ 104K的区域周围压缩,这是突破的常见前体。但是,蜡烛显示出较小的身体形成,增强了缺乏方向性的信念。这增加了接下来24小时内波动率事件的概率。
In addition, the Ichimoku Cloud on the 4H timeframe shows BTC trading above the cloud, with flat Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen lines — a classic signal of trend pause. If Bitcoin price volatility expands, the next breakout could be rapid.
此外,4H时间范围内的Ichimoku云显示了BTC在云上方的交易,其平坦的Tenkan-Sen和Kijun-Sen线条是趋势停顿的经典信号。如果比特币价格波动率扩大,下一个突破可能会很快。
Why Bitcoin Price Going Down/Up Today: Battle at $105K Defines Outlook
为什么比特币的价格下跌/今天上涨:$ 105K的战斗定义了Outlook
The price remains caught between a short-term consolidation phase and a strong macro uptrend. The 30-minute chart shows a tight range forming between $103,800 support and $104,800 resistance, with neither bulls nor bears showing full control.
在短期合并阶段和强大的宏观上升趋势之间,价格仍然存在。 30分钟的图表显示,范围很紧,在$ 103,800的支撑范围内,电阻介于104,800美元之间,既没有公牛也没有熊表现出完全控制。
Bitcoin price spikes earlier in the week were triggered by a clean triangle breakout above $101K, but recent candles have failed to close convincingly above $104.5K. Trendline breaks and volume signals on the intraday chart suggest a possible minor correction if $103.5K fails to hold.
本周早些时候的比特币价格峰值是由超过$ 101K的干净三角突破引发的,但最近的蜡烛未能令人信服地超过104.5k美元。潮流图中的趋势线断裂和室内图表中的音量信号表明,如果$ 103.5K无法持有,则可能进行较小的校正。
That said, there is no clear reversal pattern yet. The underlying structure still favors buyers above the 200 EMA, which sits near $97,400 on the 4-hour chart. A failure to break above $105K could trigger a test of the $102,500–$103,200 support band.
也就是说,还没有明显的逆转模式。基础结构仍然有利于200 EMA以上的买家,在4小时图表上,该建筑物的价格在$ 97,400。未能超过$ 105K的破损可能会触发102,500- $ 103,200支持乐队的测试。
Bitcoin Price Forecast for May 13
5月13日的比特币价格预测
Looking ahead, if bulls push Bitcoin price above $105,200 with volume confirmation, the next resistance lies at $107,500 and then $110,000. A decisive breakout from this area could invite fresh long positions.
展望未来,如果公牛将比特币的价格推高105,200美元,并确认了数量,则下一个阻力为107,500美元,然后是110,000美元。该区域的决定性突破可以邀请新的长位置。
On the downside, if Bitcoin price today loses the $103,000 handle, a retracement toward $101,500 and the prior breakout zone at $99,000 becomes likely. Key support for bulls to defend remains the $100K psychological level, which also aligns with multiple EMAs and Ichimoku support.
不利的一面是,如果今天的比特币价格损失了103,000美元的手柄,将回溯到101,500美元,而先前的突破区则可能会达到99,000美元。为公牛队捍卫公牛的主要支持仍然是10万美元的心理水平,这也与多个EMA和Ichimoku的支持保持一致。
With indicators like Stoch RSI showing over sold levels on the 4-hour chart and MACD flattening, Bitcoin appears ready for a directional move — traders should monitor volume closely for confirmation of breakout or breakdown.
随着诸如Stoch RSI之类的指标显示在4小时图表上的售出水平和MACD变平上,比特币似乎可以进行方向移动 - 交易者应密切监视量以确认突破或分解。
BTC Technical Forecast Table: May 13
BTC技术预测表:5月13日
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