比特幣（BTC）減半後分析：自然階段

許多人將比特幣減半後的盤整視為正常階段。從高點下跌 13%，並經過 15 週的盤整，這段低波動期是價格大幅波動後的典型時期。

Crypto expert Rekt Fencer is staying positive amid the doom and gloom predicted by many crypto analysts. In his latest analysis, the analyst argues that the market is setting up for something big despite the recent dull price action. According to Fencer, patience and a long-term view could be crucial for investors at this stage.

在許多加密貨幣分析師預測的厄運和悲觀情緒中，加密貨幣專家 Rekt Fencer 仍保持樂觀態度。在最新的分析中，這位分析師認為，儘管近期價格走勢平淡，但市場正在為大事做好準備。 Fencer 表示，耐心和長遠眼光對於現階段的投資人來說至關重要。

Highlighting BTC’s post-halving consolidation, many view this phase as normal. With a 13% decline from highs and 15 weeks of consolidation, this period of low volatility is typically observed after significant price moves. Rekt Fencer argues that this phase, although frustrating, is essential and mirrors past cycles in 2017 and 2021. Historically, the accumulation stage lasted 4-5 months before a parabolic move.

許多人強調比特幣減半後的盤整，認為這個階段是正常的。由於價格較高點下跌 13%，並經過 15 週的盤整，因此這段低波動期通常出現在價格大幅波動之後。 Rekt Fencer 認為，這一階段雖然令人沮喪，但卻是必不可少的，並且反映了2017 年和2021 年的過去週期。 。

The analyst goes on to present several key indicators that support his bullish outlook:

這位分析師接著提出了幾個支持他的看漲前景的關鍵指標：

– Macro bottom is in.

– 宏觀底部已經到來。

– BTC halving hype is dying down.

– BTC 減半的炒作正在消退。

– Post-halving consolidation is occurring.

– 減半後的盤整正在發生。

– Accumulation phase is setting up.

– 累積階段正在建立。

– Anticipation for an upcoming breakout.

– 對即將到來的突破的預期。

Rekt Fencer also touches on the upcoming political events and regulatory changes that could act as bullish catalysts for crypto’s future growth. These include:

Rekt Fencer 也談到了即將到來的政治事件和監管變化，這些變化可能成為加密貨幣未來成長的看漲催化劑。這些包括：

– US midterms in November.

– 11 月美國中期選舉。

– Potential legalization of marijuana at the federal level.

– 聯邦層級大麻合法化的可能性。

– Approval of crypto ETFs and other financial instruments.

– 核准加密貨幣 ETF 和其他金融工具。

For altcoin enthusiasts, Rekt Fencer advises against selling now. He observes that BTC dominance has been stable, but a decline could signal the start of altseason. The launch of an ETH ETF, possibly as early as July, and the upcoming SOL ETF could further illuminate altcoin trends.

對於山寨幣愛好者，Rekt Fencer 建議不要現在出售。他觀察到，比特幣的主導地位一直穩定，但下降可能預示著山寨季的開始。 ETH ETF 的推出（可能最早在 7 月）以及即將推出的 SOL ETF 可能會進一步闡明山寨幣的趨勢。

Despite the current market sentiment leading many to believe the bull run is over, the combination of indicators, upcoming political events, and potential regulatory changes presents a strong case for continued investment in Bitcoin and altcoins.

儘管當前的市場情緒讓許多人相信牛市已經結束，但指標、即將發生的政治事件以及潛在的監管變化的結合為繼續投資比特幣和山寨幣提供了強有力的理由。