比特幣（BTC）的價格與2024年10月的流星上升之前相同

比特幣的主要技術指標表現出與2024年10月加密貨幣開始迅速升高的模式相同的模式。

Bitcoin (BTC) narrowly missed a crucial price level and technical breakout as the market eagerly anticipates key U.S. macroeconomic data.

比特幣（BTC）勉強錯過了至關重要的價格水平和技術突破，因為市場急切地預期了美國關鍵的美國宏觀經濟數據。

The main cryptocurrency nearly reached the $106,000 mark following a recent surge in price, catching the attention of many traders.

在最近的價格上漲之後，主要的加密貨幣幾乎達到了106,000美元，引起了許多交易者的關注。

As the market prepares for the release of two important indicators of U.S. inflation—Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI)—for April, which may influence the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions, Bitcoin encountered resistance at a technical zone.

當市場準備發布美國通貨膨脹的兩個重要指標（CPI指數（CPI）和生產商價格指數（PPI））時，這可能會影響美聯儲的利率決策，因此在技術區遇到了比特幣的抵抗力。

As reported by The Kobeissi Letter, news of a trade deal between the U.S. and China also caused sharp fluctuations in the crypto market over the weekend.

正如Kobeissi信的報導，美國和中國之間的貿易協議的消息在周末也引起了加密市場的急劇波動。

“We have yet to receive a statement from Trump regarding the U.S.-China trade deal, which explains why markets are only up 1.3% on the back of this otherwise incredibly positive news,” noted analysts at The Kobeissi Letter.

“我們尚未收到特朗普關於美國 - 中國貿易協議的聲明，這解釋了為什麼市場僅比這個原本令人難以置信的積極新聞的背面增長了1.3％，” Kobeissi信中指出。

The new week will bring the publication of two key indicators of U.S. inflation Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI) for April. These data may have a significant impact on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.

新的一周將為美國通貨膨脹率指數（CPI）和4月的生產商價格指數（PPI）的兩個關鍵指標發布。這些數據可能會對美聯儲的利率決策產生重大影響。

At the same time, markets are tense over U.S. trade policy. News of a trade deal with China has already caused sharp swings in the crypto market over the weekend.

同時，市場對美國貿易政策持緊張關係。與中國達成的貿易協議的消息已經在周末引起了加密貨幣市場的急劇波動。

"We have yet to receive a direct statement from Trump regarding the U.S.-China trade deal, which explains why markets are only up 1.3% on the back of this otherwise incredibly positive news. Uncertainty is still present everywhere."

“我們尚未收到特朗普關於美中貿易協議的直接聲明，這解釋了為什麼市場僅比這個原本令人難以置信的積極新聞的背後增長了1.3％。不確定性仍然存在。”

The situation is about to get seriously volatile for BTC. Price spikes down, price spikes up. As the lower time frames get clocked, the market is going to try to break this coin out of its consolidation

對於BTC而言，這種情況即將變得嚴重波動。價格下降，價格上漲。隨著較低的時間範圍的計時，市場將試圖從其合併中淘汰這枚硬幣

According to CoinGlass, the $106,000 level represents a key resistance zone on the short-term horizon.

根據Coinglass的說法，106,000美元的水平代表了短期視野上的關鍵阻力區。

Map of Bitcoin position liquidations on the Binance crypto exchange. Source: Coinglass

比特幣位置清算在Binance Crypto交換上的地圖。資料來源：小店

The proportion of Bitcoin supply in profit has reached more than 98%, a phenomenon rarely seen before, according to a new study by blockchain analytics firm ChainGlass.

根據區塊鏈分析公司Chainglass的一項新研究，比特幣供應利潤的比例已達到98％以上，這是以前很少見到的。

"When the supply of BTC in loss falls to the 0-2% range, it usually coincides with the late stages of a bull market," stated CryptoQuant analyst Kripto Mevsimi. "As shown in the chart, these moments cluster near tops, an area often characterized by overconfidence."

隱秘分析師Kripto Mevsimi說：“當損失中BTC的供應達到0-2％的範圍時，它通常與牛市的晚期相吻合。” “如圖所示，這些時刻的聚集在頂部附近，這個區域通常以過度自信為特徵。”

Bitcoin supply is in a loss range of 0-2%. Source: CryptoQuant

比特幣供應範圍為0-2％。資料來源：加密

Long-term holders who have held Bitcoin for at least six months may see a return to six-figure prices as an opportunity to reduce their Bitcoin positions. Beginners and speculators, on the other hand, may be planning to enter the market now.

持有比特幣至少六個月的長期持有人可能會看到六位數的價格回報，這是減少比特幣頭寸的機會。另一方面，初學者和投機者可能正在計劃現在進入市場。

Interestingly, despite the $104,000 price, the market is showing less "greed" than when Bitcoin was 10% cheaper. This could be an additional factor supporting BTC's continued growth.

有趣的是，儘管價格為104,000美元，但市場表現出的“貪婪”少於比特幣便宜10％時。這可能是支持BTC持續增長的另一個因素。

The latest data from the Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index shows that while "greed" characterizes the overall sentiment, the initial spike to $94,000 on April 23 yielded a higher reading.

來自加密貨幣恐懼和貪婪指數中的最新數據表明，儘管“貪婪”以總體情緒為特徵，但4月23日的最初峰值達到了94,000美元，卻產生了更高的閱讀。

This is contrary to the usual reaction of retail investors, who usually show increased interest when prices rise. Analysis of "Bitcoin" query volumes on Google Trends also indicates a lack of significant interest from mainstream retail investors.

這與散戶投資者的通常反應相反，散戶投資者通常在價格上漲時表現出興趣增加。對Google趨勢的“比特幣”查詢量的分析也表明，主流零售投資者缺乏興趣。

"Google search queries for 'Bitcoin' are close to a five-year low. The price is above 100k. Retail investors have not even begun to really come back since 2020."

“ Google搜索'比特幣'的搜索查詢接近五年低點。價格高於100k。零售投資者甚至從2020年以來就沒有真正回來。”

With current technical cues persisting and a relatively "cool" market sentiment, Bitcoin has a rare opportunity for sustained upside without the typical signs of overheating. The weekly MACD and the approach to the key $104,500 resistance level form an intriguing picture for the major cryptocurrency.

由於當前的技術提示持續存在，並且相對“酷”的市場情緒，比特幣在沒有典型的過熱跡象的情況下，有難得的持續上升空間。每週MACD和關鍵$ 104,500電阻水平的方法構成了主要加密貨幣的有趣情況。