比特幣（BTC）可能會面臨三種潛在趨勢方案，最樂觀的一個預測飆升至$ 150,000至$ 175,000

在特朗普政府建立國家比特幣儲備計劃之後，諸如機構資本大量湧入和積極的投資者情緒之類的因素支持了這一預測。

Bitcoin may face three potential trend scenarios in the future, with the most optimistic one forecasting a surge to $150,000 to $175,000 within the next 12 months.

比特幣將來可能會面臨三種潛在的趨勢情景，最樂觀的預測在未來12個月內將飆升至150,000美元至175,000美元。

This prediction is supported by factors such as a strong influx of institutional capital and positive investor sentiment following the Trump administration’s plans to establish a national Bitcoin reserve.

在特朗普政府建立國家比特幣儲備計劃之後，諸如機構資本大量湧入和積極的投資者情緒之類的因素支持了這一預測。

Positive Forecasts from Experts and Market Signals

專家和市場信號的積極預測

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing promising prospects as numerous positive signals from the market and expert predictions emerge in early May 2025. In an analysis by AxelAdlerJr, as of today, on-chain momentum is in the "starting" phase of a bull run.

比特幣（BTC）表現出有希望的前景，因為市場上出現了許多積極的信號，並於2025年5月上旬出現了專家預測。在今天的AxeladlerJr分析中，截至今天，鏈上的動量處於公牛運行的“起始”階段。

The Bitcoin Composite Index currently stands at ≈ 0.8 (80%). Based on this indicator, AxelAdlerJr outlined three possible scenarios.

比特幣複合指數目前為≈0.8（80％）。基於此指標，AxeladlerJr概述了三種可能的情況。

In the most optimistic scenario, BTC's price could reach $150,000 to $175,000, following the cyclical logic of 2017 and 2021. This would occur if the Bitcoin Composite Index surpasses 1.0 and remains above that level.

在最樂觀的情況下，在2017年和2021年的周期性邏輯之後，BTC的價格可能達到150,000至175,000美元。如果比特幣綜合指數超過1.0並保持高於該水平，這將發生。

If the ratio stays within the 0.8–1.0 range, the market would likely consolidate in a broad corridor between $90,000 and $110,000, indicating that participants are maintaining positions without increasing exposure.

如果該比率停留在0.8-1.0範圍內，那麼市場可能會在90,000美元至110,000美元之間的廣闊走廊中鞏固，這表明參與者正在維持職位而不會增加曝光率。

Alternatively, if the ratio drops to 0.75 or below, short-term holders may start taking profits, potentially leading to a price correction to $70,000–$85,000. However, AxelAdlerJr notes that this scenario is less likely than the other two.

另外，如果比率下降到0.75或以下，那麼短期持有人可能會開始利潤，可能導致價格更正至70,000美元至85,000美元。但是，Axeladlerjr指出，這種情況比其他兩個情況少。

The return of YoY True MVRV to positive territory means that the average purchase price of all coins acquired over the past year is now below the current market price. The pressure from panic sellers is decreasing – many are now in profit and don't need to lock in losses. Holder… pic.twitter.com/6AgvVVTn9h

Yoy True MVRV返回積極的領土，這意味著過去一年中獲得的所有硬幣的平均購買價格現在低於當前市場價格。恐慌賣家的壓力正在減少 - 現在許多人正在獲利，不需要鎖定損失。持有人…pic.twitter.com/6agvvvtn9h

On-chain signals further bolster the bullish outlook. According to Coinglass, over the past 7 days, approximately 42,525.89 Bitcoins were withdrawn from centralized exchanges (CEX), reducing the supply on exchanges to a 7-year low of about 2.48 million BTC.

鏈上的信號進一步增強了看漲的前景。根據Coinglass的說法，在過去的7天中，從集中式交易所（CEX）撤回了大約42,525.89個比特幣，將交易所供應量減少到約7年低約248萬BTC。

The trend of Bitcoin withdrawals from exchanges is often seen as a positive sign, as it indicates investor accumulation and reduced selling pressure, paving the way for price growth.

從交易所提取比特幣的趨勢通常被視為一個積極的信號，因為它表明投資者的積累和銷售壓力減輕，為價格增長鋪平了道路。

Bitcoin's 7-day volatility has also hit its lowest level in 563 days. Low volatility typically signals a period of accumulation before a price breakout, as observed during past major rallies, such as in 2020 before Bitcoin peaked at $69,000.

比特幣的7天波動率在563天內也達到了其最低水平。低波動率通常會在價格突破之前的一段時間內累積，如過去的主要集會期間所觀察到的，例如2020年比特幣達到69,000美元的峰值。

Technical Analysis and Key Price Levels

技術分析和關鍵價格水平

Technical analysis also supports Bitcoin's bullish scenario. According to a post on X by Ali, Bitcoin's key support levels are at $93,198 and $83,444, indicating strong consolidation above these thresholds.

技術分析還支持比特幣的看漲場景。根據Ali X上的一篇文章，比特幣的主要支持水平為93,198美元和83,444美元，表明高於這些閾值的強大整合。

If Bitcoin sustains above $93,198, the likelihood of continuing its upward trend to reach the $150,000 target becomes highly feasible.

如果比特幣的維持在93,198美元以上，那麼繼續向上趨勢達到150,000美元的目標的可能性將變得非常可行。

The most critical support levels for #Bitcoin $BTC are $93,198 and $83,444. Key zones to watch if momentum shifts.

#bitcoin $ btc的最關鍵支持水平是$ 93,198和$ 83,444。關鍵區域要觀察動量是否在變化。

If $BTC sustains above $93,198, the probability of continuing to $150,000 becomes high.

如果$ BTC的持久持平超過$ 93,198，則繼續升至150,000美元的可能性很高。

If $BTC drops and closes below $83,444, the next pivotal support level is at $70,000.

如果$ BTC下跌並關閉低於$ 83,444，則下一個關鍵支持水平為$ 70,000。

Technical analysis aligns with the prevailing narrative of Bitcoin's price movements. As the digital asset hovers above the Fib support at $93,198, it suggests a potential continuation of the bullish trend toward the $150,000 target.

技術分析與比特幣價格變動的主要敘述保持一致。隨著數字資產徘徊在FIB支持下的93,198美元以上，這表明看漲趨勢的潛在延續了150,000美元的目標。

However, if Bitcoin experiences a significant decline and closes below the Fib support at $83,444, it could face support at the round number of $70,000, as mentioned by Ali. This aligns with the Fibonacci retracement levels, which are commonly used by technical analysts to identify key price support and resistance levels.

但是，如果比特幣的下降幅度大幅下降，並以83,444美元的價格關閉，則它可能面臨70,000美元的共同支持，如Ali所述。這與斐波那契回答水平保持一致，技術分析師通常使用它們來識別關鍵價格支持和阻力水平。

Bitcoin miners are now operating at a lower cost than in the previous cycle, and this trend could continue to support a strong bull market for the cryptocurrency, according to a report by Mayli Zeng, an analyst at Webull.

Webull分析師Mayli Zeng的報告顯示，比特幣礦工現在的成本低於上一個週期的運營，這一趨勢可能會繼續支持強大的加密貨幣市場。

"With the average Bitcoin miner cost of production bottoming out and holding at around $30,000, we can expect to see a continuation of the strong bull market," Zeng said.

Zeng說：“隨著比特幣礦工的平均生產成本降低並持有約30,000美元，我們可以期望看到強大的牛市的延續。”

In her analysis, Zeng focused on the role of Bitcoin mining in the cryptocurrency

在她的分析中，Zeng專注於比特幣開採在加密貨幣中的作用