比特币（BTC）金十字架即将确认，这表明下一个公牛可能即将是

根据Charting Platform TradingView的数据，按市场价值按市场价值出现的领先加密货币似乎可以在未来几天确认“黄金十字”。

Crypto traders are eagerly anticipating the confirmation of a “golden cross” by bitcoin (BTC) in the coming days, according to charting platform TradingView.

根据Charting Platform Tradingview的数据，加密货币交易者急切地期待比特币（BTC）对比特币（BTC）确认。

The pattern occurs when the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of prices crosses above the 200-day SMA to suggest that the short-term trend is outperforming the broader trend, which could evolve into a major bull run.

当50天简单的移动平均值（SMA）超过200天SMA以表明短期趋势表现优于更广泛的趋势时，这种模式就会发生。

The moving average-based golden cross has a mixed record of predicting price trends. However, the impending one is worth noting because it’s about to occur weeks after its ominous-sounding opposite, the death cross, trapped bears on the wrong side of the market.

基于移动的平均值黄金十字架的记录是预测价格趋势的记录。但是，即将到来的一个值得注意的是，因为它在其不祥的相反，死亡十字架，被困在市场上的熊几周后。

A similar pattern unfolded from August through September 2024, setting the stage for a convincing move above $70,000 in early November. Prices eventually set a record high above $109K in January this year.

从8月至2024年9月，这种类似的模式展开了，为11月初令人信服的举动奠定了基础。价格最终在今年1月创造了创纪录的高于$ 109K的高度。

The chart on the left shows that BTC bottomed out at around $50,000 in early August last year as the 50-day SMA moved below the 200-day SMA to confirm the death cross.

左侧的图表显示，去年8月初，BTC在50,000美元左右触底了50万美元，因为50天的SMA移至200天的SMA以下以确认死亡十字架。

In other words, the death cross was a bear trap, much like the one in early April this year. Prices turned higher in subsequent weeks, eventually beginning a new uptrend after the appearance of the golden cross in late October 2024.

换句话说，死亡十字架是一个熊陷阱，就像今年4月初的熊陷阱一样。在随后的几周中，价格上涨了，最终在2024年10月下旬出现金十字架后开始新的上升趋势。

The bullish sequence is being repeated since early April, and prices could begin the next leg higher following the confirmation of the golden cross in the coming days.

自4月初以来，看涨的序列正在重复，在未来几天获得金十字架后，价格可能会开始下一条腿。

Past performance does not guarantee future results, and technical patterns do not always deliver as expected. That said, macro factors seem aligned with the bullish technical setup.

过去的性能不能保证未来的结果，并且技术模式并不总是按预期提供。也就是说，宏观因素似乎与看涨的技术设置保持一致。

Moody’s amplifies U.S. debt concerns

穆迪扩大了美国债务的关注

On Friday, credit rating agency Moody’s downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating from the highest ”Aaa” to ”Aa1”, citing concerns over the increasing national debt, which has now reached $36 trillion.

周五，信用评级机构穆迪（Moody）将美国主权信用评级从最高的“ AAA”降至“ AA1”，理由是对国债增加的担忧现已达到36万亿美元。

The bond market has been pricing fiscal concerns for some time. Last week, CoinDesk detailed how persistent elevated Treasury yields reflected expectations for continued fiscal splurge and sovereign risk premium, both bullish for bitcoin.

一段时间以来，债券市场一直在定价财政问题。上周，Coindesk详细介绍了持续提高的财政部产量如何反映对持续财政挥霍和主权风险溢价的期望，都是对比特币的看涨期望。