比特币（BTC）的价格与2024年10月的流星上升之前相同

比特币的主要技术指标表现出与2024年10月加密货币开始迅速升高的模式相同的模式。

Bitcoin (BTC) narrowly missed a crucial price level and technical breakout as the market eagerly anticipates key U.S. macroeconomic data.

比特币（BTC）勉强错过了至关重要的价格水平和技术突破，因为市场急切地预期了美国关键的美国宏观经济数据。

The main cryptocurrency nearly reached the $106,000 mark following a recent surge in price, catching the attention of many traders.

在最近的价格上涨之后，主要的加密货币几乎达到了106,000美元，引起了许多交易者的关注。

As the market prepares for the release of two important indicators of U.S. inflation—Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI)—for April, which may influence the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions, Bitcoin encountered resistance at a technical zone.

当市场准备发布美国通货膨胀的两个重要指标（CPI指数（CPI）和生产商价格指数（PPI））时，这可能会影响美联储的利率决策，因此在技术区遇到了比特币的抵抗力。

As reported by The Kobeissi Letter, news of a trade deal between the U.S. and China also caused sharp fluctuations in the crypto market over the weekend.

正如Kobeissi信的报道，美国和中国之间的贸易协议的消息在周末也引起了加密市场的急剧波动。

“We have yet to receive a statement from Trump regarding the U.S.-China trade deal, which explains why markets are only up 1.3% on the back of this otherwise incredibly positive news,” noted analysts at The Kobeissi Letter.

“我们尚未收到特朗普关于美国 - 中国贸易协议的声明，这解释了为什么市场仅比这个原本令人难以置信的积极新闻的背面增长了1.3％，” Kobeissi信中指出。

The new week will bring the publication of two key indicators of U.S. inflation Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI) for April. These data may have a significant impact on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.

新的一周将为美国通货膨胀率指数（CPI）和4月的生产商价格指数（PPI）的两个关键指标发布。这些数据可能会对美联储的利率决策产生重大影响。

At the same time, markets are tense over U.S. trade policy. News of a trade deal with China has already caused sharp swings in the crypto market over the weekend.

同时，市场对美国贸易政策持紧张关系。与中国达成的贸易协议的消息已经在周末引起了加密货币市场的急剧波动。

"We have yet to receive a direct statement from Trump regarding the U.S.-China trade deal, which explains why markets are only up 1.3% on the back of this otherwise incredibly positive news. Uncertainty is still present everywhere."

“我们尚未收到特朗普关于美中贸易协议的直接声明，这解释了为什么市场仅比这个原本令人难以置信的积极新闻的背后增长了1.3％。不确定性仍然存在。”

The situation is about to get seriously volatile for BTC. Price spikes down, price spikes up. As the lower time frames get clocked, the market is going to try to break this coin out of its consolidation

对于BTC而言，这种情况即将变得严重波动。价格下降，价格上涨。随着较低的时间范围的计时，市场将试图从其合并中淘汰这枚硬币

According to CoinGlass, the $106,000 level represents a key resistance zone on the short-term horizon.

根据Coinglass的说法，106,000美元的水平代表了短期视野上的关键阻力区。

Map of Bitcoin position liquidations on the Binance crypto exchange. Source: Coinglass

比特币位置清算在Binance Crypto交换上的地图。资料来源：小店

The proportion of Bitcoin supply in profit has reached more than 98%, a phenomenon rarely seen before, according to a new study by blockchain analytics firm ChainGlass.

根据区块链分析公司Chainglass的一项新研究，比特币供应利润的比例已达到98％以上，这是以前很少见到的。

"When the supply of BTC in loss falls to the 0-2% range, it usually coincides with the late stages of a bull market," stated CryptoQuant analyst Kripto Mevsimi. "As shown in the chart, these moments cluster near tops, an area often characterized by overconfidence."

隐秘分析师Kripto Mevsimi说：“当损失中BTC的供应达到0-2％的范围时，它通常与牛市的晚期相吻合。” “如图所示，这些时刻的聚集在顶部附近，这个区域通常以过度自信为特征。”

Bitcoin supply is in a loss range of 0-2%. Source: CryptoQuant

比特币供应范围为0-2％。资料来源：加密

Long-term holders who have held Bitcoin for at least six months may see a return to six-figure prices as an opportunity to reduce their Bitcoin positions. Beginners and speculators, on the other hand, may be planning to enter the market now.

持有比特币至少六个月的长期持有人可能会看到六位数的价格回报，这是减少比特币头寸的机会。另一方面，初学者和投机者可能正在计划现在进入市场。

Interestingly, despite the $104,000 price, the market is showing less "greed" than when Bitcoin was 10% cheaper. This could be an additional factor supporting BTC's continued growth.

有趣的是，尽管价格为104,000美元，但市场表现出的“贪婪”少于比特币便宜10％时。这可能是支持BTC持续增长的另一个因素。

The latest data from the Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index shows that while "greed" characterizes the overall sentiment, the initial spike to $94,000 on April 23 yielded a higher reading.

来自加密货币恐惧和贪婪指数中的最新数据表明，尽管“贪婪”以总体情绪为特征，但4月23日的最初峰值达到了94,000美元，却产生了更高的阅读。

This is contrary to the usual reaction of retail investors, who usually show increased interest when prices rise. Analysis of "Bitcoin" query volumes on Google Trends also indicates a lack of significant interest from mainstream retail investors.

这与散户投资者的通常反应相反，散户投资者通常在价格上涨时表现出兴趣增加。对Google趋势的“比特币”查询量的分析也表明，主流零售投资者缺乏兴趣。

"Google search queries for 'Bitcoin' are close to a five-year low. The price is above 100k. Retail investors have not even begun to really come back since 2020."

“ Google搜索'比特币'的搜索查询接近五年低点。价格高于100k。零售投资者甚至从2020年以来就没有真正回来。”

With current technical cues persisting and a relatively "cool" market sentiment, Bitcoin has a rare opportunity for sustained upside without the typical signs of overheating. The weekly MACD and the approach to the key $104,500 resistance level form an intriguing picture for the major cryptocurrency.

由于当前的技术提示持续存在，并且相对“酷”的市场情绪，比特币在没有典型的过热迹象的情况下，有难得的持续上升空间。每周MACD和关键$ 104,500电阻水平的方法构成了主要加密货币的有趣情况。