比特幣 (BTC) 聯準會後價格跌至 96,000 美元激活了歷史上標誌著回調結束的相反指標

這些損失導致 50 小時簡單移動平均線 (SMA) 跌破 200 小時移動平均線，確認看跌交叉。

Bitcoin (BTC) dropped to $96,000 on Wednesday after the U.S. Federal Reserve signaled fewer-than-expected rate cuts for 2025. At least one contrary indicator suggests that the cryptocurrency is now due for a bounce.

在聯準會暗示 2025 年降息幅度低於預期後，比特幣 (BTC) 週三跌至 96,000 美元。

Bitcoin fell sharply on Wednesday after the U.S. Federal Reserve signaled it will cut the benchmark borrowing cost only twice next year, down from four it projected in September.

週三，在聯準會暗示明年將僅兩次削減基準借貸成本（低於 9 月預計的四次）後，比特幣大幅下跌。

The central bank also said it’s not interested in participating in a potential government plan to build a strategic BTC reserve.

該央行也表示，沒有興趣參與政府建立戰略比特幣儲備的潛在計畫。

Bitcoin dropped below $97,000 on major cryptocurrency exchanges after hitting a record high of $108,266 early this week, a gain of over 35% since the beginning of 2024. At current levels, the world’s largest cryptocurrency is up about 20% year-to-date.

比特幣在本周初觸及108,266 美元的歷史新高後，在主要加密貨幣交易所跌破97,000 美元，自2024 年初以來漲幅超過35%。 %。

The sharp pullback from the record highs has now caused the 50-hour simple moving average (SMA) to dip below the 200-hour SMA, confirming a bearish crossover on the short-duration price chart.

從歷史高點大幅回檔現已導致 50 小時簡單移動平均線 (SMA) 跌破 200 小時移動平均線，確認短期價格圖表上的看跌交叉。

The pattern suggests that the ongoing pullback could evolve into a deeper one, although the bearish simple moving average (SMA) cross has failed to live up to its reputation during the recent bull run. Bitcoin has experienced a few pullbacks during its post-U.S. election rally from $70,000 to over $100,000, and each of these dips has ended with a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-hour SMAs.

該模式表明，儘管看跌簡單移動平均線（SMA）交叉在最近的牛市中未能名副其實，但持續的回調可能會演變成更深層次的回調。比特幣在美國大選後從 70,000 美元漲至 100,000 美元以上期間經歷了幾次回調，每次下跌都以 50 小時和 200 小時 SMA 的看跌交叉結束。

The latest crossover, therefore, offers hope to bulls expecting a renewed move into six figures above $100,000. A potential bounce could face resistance near $10,600, a level identified by the descending trendline, representing the recent price drop. A violation there would open doors for record highs.

因此，最新的交叉為多頭帶來了希望，預計價格將再次升至 10 萬美元以上的六位數。潛在的反彈可能會面臨 10,600 美元附近的阻力，該水平由下降趨勢線確定，代表近期價格下跌。那裡的違規行為將為創下歷史新高打開大門。

It's important to remember that patterns don't always play out as expected, and the contrary indicator discussed above may fail, potentially leading to a deeper drop. The first sign of trouble will be if prices move below the overnight low of $96,000, which could expose the swing low of around $91,000 recorded on Dec. 5.

重要的是要記住，模式並不總是按預期發揮作用，上面討論的相反指標可能會失敗，可能導致更深的下跌。麻煩的第一個跡像是，如果價格跌破隔夜低點 96,000 美元，這可能會暴露 12 月 5 日記錄的約 91,000 美元的波動低點。