AltCoin斑點ETF申請等待SEC行動，市場預測指出了“加密ETF的夏季”

分析人士看到，等待SEC行動的Altcoin Spot ETF文件增加。當前，超過70個加密ETF應用程序（從波紋的XRP到Solana和Dogecoin的資產）目前正在美國監管機構進行待處理。

Analysts at Bloomberg are keeping an eye on a growing number of altcoin spot ETF applications in the U.S., with over 70 such filings now pending with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

彭博社的分析師一直在關注美國越來越多的Altcoin spot ETF申請，現在有70多個此類此類申請書正在與美國證券交易委員會（SEC）（SEC）掛起。

According to a recent analysis by Bloomberg ETF analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart, these applications could lead to a “summer of crypto ETFs.”

根據彭博ETF分析師Eric Balchunas和James Seyffart的最新分析，這些應用可能導致“加密ETF的夏季”。

Their analysis indicates a high chance of approval for funds tracking Litecoin, XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin under the current SEC administration, a stark contrast to the previous administration's complete rejection of such applications.

他們的分析表明，在當前的SEC政府下，追踪Litecoin，XRP，Solana和Dogecoin的資金很有可能獲得批准，這與上一個政府完全拒絕此類應用程序形成了鮮明的對比。

The SEC is currently reviewing dozens of new ETF proposals, a task that could determine the fate of institutional investing in crypto markets for years to come.

SEC目前正在審查數十項新的ETF提案，這項任務可以決定未來幾年在加密貨幣市場上投資的命運。

As of Thursday, Balchunas noted on X (formerly Twitter) that “72 crypto-related ETFs are now awaiting approval.”

截至週四，Balchunas在X（以前是Twitter）上指出：“ 72個與加密相關的ETF現在正在等待批准。”

These filings cover a wide range of major altcoins, including XRP, SOL, LTC, ADA, and even more exotic tokens like COTI and REQ.

這些文件涵蓋了廣泛的主要山寨幣，包括XRP，SOL，LTC，ADA，甚至包括COTI和REQ等更奇特的令牌。

The pending applications follow last year's massive expansion of institutional access to Bitcoin and Ethereum with the approval of eleven spot Bitcoin ETFs in January and nine spot Ether ETFs by May.

待處理的申請是在去年大規模擴大了對比特幣和以太坊的機構訪問的大規模擴展，並在1月份獲得了11個點比特幣ETF和5月的9個位置ETHEF。

With the SEC facing final deadlines on batches of proposals through late 2025, the agency must issue approvals or rejections in the coming months.

由於SEC在2025年末之前對一批提案的最終期限面對最終期限，因此該機構必須在未來幾個月內簽發批准或拒絕。

According to predictions by Polymarket, a cryptocurrency prediction platform, there’s a 78–79% probability that an XRP spot ETF will be approved by December 2025.

根據加密貨幣預測平台Polymarket的預測，XRP Spot ETF的可能性為78-79％，將於2025年12月批准。

Similarly, Solana and Litecoin have year-end approval probabilities of about 78%, while Dogecoin’s odds are around 68%. These probabilities have remained relatively stable throughout 2025.

同樣，Solana和Litecoin的年終批准概率約為78％，而Dogecoin的賠率約為68％。在2025年，這些概率一直保持相對穩定。

However, the probability of very near-term approval is lower; for instance, the odds of XRP ETF approval by July 31, 2025, are around 42%.

但是，非常近期批准的可能性較低。例如，XRP ETF批准到2025年7月31日的機率約為42％。

For context, the approval probabilities by July 2025 are lower—ranging from 24% to 42%—suggesting that the predictive market anticipates decisions later in the year. It’s worth noting that this type of market has accurately predicted previous crypto regulatory outcomes.

在上下文中，到2025年7月的批准概率較低（從24％到42％），預測市場預計今年晚些時候的決策。值得注意的是，這種類型的市場已經準確地預測了以前的加密監管結果。

The optimism surrounding altcoin ETF approval stems in part from a March ruling by the SEC dismissing its appeal against a court decision on Ripple.

SEC駁回了對Ripple的法院裁決的上訴，圍繞Altcoin ETF批准的樂觀情緒部分源於一項裁定。

This move, which Balchunas described as a “resounding victory” for Ripple, occurred as the SEC completed a task force on digital assets and President Trump expressed support for a U.S. Bitcoin ETF during a rally in December 2024.

巴爾丘納斯（Balchunas）將這一舉動描述為波紋的“巨大勝利”，當SEC完成了數字資產工作隊，特朗普總統在2024年12月的一次集會上表示支持美國比特幣ETF。

Furthermore, since January, the SEC has been de-emphasizing enforcement activity. This shift in priorities led to the administration dropping civil cases against crypto exchange Coinbase and another exchange, Kraken, signaling a more open approach to the industry.

此外，自1月以來，SEC一直在取消強調執法活動。優先事項的這一轉變導致政府對Crypto Exchange Coinbase和另一種交流Kraken撤銷民事案件，這表明對該行業採取了更開放的方法。

According to analysts, the previous SEC administration would have flatly refused most altcoin ETF filings. For instance, in December 2024, the SEC rejected several proposals for spot Solana ETFs.

根據分析師的說法，以前的SEC政府將斷然拒絕大多數Altcoin ETF申請。例如，在2024年12月，美國證券交易委員會（SEC）拒絕了幾項有關現場索拉娜（Sot Solana ETF）的建議。

On the legislative front, the SEC has moved forward with filings that it once stalled. In February, the agency acknowledged proposed 19b‑4 rule changes for Grayscale’s spot XRP and DOGE ETFs.

在立法方面，美國證券交易委員會（SEC）曾經停滯不前提交的文件。 2月，該機構承認，提議的19b -4規則更改了Grayscale的現場XRP和Doge ETF。

Acknowledgment is a formal step that invites public comment but does not guarantee approval. As Bloomberg’s James Seyffart pointed out, under the old SEC regime, such filings would likely have been dismissed.

致謝是邀請公眾評論但不能保證批准的正式步驟。正如彭博社的詹姆斯·塞法特（James Seyffart）指出的那樣，在舊的SEC政權下，此類文件可能會被駁回。

These developments, along with President Trump’s pro-crypto stance and comments from Yellen about sensible regulation, have created a more favorable backdrop for altcoin ETFs, analysts noted.

分析師指出，這些事態發展以及特朗普總統的親克賴特托立場以及耶倫對明智的監管的評論，為altcoin ETF創造了更有利的背景。