比特币中断了$ 96,000，表明潜在的市场结构变化

随着动量的整体发展，这一突破使公牛队占据了上风，并带有新的乐观情绪，即BTC可以在短期内收回这一$ 10万美元的里程碑。

Bitcoin (BTC) price is showing signs of heating up as it attempts to break out of a key resistance zone, suggesting that a decisive move may be unfolding.

比特币（BTC）的价格显示出加热的迹象，因为它试图脱离关键阻力区域，这表明决定性的举动可能正在发展。

Bitcoin May Be Entering Early Stages Of New Rally, Says Top Crypto Analyst

顶级加密分析师说，比特币可能正在进入新拉力赛的早期阶段。

After weeks of consolidation and selling pressure, Bitcoin has finally broken above the $96,000 mark. This breakout could give bulls the upper hand and set the stage for a continuation of the rally, setting sights on the psychological $100,000 milestone.

经过数周的合并和销售压力，比特币终于在96,000美元的上获得了损失。这种突破可以使公牛占上风，并为延续集会的舞台奠定了基础，从而使心理上的100,000美元里程碑奠定了基础。

As global macroeconomic conditions and geopolitical tensions continue to cast uncertainty over financial markets, Bitcoin’s strength hints at a growing appetite for risk among investors.

随着全球宏观经济状况和地缘政治紧张局势继续对金融市场产生不确定性，比特币的实力暗示了投资者对风险的需求日益增长。

If bulls can sustain this breakout and push toward $100K, it would confirm a broader market shift and potentially lead to a strong Q2 rally across the crypto sector.

如果公牛可以维持这一突破并将其推向10万美元，它将证实市场的更大变化，并有可能导致在加密货币领域进行强大的Q2集会。

Top crypto analyst Axel Adler shared a key on-chain metric that suggests Bitcoin is entering the early stages of a new rally. According to Adler, the on-chain momentum ratio now sits around 0.8 (or 80%). Historically, this zone has preceded strong upward trends in previous cycles.

顶级加密分析师阿克塞尔·阿德勒（Axel Adler）分享了一个关键的链量学指标，该指标表明比特币正在进入新集会的早期阶段。根据阿德勒的说法，现在的链动量比率位于0.8（或80％）左右。从历史上看，该区域先于先前周期的强劲上升趋势。

According to his analysis, if this ratio manages to break above 1.0 and manages to stay there, it would indicate a strong bullish impulse. In this optimistic scenario, key metrics like NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) and MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) would signal an expansion phase, potentially pushing Bitcoin to revisit its cycle pattern seen in 2017 and 2021. A rally toward $150K to $175K would not be out of the question in such a case.

根据他的分析，如果该比率设法超过1.0并设法呆在那里，则表明强烈的看涨冲动。在这种乐观的情况下，诸如NUPL（未实现的盈利/损失）和MVRV（实现价值的市场价值）之类的关键指标将指示扩展阶段，可能会推动比特币在2017年和2021年重新审视其周期模式。在这种情况下，$ 150K至17.5 k的划分不会落到15万美元的问题上。

However, if the ratio remains between 0.8 and 1.0, the market may enter a consolidation phase. In this case, Bitcoin would likely trade between $90K and $110K, with participants holding positions but not adding significant exposure. This range-bound behavior would suggest that caution remains, despite a positive longer-term outlook.

但是，如果比率保持在0.8至1.0之间，则市场可能进入合并阶段。在这种情况下，比特币可能会在$ 90K到11万美元之间进行交易，而参与者担任职位，但不会增加大量曝光率。尽管长期前景积极，但这种界限的行为仍表明谨慎仍然存在。

A more cautious outlook emerges if the ratio drops toward 0.75 or lower. This move would likely trigger profit-taking from short-term holders, putting pressure on the market and possibly driving Bitcoin down to the $70K–$85K range. Given that a correction has already taken place, Adler believes the first two scenarios are currently more probable. Still, macroeconomic risks—such as recession fears or geopolitical shocks—could tip the scale.

如果比率下降到0.75或更低，则会出现更谨慎的前景。这一举动可能会引发短期持有人的利润，在市场上施加压力，并可能将比特币降低到7万美元 - $ 8.5万美元。鉴于已经进行了更正，阿德勒认为前两种情况当前更有可能。尽管如此，宏观经济风险（例如经济衰退的恐惧或地缘政治冲击）还是可能会使规模倾斜。

Overall, Bitcoin appears to be warming up for a decisive move, and the next few weeks may confirm whether this is the beginning of a breakout or a continuation of broader consolidation.

总体而言，比特币似乎正在为决定性举措而热身，接下来的几周可能会证实这是突破的开始还是更广泛的整合。

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bulls Challenge Key Resistance At $96K

比特币价格分析：公牛挑战钥匙阻力为$ 96K

Bitcoin is trading at $96,130, continuing its short-term uptrend after a sharp rally from the $81K level in mid-April. The daily chart shows strong momentum, with BTC now consolidating just below the $96K resistance zone—a level that previously acted as support in February and March before the breakdown.

比特币的交易价格为96,130美元，在4月中旬的8.1万美元水平急剧下降之后，其短期上升趋势继续。每日图表显示出强大的动力，现在BTC的合并刚好低于$ 96K的电阻区，这一水平先前在2月和3月的支持之前就在崩溃之前充当了支持。

A successful breakout above this zone would open the door for a test of the psychological $100K level, followed by the next major resistance at $103,600.

在该区域上方的成功突破将为测试心理$ 10万美元的测试打开大门，其次是下一个主要阻力，为103,600美元。

Notably, both the 200-day SMA ($89,843) and 200-day EMA ($85,926) have been cleanly reclaimed during this recent move, signaling a clear shift in trend structure. Volume has remained steady during the rally, though a noticeable increase in buying pressure would help confirm continuation.

值得注意的是，在最近的这一举动中，200天SMA（89,843美元）和200天EMA（85,926美元）均已干净地收回，这表明趋势结构发生了明显的变化。在集会期间，数量一直保持稳定，尽管购买压力的明显增加将有助于确认延续。

The current structure resembles a bullish continuation pattern, but BTC must break and close above the $96K mark with conviction to confirm upside momentum. Failure to do so may result in a pullback to retest support zones around $92K and $89K.

当前的结构类似于看涨的延续模式，但BTC必须打破并在$ 96K的标记上闭合，并坚信确认上升势头。如果不这样做，可能会导致回调以重新测试支持区，约为$ 92K和8.9万美元。

Overall, the trend remains bullish in the short term, but caution is warranted as the $96K–$100K range represents a critical supply zone where many sellers may step in. A decisive move in the coming days could shape Bitcoin’s direction for May.

总体而言，这种趋势在短期内仍然是看好的，但是要谨慎行事，因为$ 96K- $ 100K的范围代表了许多卖家可能介入的关键供应区。在接下来的几天中，决定性的举动可能会影响比特币5月的方向。