比特币 (BTC) 牛市卷土重来，但首次重返 51,000 美元并非不可能

传奇交易员 Peter Brandt 最近在 X 上发布了一张比特币图表，呼吁 150,000 美元的 BTC。

Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading in a narrow range for the past few weeks, but the bulls are finally making a push. BTC price rose above the key resistance at $57,000 on Monday, and now a return to $51,000 first is not off the cards.

过去几周，比特币（BTC）一直在窄幅波动，但多头终于开始推动。周一，BTC 价格上涨至 57,000 美元的关键阻力位上方，现在首次重返 51,000 美元并非不可能。

Meanwhile, legendary trader Peter Brandt recently published a Bitcoin chart on X calling for $150,000 $BTC. But, $BTC is not out of the woods yet, at least in the shorter term.

与此同时，传奇交易员 Peter Brandt 最近在 X 上发布了一张比特币图表，呼吁 150,000 美元的 BTC。但是，$BTC 还没有走出困境，至少在短期内是这样。

Bitcoin bottom found?

比特币见底了吗？

It could be that Bitcoin has already found the bottom, or is close to it for this long 6 month correction. Might $49,000 end up being that bottom? Unless there is another big economic scare, like the Japan carry trade crash, it seems that Bitcoin could well be on its way up again.

在这长达 6 个月的调整中，比特币可能已经触底，或接近底部。 49,000 美元最终会是那个底部吗？除非出现另一场重大经济恐慌，例如日本套利交易崩盘，否则比特币似乎很可能会再次上涨。

Peter Brandt, trader extraordinaire, posted a chart on his X account showing that $BTC is still in a parabolic upswing. The parabola target is $150,000, and he believes that $BTC can reach this potential top in late Summer of 2025.

杰出交易员 Peter Brandt 在他的 X 账户上发布了一张图表，显示 BTC 仍处于抛物线上升趋势。抛物线目标是 150,000 美元，他相信 BTC 可以在 2025 年夏末达到这一潜在顶部。

An X account that always causes polemic discussion is that of famed billionaire entrepreneur Robert Kiyosaki. His post on Monday warned of holding bonds, which are a country’s debt. He said that while crashes in the market are “visible”, “banking crashes are hidden”, and that these are “much more dangerous”. He said this was one reason why he invests in physical assets like gold, silver, and Bitcoin.

一个总是引起争议的 X 账户是著名的亿万富翁企业家罗伯特·清崎 (Robert Kiyosaki) 的账户。他周一的帖子对持有债券发出警告，债券是一个国家的债务。他表示，虽然市场崩溃是“可见的”，但“银行崩溃是隐藏的”，而且这些“危险得多”。他表示，这是他投资黄金、白银和比特币等实物资产的原因之一。

One more dip for BTC price?

BTC价格再下跌？

Bitcoin (BTC) may be the asset of choice going into the end of this year, and into next, but traders should be aware that the king of the cryptocurrencies is not quite out of the woods yet.

比特币（BTC）可能是今年年底和明年的首选资产，但交易者应该意识到，加密货币之王尚未完全摆脱困境。

The short term time frame chart above shows that $BTC broke out of the descending channel. However, the price has been held by the $57,000 resistance, except for a brief wick up to $58,000.

上面的短期时间框架图显示，BTC 突破了下降通道。然而，除了短暂上升至 58,000 美元的烛线之外，价格一直受到 57,000 美元阻力位的支撑。

The price could get up to around $60,000, which is the measured target for the ascending channel, but it needs to be borne in mind that the Stochastic RSIs for the 4-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour, are all at, or approaching the top, and therefore upward momentum may be leaving the price soon.

价格可能升至 60,000 美元左右，这是上升通道的测量目标，但需要记住，4 小时、8 小时和 12 小时的随机 RSI 均位于，或接近顶部，因此价格可能很快就会失去上涨动力。

If the BTC price does turn back down, it could look to retest the top trend line of the channel. It would not be a good sign, and rather bearish, if the price broke back into the channel.

如果比特币价格确实回落，它可能会重新测试通道的顶部趋势线。如果价格重返通道，这将不是一个好兆头，而且相当看跌。

Macro indicator about to turn bullish?

宏观指标即将转为看涨？

Zooming right out into the weekly time frame, it can be noted that the BTC price needs to either break above the $58,000 resistance, and turn it into support once more, or break down below the flag and the support at $51,000.

仔细观察每周时间框架，可以注意到，BTC 价格要么需要突破 58,000 美元的阻力位，并再次将其转变为支撑位，要么跌破旗形和 51,000 美元的支撑位。

Continuing sideways for too much longer probably isn’t an option, as macro indicators are about to break. At the bottom of the chart the Relative Strength Index has been trending down for the whole of these past six months.

继续横盘太长时间可能不是一个选择，因为宏观指标即将突破。在图表底部，相对强度指数在过去六个月中一直呈下降趋势。

A series of lower highs and lower lows have ensued. However, the indicator has reached a major support level (orange line), and as things stand the indicator is pointing upwards. A bounce from this support and through the trend line would put Bitcoin back on track again.

随后出现了一系列较低的高点和较低的低点。然而，该指标已达到主要支撑位（橙色线），并且就目前情况而言，该指标指向上方。从该支撑位反弹并穿过趋势线将使比特币再次回到正轨。