據前Bitmex老闆亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）稱

由Arthur Hayesuppy，於2023年5月15日上午1:13 PDT

Former BitMEX boss Arthur Hayes has set a new price target for Bitcoin (BTC) of $1 million by 2028, in a scenario where capital controls drive investors toward the apex coin and US Treasurys undergo devaluation.

前Bitmex老闆亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）在2028年將比特幣（BTC）的新價格目標定為100萬美元，在這種情況下，資本控制將投資者推向Apex Coin和美國財政部的投資者經歷貶值。

Forging a bullish case in his May 15 post, Hayes outlined two major forces that he believes will push crypto prices to new highs.

海耶斯在5月15日的職位上偽造了一個看漲的案件，概述了兩支主要力量，他認為這將使加密貨幣價格提高到新高。

Strong Tailwinds For Bitcoin

比特幣強的強力

比特幣強的強力

According to Hayes, tighter capital controls around the world will drive investors toward a borderless asset that isn’t subject to government confiscation or freezing.

根據海斯的說法，全世界的更嚴格的資本管制將使投資者邁向不受政府沒收或凍結的無邊界資產。

Additionally, he anticipates US Treasurys to face "devaluation" as the Treasury’s mountain of debt continues to grow, rendering the bond market less attractive. If both trends play out, he believes Bitcoin will win over a lot of money that can’t move freely in traditional markets.

此外，隨著財政部的債務不斷增長，我們預計我們將面臨“貶值”，從而使債券市場的吸引力降低。如果這兩種趨勢都浮出水面，他認為比特幣將贏得許多無法在傳統市場中自由移動的錢。

Highlighting the upcoming US presidential vote in 2028, Hayes chose this year as his time horizon for the $1 million price prediction. A pro-crypto administration could lift Bitcoin’s status even further, while a government that digs in on rules could slow things down.

海耶斯（Hayes）強調了即將在2028年舉行的美國總統投票，今年以100萬美元的價格預測選擇了他的時間範圍。親克賴特托政府可以進一步提高比特幣的地位，而挖掘規則的政府可能會減慢事情的速度。

Hayes notes the Trump years as an example of a friendly stance and hints that a different leader might flip the script. In Europe, authorities seem more likely to clamp down on any attempt to use Bitcoin broadly, and Hayes warns that the European Central Bank may try to shut down crypto use.

海耶斯（Hayes）指出，特朗普（Trump）是友好立場的一個例子，並暗示另一個領導者可能會翻轉劇本。在歐洲，當局似乎更有可能削減任何嘗試大量使用比特幣的嘗試，海斯警告說，歐洲中央銀行可能試圖關閉加密貨幣的使用。

According to him, such attempts will only serve to push people further toward digital coins. In contrast, China has steered clear of banning private Bitcoin ownership, as it's an endeavor that wouldn’t succeed and would only serve to fuel illegal markets.

據他說，這種嘗試只會使人們進一步推向數字硬幣。相比之下，中國已經避免了禁止私人比特幣所有權，因為這是一項努力，不會成功，只會為非法市場提供助長。

This isn't the first time that the ex-BitMEX exec has set a bold price target for Bitcoin. Last month, he predicted that the apex coin could hit $100,000, having previously set a low point at mid-$70,000. Other voices in finance are even more bullish than that.

這不是Ex-Bitmex Exec第一次為比特幣設定大膽的目標目標。上個月，他預測，先端硬幣可能會達到100,000美元，此前曾將低點定為70,000美元。財務中的其他聲音比這更看漲。

Earlier this year, Fidelity set seven-figure price targets for the next ten years, starting with $127,000 by the end of 2023. Meanwhile, Strategy Inc. chair Michael Saylor, who has the largest Bitcoin stash among public firms, sees the apex coin climbing to a $10 trillion market value—working out to about $500,000 per coin—by 2030. He's also talked about a whopping $13 million price by 2045.

今年早些時候，富達將未來十年的七位價目標定為7年，到2023年底以127,000美元的價格開始。與此同時，戰略公司主席邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）主席邁克爾·賽勒（Michael Saylor）是公共公司中最大的比特幣藏在公共公司中，看到Apex Coin Coin攀登10億美元的市場價值，達到了10億美元的價格，大約是2030美元，即2030年，他也是2030年以2030美元的價格。

To reach $1 million by 2028, Bitcoin's market capitalization would need to swell to roughly $20 trillion. For perspective, that's almost twice the size of gold's market today and would require a massive influx of new buyers, ranging from large institutions to individual savers.

到2028年，要達到100萬美元，比特幣的市值將需要膨脹至約20萬億美元。從當今的角度來看，這幾乎是黃金市場的兩倍，需要大量的新買家湧入，從大型機構到單個儲蓄者。

Any serious regulatory crackdown or a sudden rise in bond yields could pose setbacks to this scenario. However, if global money continues to seek shelter and fiat currencies keep weakening, then Hayes's optimistic scenario might unfold sooner and more rapidly than many anticipate.

任何嚴重的監管鎮壓或債券收益率突然上升都可能挫敗這種情況。但是，如果全球資金繼續尋求庇護所和法定貨幣不斷減弱，那麼海斯樂觀的情景可能會比許多人預期的要早，更快地展現出來。