比特幣中斷了$ 96,000，表明潛在的市場結構變化

隨著動量的整體發展，這一突破使公牛隊佔據了上風，並帶有新的樂觀情緒，即BTC可以在短期內收回這一$ 10萬美元的里程碑。

Bitcoin (BTC) price is showing signs of heating up as it attempts to break out of a key resistance zone, suggesting that a decisive move may be unfolding.

比特幣（BTC）的價格顯示出加熱的跡象，因為它試圖脫離關鍵阻力區域，這表明決定性的舉動可能正在發展。

Bitcoin May Be Entering Early Stages Of New Rally, Says Top Crypto Analyst

頂級加密分析師說，比特幣可能正在進入新拉力賽的早期階段。

After weeks of consolidation and selling pressure, Bitcoin has finally broken above the $96,000 mark. This breakout could give bulls the upper hand and set the stage for a continuation of the rally, setting sights on the psychological $100,000 milestone.

經過數週的合併和銷售壓力，比特幣終於在96,000美元的上獲得了損失。這種突破可以使公牛占上風，並為延續集會的舞台奠定了基礎，從而使心理上的100,000美元里程碑奠定了基礎。

As global macroeconomic conditions and geopolitical tensions continue to cast uncertainty over financial markets, Bitcoin’s strength hints at a growing appetite for risk among investors.

隨著全球宏觀經濟狀況和地緣政治緊張局勢繼續對金融市場產生不確定性，比特幣的實力暗示了投資者對風險的需求日益增長。

If bulls can sustain this breakout and push toward $100K, it would confirm a broader market shift and potentially lead to a strong Q2 rally across the crypto sector.

如果公牛可以維持這一突破並將其推向10萬美元，它將證實市場的更大變化，並有可能導致在加密貨幣領域進行強大的Q2集會。

Top crypto analyst Axel Adler shared a key on-chain metric that suggests Bitcoin is entering the early stages of a new rally. According to Adler, the on-chain momentum ratio now sits around 0.8 (or 80%). Historically, this zone has preceded strong upward trends in previous cycles.

頂級加密分析師阿克塞爾·阿德勒（Axel Adler）分享了一個關鍵的鏈量學指標，該指標表明比特幣正在進入新集會的早期階段。根據阿德勒的說法，現在的鏈動量比率位於0.8（或80％）左右。從歷史上看，該區域先於先前週期的強勁上升趨勢。

According to his analysis, if this ratio manages to break above 1.0 and manages to stay there, it would indicate a strong bullish impulse. In this optimistic scenario, key metrics like NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) and MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) would signal an expansion phase, potentially pushing Bitcoin to revisit its cycle pattern seen in 2017 and 2021. A rally toward $150K to $175K would not be out of the question in such a case.

根據他的分析，如果該比率設法超過1.0並設法呆在那裡，則表明強烈的看漲衝動。在這種樂觀的情況下，諸如NUPL（未實現的盈利/損失）和MVRV（實現價值的市場價值）之類的關鍵指標將指示擴展階段，可能會推動比特幣在2017年和2021年重新審視其周期模式。在這種情況下，$ 150K至17.5 k的劃分不會落到15萬美元的問題上。

However, if the ratio remains between 0.8 and 1.0, the market may enter a consolidation phase. In this case, Bitcoin would likely trade between $90K and $110K, with participants holding positions but not adding significant exposure. This range-bound behavior would suggest that caution remains, despite a positive longer-term outlook.

但是，如果比率保持在0.8至1.0之間，則市場可能進入合併階段。在這種情況下，比特幣可能會在$ 90K到11萬美元之間進行交易，而參與者擔任職位，但不會增加大量曝光率。儘管長期前景積極，但這種界限的行為仍表明謹慎仍然存在。

A more cautious outlook emerges if the ratio drops toward 0.75 or lower. This move would likely trigger profit-taking from short-term holders, putting pressure on the market and possibly driving Bitcoin down to the $70K–$85K range. Given that a correction has already taken place, Adler believes the first two scenarios are currently more probable. Still, macroeconomic risks—such as recession fears or geopolitical shocks—could tip the scale.

如果比率下降到0.75或更低，則會出現更謹慎的前景。這一舉動可能會引發短期持有人的利潤，在市場上施加壓力，並可能將比特幣降低到7萬美元 - $ 8.5萬美元。鑑於已經進行了更正，阿德勒認為前兩種情況當前更有可能。儘管如此，宏觀經濟風險（例如經濟衰退的恐懼或地緣政治衝擊）還是可能會使規模傾斜。

Overall, Bitcoin appears to be warming up for a decisive move, and the next few weeks may confirm whether this is the beginning of a breakout or a continuation of broader consolidation.

總體而言，比特幣似乎正在為決定性舉措而熱身，接下來的幾周可能會證實這是突破的開始還是更廣泛的整合。

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bulls Challenge Key Resistance At $96K

比特幣價格分析：公牛挑戰鑰匙阻力為$ 96K

Bitcoin is trading at $96,130, continuing its short-term uptrend after a sharp rally from the $81K level in mid-April. The daily chart shows strong momentum, with BTC now consolidating just below the $96K resistance zone—a level that previously acted as support in February and March before the breakdown.

比特幣的交易價格為96,130美元，在4月中旬的8.1萬美元水平急劇下降之後，其短期上升趨勢繼續。每日圖表顯示出強大的動力，現在BTC的合併剛好低於$ 96K的電阻區，這一水平先前在2月和3月的支持之前就在崩潰之前充當了支持。

A successful breakout above this zone would open the door for a test of the psychological $100K level, followed by the next major resistance at $103,600.

在該區域上方的成功突破將為測試心理$ 10萬美元的測試打開大門，其次是下一個主要阻力，為103,600美元。

Notably, both the 200-day SMA ($89,843) and 200-day EMA ($85,926) have been cleanly reclaimed during this recent move, signaling a clear shift in trend structure. Volume has remained steady during the rally, though a noticeable increase in buying pressure would help confirm continuation.

值得注意的是，在最近的這一舉動中，200天SMA（89,843美元）和200天EMA（85,926美元）均已乾淨地收回，這表明趨勢結構發生了明顯的變化。在集會期間，數量一直保持穩定，儘管購買壓力的明顯增加將有助於確認延續。

The current structure resembles a bullish continuation pattern, but BTC must break and close above the $96K mark with conviction to confirm upside momentum. Failure to do so may result in a pullback to retest support zones around $92K and $89K.

當前的結構類似於看漲的延續模式，但BTC必須打破並在$ 96K的標記上閉合，並堅信確認上升勢頭。如果不這樣做，可能會導致回調以重新測試支持區，約為$ 92K和8.9萬美元。

Overall, the trend remains bullish in the short term, but caution is warranted as the $96K–$100K range represents a critical supply zone where many sellers may step in. A decisive move in the coming days could shape Bitcoin’s direction for May.

總體而言，這種趨勢在短期內仍然是看好的，但是要謹慎行事，因為$ 96K- $ 100K的範圍代表了許多賣家可能介入的關鍵供應區。在接下來的幾天中，決定性的舉動可能會影響比特幣5月的方向。