比特幣接近主要測試，因為它跟踪黃金的路徑

比特幣再次處於決定性的時刻，交易幅度低於備受期待的100,000美元。經過數週的穩定增長和最近的97,000美元以上的推動力，公牛似乎很自信，但市場參與者仍然謹慎。

Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching a decisive moment as it flirts with the psychological $100,000 barrier, a key milestone that could confirm the start of a new macro uptrend.

比特幣（BTC）與心理$ 100,000的障礙調情，這是一個決定性的時刻，這是一個重要的里程碑，可以確認新的宏觀上升趨勢的開始。

While bulls are optimistic following a week of strong bullish price action that saw Bitcoin reach $97,900—its highest level since the March sell-off—global macroeconomic tensions remain, with concerns over inflation, trade conflicts, and monetary tightening still weighing on investor sentiment.

儘管公牛在一周的強烈看漲價格行動之後，比特幣達到了97,900美元，這是自3月份出售以來的最高水平，但公牛隊仍然保持樂觀，這是全球宏觀經濟的緊張局勢，但擔心通貨膨脹，貿易衝突和金錢緊縮仍對投資者的情緒感到擔憂。

Despite the uncertainty, optimism is growing among long-term holders and market participants who expect a breakout in the coming weeks.

儘管存在不確定性，但長期持有人和市場參與者的樂觀情緒仍在增長，他們期望未來幾週會突破。

Top analyst Ted Pillows shared an insightful comparison, suggesting that Bitcoin is currently mirroring gold’s recent price cycle: a deep accumulation phase followed by a breakout to all-time highs.

頂級分析師TED Pillows分享了一個有見地的比較，這表明比特幣目前正在反映Gold最近的價格週期：深度積累階段，然後突破到歷史最高點。

According to Pillows, Bitcoin entered a re-accumulation phase after the March 2024 peak and successfully broke out of it in Q4 2024 — just as gold did before hitting record highs.

根據枕頭的說法，比特幣在2024年3月的峰值之後進入了一次重新淘汰階段，並在2024年第四季度成功地爆發了，就像黃金在達到創紀錄的高點之前所做的那樣。

Now, BTC appears to be following the same trajectory, with investor confidence building as supply tightens and demand climbs. If the pattern continues, a sustained push above $100K could usher in a new leg of the bull cycle, drawing even more capital into the crypto market.

現在，BTC似乎正在遵循相同的軌跡，隨著供應的收緊和需求攀升，投資者的信心會增加。如果這種模式繼續下去，持續的推動力超過$ 10萬美元，可以將新的公牛週期的新腿引入，從而將更多的資本吸引到加密貨幣市場。

Bitcoin Approaches Major Test As It Tracks Gold’s Path

比特幣接近主要測試，因為它跟踪黃金的路徑

Bitcoin is once again at a decisive moment, trading just below the highly anticipated $100,000 mark.

比特幣再次處於決定性的時刻，交易幅度低於備受期待的100,000美元。

After several weeks of steady gains and a recent push above $97,000, bulls appear confident—but market participants remain cautious. A successful breakout above $100K would not only mark a major psychological milestone, but also signal the start of a new bullish macro phase. However, ongoing macroeconomic tensions, including inflationary pressure, global trade instability, and lingering recession fears, continue to weigh heavily on the broader market.

經過數週的穩定增長和最近的97,000美元以上的努力，公牛似乎很自信，但市場參與者仍然謹慎。超過$ 10萬美元的成功突破不僅標誌著一個主要的心理里程碑，而且還標誌著新的看漲宏觀階段的開始。但是，持續的宏觀經濟緊張局勢，包括通貨膨脹壓力，全球貿易不穩定和衰退的恐懼，繼續在更廣闊的市場上重大壓力。

Pillows shared a compelling outlook, noting that Bitcoin appears to be tracing the same path as gold’s recent rally. According to his analysis, BTC underwent a classic accumulation phase in early 2024, similar to gold’s behavior before it reached all-time highs. This was followed by a breakout and re-accumulation, culminating in another breakout during Q4 2024. Since then, Bitcoin entered a months-long consolidation phase, coiling within a defined range and building the necessary strength for its next leg up.

枕頭分享了令人信服的前景，並指出比特幣似乎正在追踪與Gold最近的集會相同的道路。根據他的分析，BTC在2024年初經歷了經典的積累階段，類似於黃金在達到歷史高潮之前的行為。接下來是突破和重新淘汰的，最終在第4季度的第二季度突破。從那時起，比特幣進入了一個長達數月的整合階段，在定義的範圍內盤繞，並為其下一條腿增添了必要的強度。

Pillows believes that the breakout has already begun and expects a new all-time high to be reached by Q2 2025. If this scenario plays out, Bitcoin would likely surpass the $100K resistance and potentially open the door to a fresh wave of capital inflows across the crypto market.

枕頭認為突破已經開始，並預計到2025年第2季度將達到新的歷史最高水平。如果這種情況發生，比特幣可能會超過10萬美元的阻力，並有可能為整個加密貨幣市場的新鮮資本流入浪潮打開大門。

BTC Price Consolidates Ahead Of Critical Test

BTC價格在批判性測試之前進行合併

Bitcoin is trading at $96,500 after several days of tight consolidation just below the $98,000 mark. The recent upward momentum has slowed, but bulls remain in control as BTC holds firmly above key short-term support levels.

經過幾天的緊密合併，比特幣的交易價格為96,500美元，低於98,000美元。最近的上升動力已經放緩，但由於BTC牢固地保持著關鍵的短期支持水平，公牛仍處於控制之中。

The $100,000 resistance remains the most important milestone on the horizon—reclaiming it would confirm a breakout and likely ignite the next leg of the bullish cycle. However, price action suggests that the market is waiting for a catalyst to break this range.

100,000美元的電阻仍然是地平線上最重要的里程碑 - 宣稱這將確認突破，並可能點燃看漲週期的下一條。但是，價格行動表明，市場正在等待催化劑打破該範圍。

A decisive move above $98K could set the tone for a push toward six figures, while continued rejection near this level might erode short-term momentum. If Bitcoin fails to hold the $95K support zone, it could trigger a correction into the low $90K region, where the next major support lies around the $88,500 level—home to the 200-day moving average.

超過$ 98K的決定性舉動可以定下朝著六位數推動的基調，而在此水平附近的持續拒絕可能會侵蝕短期勢頭。如果比特幣無法持有$ 95K的支持區，它可能會觸發校正到$ 90K的區域，下一個主要支持位於88,500美元的水平左右，到達200天的移動平均水平。

Overall, the setup remains constructive, but bulls must prove strength soon. With macroeconomic uncertainty still looming and global liquidity conditions tightening, market participants are closely watching for signs of confirmation—or weakness—in Bitcoin’s current structure. Until then, the $95K-$100K range remains the battleground.

總體而言，設置仍然是建設性的，但是公牛必須很快就會證明力量。隨著宏觀經濟不確定性仍在迫在眉睫，全球流動性條件緊縮，市場參與者正在密切關注比特幣目前的結構中確認的跡像或弱點的跡象。在此之前，$ 95K- $ 10萬美元的範圍仍然是戰場。