比特幣（BTC）金十字架即將確認，這表明下一個公牛可能即將是

根據Charting Platform TradingView的數據，按市場價值按市場價值出現的領先加密貨幣似乎可以在未來幾天確認“黃金十字”。

Crypto traders are eagerly anticipating the confirmation of a “golden cross” by bitcoin (BTC) in the coming days, according to charting platform TradingView.

根據Charting Platform Tradingview的數據，加密貨幣交易者急切地期待比特幣（BTC）對比特幣（BTC）確認。

The pattern occurs when the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of prices crosses above the 200-day SMA to suggest that the short-term trend is outperforming the broader trend, which could evolve into a major bull run.

當50天簡單的移動平均值（SMA）超過200天SMA以表明短期趨勢表現優於更廣泛的趨勢時，這種模式就會發生。

The moving average-based golden cross has a mixed record of predicting price trends. However, the impending one is worth noting because it’s about to occur weeks after its ominous-sounding opposite, the death cross, trapped bears on the wrong side of the market.

基於移動的平均值黃金十字架的記錄是預測價格趨勢的記錄。但是，即將到來的一個值得注意的是，因為它在其不祥的相反，死亡十字架，被困在市場上的熊幾週後。

A similar pattern unfolded from August through September 2024, setting the stage for a convincing move above $70,000 in early November. Prices eventually set a record high above $109K in January this year.

從8月至2024年9月，這種類似的模式展開了，為11月初令人信服的舉動奠定了基礎。價格最終在今年1月創造了創紀錄的高於$ 109K的高度。

The chart on the left shows that BTC bottomed out at around $50,000 in early August last year as the 50-day SMA moved below the 200-day SMA to confirm the death cross.

左側的圖表顯示，去年8月初，BTC在50,000美元左右觸底了50萬美元，因為50天的SMA移至200天的SMA以下以確認死亡十字架。

In other words, the death cross was a bear trap, much like the one in early April this year. Prices turned higher in subsequent weeks, eventually beginning a new uptrend after the appearance of the golden cross in late October 2024.

換句話說，死亡十字架是一個熊陷阱，就像今年4月初的熊陷阱一樣。在隨後的幾周中，價格上漲了，最終在2024年10月下旬出現金十字架後開始新的上升趨勢。

The bullish sequence is being repeated since early April, and prices could begin the next leg higher following the confirmation of the golden cross in the coming days.

自4月初以來，看漲的序列正在重複，在未來幾天獲得金十字架後，價格可能會開始下一條腿。

Past performance does not guarantee future results, and technical patterns do not always deliver as expected. That said, macro factors seem aligned with the bullish technical setup.

過去的性能不能保證未來的結果，並且技術模式並不總是按預期提供。也就是說，宏觀因素似乎與看漲的技術設置保持一致。

Moody’s amplifies U.S. debt concerns

穆迪擴大了美國債務的關注

On Friday, credit rating agency Moody’s downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating from the highest ”Aaa” to ”Aa1”, citing concerns over the increasing national debt, which has now reached $36 trillion.

週五，信用評級機構穆迪（Moody）將美國主權信用評級從最高的“ AAA”降至“ AA1”，理由是對國債增加的擔憂現已達到36萬億美元。

The bond market has been pricing fiscal concerns for some time. Last week, CoinDesk detailed how persistent elevated Treasury yields reflected expectations for continued fiscal splurge and sovereign risk premium, both bullish for bitcoin.

一段時間以來，債券市場一直在定價財政問題。上週，Coindesk詳細介紹了持續提高的財政部產量如何反映對持續財政揮霍和主權風險溢價的期望，都是對比特幣的看漲期望。