比特币（BTC）减半后分析：自然阶段

许多人将比特币减半后的盘整视为正常阶段。从高点下跌 13%，并经过 15 周的盘整，这段低波动期是价格大幅波动后的典型情况。

Crypto expert Rekt Fencer is staying positive amid the doom and gloom predicted by many crypto analysts. In his latest analysis, the analyst argues that the market is setting up for something big despite the recent dull price action. According to Fencer, patience and a long-term view could be crucial for investors at this stage.

在许多加密货币分析师预测的厄运和悲观情绪中，加密货币专家 Rekt Fencer 仍保持乐观态度。在他的最新分析中，这位分析师认为，尽管最近价格走势平淡，但市场正在为大事做好准备。 Fencer 表示，耐心和长远眼光对于现阶段的投资者来说至关重要。

Highlighting BTC’s post-halving consolidation, many view this phase as normal. With a 13% decline from highs and 15 weeks of consolidation, this period of low volatility is typically observed after significant price moves. Rekt Fencer argues that this phase, although frustrating, is essential and mirrors past cycles in 2017 and 2021. Historically, the accumulation stage lasted 4-5 months before a parabolic move.

许多人强调比特币减半后的盘整，认为这一阶段是正常的。由于价格较高点下跌 13%，并经过 15 周的盘整，因此这段低波动期通常出现在价格大幅波动之后。 Rekt Fencer 认为，这一阶段虽然令人沮丧，但却是必不可少的，并且反映了 2017 年和 2021 年的过去周期。从历史上看，积累阶段在抛物线走势之前持续了 4-5 个月。

The analyst goes on to present several key indicators that support his bullish outlook:

这位分析师接着提出了几个支持他的看涨前景的关键指标：

– Macro bottom is in.

– 宏观底部已经到来。

– BTC halving hype is dying down.

– BTC 减半的炒作正在消退。

– Post-halving consolidation is occurring.

– 减半后的盘整正在发生。

– Accumulation phase is setting up.

– 积累阶段正在建立。

– Anticipation for an upcoming breakout.

– 对即将到来的突破的预期。

Rekt Fencer also touches on the upcoming political events and regulatory changes that could act as bullish catalysts for crypto’s future growth. These include:

Rekt Fencer 还谈到了即将到来的政治事件和监管变化，这些变化可能成为加密货币未来增长的看涨催化剂。这些包括：

– US midterms in November.

– 11 月美国中期选举。

– Potential legalization of marijuana at the federal level.

– 联邦层面大麻合法化的可能性。

– Approval of crypto ETFs and other financial instruments.

– 批准加密货币 ETF 和其他金融工具。

For altcoin enthusiasts, Rekt Fencer advises against selling now. He observes that BTC dominance has been stable, but a decline could signal the start of altseason. The launch of an ETH ETF, possibly as early as July, and the upcoming SOL ETF could further illuminate altcoin trends.

对于山寨币爱好者，Rekt Fencer 建议不要现在出售。他观察到，比特币的主导地位一直稳定，但下降可能预示着山寨季的开始。 ETH ETF 的推出（可能最早在 7 月）以及即将推出的 SOL ETF 可能会进一步阐明山寨币的趋势。

Despite the current market sentiment leading many to believe the bull run is over, the combination of indicators, upcoming political events, and potential regulatory changes presents a strong case for continued investment in Bitcoin and altcoins.

尽管当前的市场情绪让许多人相信牛市已经结束，但指标、即将发生的政治事件以及潜在的监管变化的结合为继续投资比特币和山寨币提供了强有力的理由。