Arthur Hayes準確地預測其浸入$ 80,000之後，將比特幣（BTC）看漲

這位前Bitmex首席執行官認為，比特幣的觸底量約為77,000美元，並有望在進行另一項更正之前達到新的紀錄。

After accurately forecasting a Bitcoin (BTC) dip below $80,000, former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes is now turning bullish and predicts that the flagship cryptocurrency will hit $110,000.

在準確地預測比特幣（BTC）下降到80,000美元以下之後，Bitmex首席執行官Arthur Hayes現在正在看漲，並預測旗艦加密貨幣將達到110,000美元。

In a March 24 post on X , Hayes projected that Bitcoin would undergo a final descent to around $76,500, the recent multi-month low, before embarking on a rally to $110,000.

在3月24日在X上發表的帖子中，海耶斯預計比特幣將在最近的多個月低點（最近的多個月低點）進行最後的下降，然後進行召開率達到110,000美元。

His optimism stems from upcoming macroeconomic shifts, which he believes would propel Bitcoin higher after a period of consolidation.

他的樂觀源於即將發生的宏觀經濟轉變，他認為這會在一段時間的整合後推動比特幣。

"I don't care about tariffs, they are minimal in the near term. My thinking is that the Fed will transition out of QT for both Treasuries and Agency MBS in April or May. This will drive liquidity toward financial markets," said Hayes.

海斯說：“我不在乎關稅，在短期內它們是最小的。我的想法是，美聯儲將於4月或5月從QT過渡出QT和代理商MBS。這將推動流動性向金融市場帶來。”

He further explained that the Federal Reserve is currently selling more assets than it buys through Quantitative Tightening (QT), a measure that reduces the liquidity in the financial system.

他進一步解釋說，美聯儲目前正在出售比通過定量收緊（QT）購買的資產更多的資產，該措施降低了金融系統的流動性。

However, Hayes said that the Fed is expected to transition out of QT and begin Quantitative Easing (QE), which occurs when a central bank creates new money to purchase assets in the open market.

但是，海斯說，預計美聯儲將從QT過渡並開始定量寬鬆（QE），這發生在央行創造新資金以在公開市場上購買資產時發生的情況。

This move would inject fresh liquidity into the financial system, potentially driving up asset prices as institutions and individuals seek out investment opportunities.

此舉將向金融體系注入新的流動性，隨著機構和個人尋求投資機會，可能會提高資產價格。

"The interesting thing is that usually, when the Fed transitions out of QT, we see a move lower in rates. But this time, perhaps due to the banking crisis or sticky inflation, we might not see that classic pattern," said Hayes.

海耶斯說：“有趣的是，通常，當美聯儲過渡到QT過渡時，我們看到的速度降低了。但是這次，也許是由於銀行業危機或粘性通貨膨脹所致，我們可能看不到這種經典模式。”

"Maybe they cut rates at the May FOMC meeting. We'll see how the economic data plays out."

“也許他們在5月FOMC會議上降低了費率。我們將看到經濟數據的發揮。”

Some analysts believe that an interest rate cut could also be on the table at the Fed's next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in May, further strengthening the case for increased liquidity.

一些分析人士認為，在5月的美聯儲下屆聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）會議上，也可能會降低利率，進一步加強了增加流動性的案件。

Historically, QE has resulted in higher spending power among consumers, leading to increased demand for goods and services.

從歷史上看，量化寬鬆在消費者的消費能力上增加了較高的支出能力，從而增加了對商品和服務的需求。

During the COVID-19 pandemic, aggressive Fed stimulus measures fueled an unprecedented surge in crypto prices as excess liquidity found its way into risk assets. A similar trend could play out if QE returns.

在199日大流行期間，積極進取的刺激措施助長了加密價格的前所未有的飆升，因為多餘的流動性進入了風險資產。如果QE返回，則可能會出現類似的趨勢。

Bitcoin responded strongly to Powell's recent comments, rallying 4.5% in the past 24 hours. The broader crypto market followed suit, with altcoins seeing gains after weeks of stagnation.

比特幣對鮑威爾最近的評論做出了強有力的回應，在過去的24小時內，比特幣對4.5％的收穫。更廣泛的加密貨幣市場也隨之而來，Altcoins在停滯數週後看到了收益。

With the Fed's policy in focus, all eyes are now on Bitcoin's next move as it approaches key resistance levels.

隨著美聯儲的重點政策，隨著比特幣接近關鍵阻力水平，所有人現在都在比特幣的下一步行動。