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您知道当一切都完美地排在图表上时,您知道这种感觉 - 然后价格实际上遵循它?是的。
In the hustle and bustle of the crypto market, it’s easy to get lost in the sea of technical analysis. But sometimes, the simplest observations yield the clearest insights.
在加密市场的喧嚣中,很容易在技术分析的海洋中迷失。但是有时候,最简单的观察结果产生了最清晰的见解。
And today, we’re focusing on just that — simple observations that can guide our trading.
今天,我们将重点放在这一点上 - 可以指导我们交易的简单观察。
Now, if you’ve been following my analysis closely, you’ll recall that in the last article, we took a look at the H4 timeframe for XRP.
现在,如果您一直在密切关注我的分析,您会记得在上一篇文章中,我们看了XRP的H4时间范围。
We noted a crucial demand zone where buyers were stepping in to soak up any downward pressure.
我们注意到了一个至关重要的需求区,买家正在加入以增加任何向下压力。
Plus, we spotted a zone of upper liquidity, which usually attracts sellers and might cause a slowdown in the upward momentum.
另外,我们发现了一个上流流动性的区域,这通常会吸引卖方,并可能导致向上势头放缓。
And finally, we observed that price had already dipped below the market price, setting the stage for a potential sweep.
最后,我们观察到价格已经低于市场价格,为潜在的扫描奠定了基础。
Now, let’s see how XRP actually unfolded:
现在,让我们看看XRP实际上是如何展开的:
As you can see, price dipped lower to sweep the remaining liquidity.
如您所见,价格下跌以扫除剩余的流动性。
It then bounced back up and hit the Fib zone, which is usually a hotbed for traders’ attention.
然后,它反弹并击中Fib区,这通常是交易者注意的温床。
From there, price encountered a cluster of upper liquidity zones, which had been accumulating since the previous leg down.
从那里开始,Price遇到了一群上层流动性区域,自上一条腿降低以来一直在积累。
And as price approached that zone, it also encountered a zone of supply, signaled by the Fib levels and the top of the visible range.
随着价格接近该区域,它也遇到了一个供应区域,该区域由FIB级别和可见范围的顶部发出信号。
Now, personally, I wouldn’t chase long entries as price reaches these upper zones.
现在,就个人而言,当价格到达这些上层区域时,我不会追逐很长的条目。
Instead, I’d expect some reaction in this area.
相反,我希望在这方面有所反应。
Of course, it could continue upward, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see a pullback or at least a slowdown.
当然,它可能会继续向上,但是看到回调或至少放缓我不会感到惊讶。
After grabbing a large amount of liquidity like this, price usually needs to reset a bit.
在抓住大量流动性之后,价格通常需要重置一点。
And where might it reset to? Well, lower levels, perhaps back toward the demand zone.
它可以重置在哪里?好吧,较低的水平,也许回到需求区。
But a Word of Caution…
但是一个谨慎的话...
To be clear, none of this is a guarantee. These are just possibilities, albeit well-informed ones.
需要明确的是,这些都不是保证。这些只是可能性,尽管有明智的可能性。
The market doesn’t follow any script; it does what it wants.
市场没有遵循任何脚本;它可以做什么。
It could easily continue upward, slicing through supply like a hot knife through butter.
它可以很容易地继续向上继续,像热刀一样通过黄油进行切片。
Or it could reverse quickly, faster than most traders can react.
否则它可能会迅速逆转,比大多数交易者所反应的快。
That’s why I always emphasize adapting to price behavior, not the other way around. Observe, analyze, and adjust accordingly.
这就是为什么我总是强调适应价格行为,而不是相反的原因。观察,分析和调整。
And if you’ve been tuning into my updates regularly, you’ll notice that I spotted this entire move from bottom to top.
而且,如果您定期调整我的更新,您会注意到我发现了从下到顶部的整个移动。
It’s all part of the chart mapping I do to provide a narrative that price might follow.
这是我为提供价格可能随之而来的叙述所做的图表映射的一部分。
And more often than not, it does.
而且经常这样做。
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