比特幣 (BTC) 牛市捲土重來，但首次重返 51,000 美元並非不可能

傳奇交易員 Peter Brandt 最近在 X 上發布了一張比特幣圖表，呼籲 15 萬美元的 BTC。

Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading in a narrow range for the past few weeks, but the bulls are finally making a push. BTC price rose above the key resistance at $57,000 on Monday, and now a return to $51,000 first is not off the cards.

過去幾週，比特幣（BTC）一直在窄幅波動，但多頭終於開始推動。週一，BTC 價格上漲至 57,000 美元的關鍵阻力位上方，現在首次重返 51,000 美元並非不可能。

Meanwhile, legendary trader Peter Brandt recently published a Bitcoin chart on X calling for $150,000 $BTC. But, $BTC is not out of the woods yet, at least in the shorter term.

與此同時，傳奇交易員 Peter Brandt 最近在 X 上發布了一張比特幣圖表，呼籲 15 萬美元的 BTC。但是，$BTC 還沒有走出困境，至少在短期內是如此。

Bitcoin bottom found?

比特幣見底了嗎？

It could be that Bitcoin has already found the bottom, or is close to it for this long 6 month correction. Might $49,000 end up being that bottom? Unless there is another big economic scare, like the Japan carry trade crash, it seems that Bitcoin could well be on its way up again.

在這長達 6 個月的調整中，比特幣可能已經觸底，或接近底部。 49,000 美元最終會是那個底部嗎？除非出現另一場重大經濟恐慌，例如日本套利交易崩盤，否則比特幣似乎很可能會再次上漲。

Peter Brandt, trader extraordinaire, posted a chart on his X account showing that $BTC is still in a parabolic upswing. The parabola target is $150,000, and he believes that $BTC can reach this potential top in late Summer of 2025.

傑出交易員 Peter Brandt 在他的 X 帳戶上發布了一張圖表，顯示 BTC 仍處於拋物線上升趨勢。拋物線目標是 15 萬美元，他相信 BTC 可以在 2025 年夏末達到這一潛在頂部。

An X account that always causes polemic discussion is that of famed billionaire entrepreneur Robert Kiyosaki. His post on Monday warned of holding bonds, which are a country’s debt. He said that while crashes in the market are “visible”, “banking crashes are hidden”, and that these are “much more dangerous”. He said this was one reason why he invests in physical assets like gold, silver, and Bitcoin.

一個總是引起爭議的 X 帳戶是著名的億萬富翁企業家羅伯特·清崎 (Robert Kiyosaki) 的帳戶。他週一的貼文對持有債券發出警告，債券是一個國家的債務。他表示，雖然市場崩潰是“可見的”，但“銀行崩潰是隱藏的”，而且這些“危險得多”。他表示，這是他投資黃金、白銀和比特幣等實體資產的原因之一。

One more dip for BTC price?

BTC價格再下跌？

Bitcoin (BTC) may be the asset of choice going into the end of this year, and into next, but traders should be aware that the king of the cryptocurrencies is not quite out of the woods yet.

比特幣（BTC）可能是今年年底和明年的首選資產，但交易者應該意識到，加密貨幣之王尚未完全擺脫困境。

The short term time frame chart above shows that $BTC broke out of the descending channel. However, the price has been held by the $57,000 resistance, except for a brief wick up to $58,000.

上面的短期時間框架圖顯示，BTC 突破了下降通道。然而，除了短暫上升至 58,000 美元的燭線外，價格一直受到 57,000 美元阻力位的支撐。

The price could get up to around $60,000, which is the measured target for the ascending channel, but it needs to be borne in mind that the Stochastic RSIs for the 4-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour, are all at, or approaching the top, and therefore upward momentum may be leaving the price soon.

價格可能會升至 60,000 美元左右，這是上升通道的測量目標，但需要記住，4 小時、8 小時和 12 小時的隨機 RSI 均位於，或接近頂部，因此上漲動力可能很快就會離開價格。

If the BTC price does turn back down, it could look to retest the top trend line of the channel. It would not be a good sign, and rather bearish, if the price broke back into the channel.

如果比特幣價格確實回落，它可能會重新測試通道的頂部趨勢線。如果價格重返通道，這將不是一個好兆頭，而且相當看跌。

Macro indicator about to turn bullish?

宏觀指標即將轉為看漲？

Zooming right out into the weekly time frame, it can be noted that the BTC price needs to either break above the $58,000 resistance, and turn it into support once more, or break down below the flag and the support at $51,000.

仔細觀察每週時間框架，可以發現，BTC 價格要么需要突破 58,000 美元的阻力位，並再次將其轉變為支撐位，要么跌破旗形和 51,000 美元的支撐位。

Continuing sideways for too much longer probably isn’t an option, as macro indicators are about to break. At the bottom of the chart the Relative Strength Index has been trending down for the whole of these past six months.

繼續橫盤太長時間可能不是一個選擇，因為宏觀指標即將突破。在圖表底部，相對強度指數在過去六個月中一直呈下降趨勢。

A series of lower highs and lower lows have ensued. However, the indicator has reached a major support level (orange line), and as things stand the indicator is pointing upwards. A bounce from this support and through the trend line would put Bitcoin back on track again.

隨後出現了一系列較低的高點和較低的低點。然而，該指標已達到主要支撐位（橙色線），並且就目前情況而言，該指標指向上方。從該支撐位反彈並穿過趨勢線將使比特幣再次回到正軌。