比特币（BTC）可能会面临三种潜在趋势方案，最乐观的一个预测飙升至$ 150,000至$ 175,000

在特朗普政府建立国家比特币储备计划之后，诸如机构资本大量涌入和积极的投资者情绪之类的因素支持了这一预测。

Bitcoin may face three potential trend scenarios in the future, with the most optimistic one forecasting a surge to $150,000 to $175,000 within the next 12 months.

比特币将来可能会面临三种潜在的趋势情景，最乐观的预测在未来12个月内将飙升至150,000美元至175,000美元。

This prediction is supported by factors such as a strong influx of institutional capital and positive investor sentiment following the Trump administration’s plans to establish a national Bitcoin reserve.

在特朗普政府建立国家比特币储备计划之后，诸如机构资本大量涌入和积极的投资者情绪之类的因素支持了这一预测。

Positive Forecasts from Experts and Market Signals

专家和市场信号的积极预测

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing promising prospects as numerous positive signals from the market and expert predictions emerge in early May 2025. In an analysis by AxelAdlerJr, as of today, on-chain momentum is in the "starting" phase of a bull run.

比特币（BTC）表现出有希望的前景，因为市场上出现了许多积极的信号，并于2025年5月上旬出现了专家预测。在今天的AxeladlerJr分析中，截至今天，链上的动量处于公牛运行的“起始”阶段。

The Bitcoin Composite Index currently stands at ≈ 0.8 (80%). Based on this indicator, AxelAdlerJr outlined three possible scenarios.

比特币复合指数目前为≈0.8（80％）。基于此指标，AxeladlerJr概述了三种可能的情况。

In the most optimistic scenario, BTC's price could reach $150,000 to $175,000, following the cyclical logic of 2017 and 2021. This would occur if the Bitcoin Composite Index surpasses 1.0 and remains above that level.

在最乐观的情况下，在2017年和2021年的周期性逻辑之后，BTC的价格可能达到150,000至175,000美元。如果比特币综合指数超过1.0并保持高于该水平，这将发生。

If the ratio stays within the 0.8–1.0 range, the market would likely consolidate in a broad corridor between $90,000 and $110,000, indicating that participants are maintaining positions without increasing exposure.

如果该比率停留在0.8-1.0范围内，那么市场可能会在90,000美元至110,000美元之间的广阔走廊中巩固，这表明参与者正在维持职位而不会增加曝光率。

Alternatively, if the ratio drops to 0.75 or below, short-term holders may start taking profits, potentially leading to a price correction to $70,000–$85,000. However, AxelAdlerJr notes that this scenario is less likely than the other two.

另外，如果比率下降到0.75或以下，那么短期持有人可能会开始利润，可能导致价格更正至70,000美元至85,000美元。但是，Axeladlerjr指出，这种情况比其他两个情况少。

The return of YoY True MVRV to positive territory means that the average purchase price of all coins acquired over the past year is now below the current market price. The pressure from panic sellers is decreasing – many are now in profit and don't need to lock in losses. Holder… pic.twitter.com/6AgvVVTn9h

Yoy True MVRV返回积极的领土，这意味着过去一年中获得的所有硬币的平均购买价格现在低于当前市场价格。恐慌卖家的压力正在减少 - 现在许多人正在获利，不需要锁定损失。持有人…pic.twitter.com/6agvvvtn9h

On-chain signals further bolster the bullish outlook. According to Coinglass, over the past 7 days, approximately 42,525.89 Bitcoins were withdrawn from centralized exchanges (CEX), reducing the supply on exchanges to a 7-year low of about 2.48 million BTC.

链上的信号进一步增强了看涨的前景。根据Coinglass的说法，在过去的7天中，从集中式交易所（CEX）撤回了大约42,525.89个比特币，将交易所供应量减少到约7年低约248万BTC。

The trend of Bitcoin withdrawals from exchanges is often seen as a positive sign, as it indicates investor accumulation and reduced selling pressure, paving the way for price growth.

从交易所提取比特币的趋势通常被视为一个积极的信号，因为它表明投资者的积累和销售压力减轻，为价格增长铺平了道路。

Bitcoin's 7-day volatility has also hit its lowest level in 563 days. Low volatility typically signals a period of accumulation before a price breakout, as observed during past major rallies, such as in 2020 before Bitcoin peaked at $69,000.

比特币的7天波动率在563天内也达到了其最低水平。低波动率通常会在价格突破之前的一段时间内累积，如过去的主要集会期间所观察到的，例如2020年比特币达到69,000美元的峰值。

Technical Analysis and Key Price Levels

技术分析和关键价格水平

Technical analysis also supports Bitcoin's bullish scenario. According to a post on X by Ali, Bitcoin's key support levels are at $93,198 and $83,444, indicating strong consolidation above these thresholds.

技术分析还支持比特币的看涨场景。根据Ali X上的一篇文章，比特币的主要支持水平为93,198美元和83,444美元，表明高于这些阈值的强大整合。

If Bitcoin sustains above $93,198, the likelihood of continuing its upward trend to reach the $150,000 target becomes highly feasible.

如果比特币的维持在93,198美元以上，那么继续向上趋势达到150,000美元的目标的可能性将变得非常可行。

The most critical support levels for #Bitcoin $BTC are $93,198 and $83,444. Key zones to watch if momentum shifts.

#bitcoin $ btc的最关键支持水平是$ 93,198和$ 83,444。关键区域要观察动量是否在变化。

If $BTC sustains above $93,198, the probability of continuing to $150,000 becomes high.

如果$ BTC的持久持平超过$ 93,198，则继续升至150,000美元的可能性很高。

If $BTC drops and closes below $83,444, the next pivotal support level is at $70,000.

如果$ BTC下跌并关闭低于$ 83,444，则下一个关键支持水平为$ 70,000。

Technical analysis aligns with the prevailing narrative of Bitcoin's price movements. As the digital asset hovers above the Fib support at $93,198, it suggests a potential continuation of the bullish trend toward the $150,000 target.

技术分析与比特币价格变动的主要叙述保持一致。随着数字资产徘徊在FIB支持下的93,198美元以上，这表明看涨趋势的潜在延续了150,000美元的目标。

However, if Bitcoin experiences a significant decline and closes below the Fib support at $83,444, it could face support at the round number of $70,000, as mentioned by Ali. This aligns with the Fibonacci retracement levels, which are commonly used by technical analysts to identify key price support and resistance levels.

但是，如果比特币的下降幅度大幅下降，并以83,444美元的价格关闭，则它可能面临70,000美元的共同支持，如Ali所述。这与斐波那契回答水平保持一致，技术分析师通常使用它们来识别关键价格支持和阻力水平。

Bitcoin miners are now operating at a lower cost than in the previous cycle, and this trend could continue to support a strong bull market for the cryptocurrency, according to a report by Mayli Zeng, an analyst at Webull.

Webull分析师Mayli Zeng的报告显示，比特币矿工现在的成本低于上一个周期的运营，这一趋势可能会继续支持强大的加密货币市场。

"With the average Bitcoin miner cost of production bottoming out and holding at around $30,000, we can expect to see a continuation of the strong bull market," Zeng said.

Zeng说：“随着比特币矿工的平均生产成本降低并持有约30,000美元，我们可以期望看到强大的牛市的延续。”

In her analysis, Zeng focused on the role of Bitcoin mining in the cryptocurrency

在她的分析中，Zeng专注于比特币开采在加密货币中的作用