据前Bitmex老板亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）称

由Arthur Hayesuppy，于2023年5月15日上午1:13 PDT

Former BitMEX boss Arthur Hayes has set a new price target for Bitcoin (BTC) of $1 million by 2028, in a scenario where capital controls drive investors toward the apex coin and US Treasurys undergo devaluation.

前Bitmex老板亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）在2028年将比特币（BTC）的新价格目标定为100万美元，在这种情况下，资本控制将投资者推向Apex Coin和美国财政部的投资者经历贬值。

Forging a bullish case in his May 15 post, Hayes outlined two major forces that he believes will push crypto prices to new highs.

海耶斯在5月15日的职位上伪造了一个看涨的案件，概述了两支主要力量，他认为这将使加密货币价格提高到新高。

Strong Tailwinds For Bitcoin

比特币强的强力

比特币强的强力

According to Hayes, tighter capital controls around the world will drive investors toward a borderless asset that isn’t subject to government confiscation or freezing.

根据海斯的说法，全世界的更严格的资本管制将使投资者迈向不受政府没收或冻结的无边界资产。

Additionally, he anticipates US Treasurys to face "devaluation" as the Treasury’s mountain of debt continues to grow, rendering the bond market less attractive. If both trends play out, he believes Bitcoin will win over a lot of money that can’t move freely in traditional markets.

此外，随着财政部的债务不断增长，我们预计我们将面临“贬值”，从而使债券市场的吸引力降低。如果这两种趋势都浮出水面，他认为比特币将赢得许多无法在传统市场中自由移动的钱。

Highlighting the upcoming US presidential vote in 2028, Hayes chose this year as his time horizon for the $1 million price prediction. A pro-crypto administration could lift Bitcoin’s status even further, while a government that digs in on rules could slow things down.

海耶斯（Hayes）强调了即将在2028年举行的美国总统投票，今年以100万美元的价格预测选择了他的时间范围。亲克赖特托政府可以进一步提高比特币的地位，而挖掘规则的政府可能会减慢事情的速度。

Hayes notes the Trump years as an example of a friendly stance and hints that a different leader might flip the script. In Europe, authorities seem more likely to clamp down on any attempt to use Bitcoin broadly, and Hayes warns that the European Central Bank may try to shut down crypto use.

海耶斯（Hayes）指出，特朗普（Trump）是友好立场的一个例子，并暗示另一个领导者可能会翻转剧本。在欧洲，当局似乎更有可能削减任何尝试大量使用比特币的尝试，海斯警告说，欧洲中央银行可能试图关闭加密货币的使用。

According to him, such attempts will only serve to push people further toward digital coins. In contrast, China has steered clear of banning private Bitcoin ownership, as it's an endeavor that wouldn’t succeed and would only serve to fuel illegal markets.

据他说，这种尝试只会使人们进一步推向数字硬币。相比之下，中国已经避免了禁止私人比特币所有权，因为这是一项努力，不会成功，只会为非法市场提供助长。

This isn't the first time that the ex-BitMEX exec has set a bold price target for Bitcoin. Last month, he predicted that the apex coin could hit $100,000, having previously set a low point at mid-$70,000. Other voices in finance are even more bullish than that.

这不是Ex-Bitmex Exec第一次为比特币设定大胆的目标目标。上个月，他预测，顶点硬币可能会达到100,000美元，此前曾将低点定为70,000美元。财务中的其他声音比这更看涨。

Earlier this year, Fidelity set seven-figure price targets for the next ten years, starting with $127,000 by the end of 2023. Meanwhile, Strategy Inc. chair Michael Saylor, who has the largest Bitcoin stash among public firms, sees the apex coin climbing to a $10 trillion market value—working out to about $500,000 per coin—by 2030. He's also talked about a whopping $13 million price by 2045.

今年早些时候，富达将未来十年的七位价目标定为7年，到2023年底以127,000美元的价格开始。与此同时，战略公司主席迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）主席迈克尔·赛勒（Michael Saylor）是公共公司中最大的比特币藏在公共公司中，看到Apex Coin Coin攀登10亿美元的市场价值，达到了10亿美元的价格，大约是2030美元，即2030年，他也是2030年以2030美元的价格。

To reach $1 million by 2028, Bitcoin's market capitalization would need to swell to roughly $20 trillion. For perspective, that's almost twice the size of gold's market today and would require a massive influx of new buyers, ranging from large institutions to individual savers.

到2028年，要达到100万美元，比特币的市值将需要膨胀至约20万亿美元。从当今的角度来看，这几乎是黄金市场的两倍，需要大量的新买家涌入，从大型机构到单个储蓄者。

Any serious regulatory crackdown or a sudden rise in bond yields could pose setbacks to this scenario. However, if global money continues to seek shelter and fiat currencies keep weakening, then Hayes's optimistic scenario might unfold sooner and more rapidly than many anticipate.

任何严重的监管镇压或债券收益率突然上升都可能挫败这种情况。但是，如果全球资金继续寻求庇护所和法定货币不断减弱，那么海斯乐观的情景可能会比许多人预期的要早，更快地展现出来。