比特币 (BTC) 美联储后价格跌至 96,000 美元激活了历史上标志着回调结束的相反指标

这些损失导致 50 小时简单移动平均线 (SMA) 跌破 200 小时移动平均线，确认看跌交叉。

Bitcoin (BTC) dropped to $96,000 on Wednesday after the U.S. Federal Reserve signaled fewer-than-expected rate cuts for 2025. At least one contrary indicator suggests that the cryptocurrency is now due for a bounce.

在美联储暗示 2025 年降息幅度低于预期后，比特币 (BTC) 周三跌至 96,000 美元。至少一个相反的指标表明，这种加密货币现在即将反弹。

Bitcoin fell sharply on Wednesday after the U.S. Federal Reserve signaled it will cut the benchmark borrowing cost only twice next year, down from four it projected in September.

周三，在美联储暗示明年将仅两次削减基准借贷成本（低于 9 月份预计的四次）后，比特币大幅下跌。

The central bank also said it’s not interested in participating in a potential government plan to build a strategic BTC reserve.

该央行还表示，没有兴趣参与政府建立战略比特币储备的潜在计划。

Bitcoin dropped below $97,000 on major cryptocurrency exchanges after hitting a record high of $108,266 early this week, a gain of over 35% since the beginning of 2024. At current levels, the world’s largest cryptocurrency is up about 20% year-to-date.

比特币在本周初触及 108,266 美元的历史新高后，在主要加密货币交易所跌破 97,000 美元，自 2024 年初以来涨幅超过 35%。按照目前的水平，全球最大的加密货币今年迄今已上涨约 20%。

The sharp pullback from the record highs has now caused the 50-hour simple moving average (SMA) to dip below the 200-hour SMA, confirming a bearish crossover on the short-duration price chart.

从历史高位大幅回调现已导致 50 小时简单移动平均线 (SMA) 跌破 200 小时移动平均线，确认短期价格图表上的看跌交叉。

The pattern suggests that the ongoing pullback could evolve into a deeper one, although the bearish simple moving average (SMA) cross has failed to live up to its reputation during the recent bull run. Bitcoin has experienced a few pullbacks during its post-U.S. election rally from $70,000 to over $100,000, and each of these dips has ended with a bearish crossover of the 50- and 200-hour SMAs.

该模式表明，尽管看跌简单移动平均线（SMA）交叉在最近的牛市中未能名副其实，但持续的回调可能会演变成更深层次的回调。比特币在美国大选后从 70,000 美元涨至 100,000 美元以上期间经历了几次回调，每次下跌都以 50 小时和 200 小时 SMA 的看跌交叉结束。

The latest crossover, therefore, offers hope to bulls expecting a renewed move into six figures above $100,000. A potential bounce could face resistance near $10,600, a level identified by the descending trendline, representing the recent price drop. A violation there would open doors for record highs.

因此，最新的交叉为多头带来了希望，预计价格将再次升至 10 万美元以上的六位数。潜在的反弹可能会面临 10,600 美元附近的阻力，该水平由下降趋势线确定，代表近期价格下跌。那里的违规行为将为创下历史新高打开大门。

It's important to remember that patterns don't always play out as expected, and the contrary indicator discussed above may fail, potentially leading to a deeper drop. The first sign of trouble will be if prices move below the overnight low of $96,000, which could expose the swing low of around $91,000 recorded on Dec. 5.

重要的是要记住，模式并不总是按预期发挥作用，上面讨论的相反指标可能会失败，可能导致更深的下跌。麻烦的第一个迹象是，如果价格跌破隔夜低点 96,000 美元，这可能会暴露 12 月 5 日记录的约 91,000 美元的波动低点。