XRP作为新的地址创建陨石坑的逆风而面对逆风，尽管对Ripple-SEC案例解决方案乐观，但仍表示潜在的看跌趋势。

XRP's Rocky Road: New Addresses Plummet Amid Bearish Metrics

XRP的岩石路：新地址在看跌指标的情况下下降

XRP's journey has been anything but smooth lately. Amidst the buzz around the Ripple-SEC case potentially wrapping up, a concerning trend has emerged: a sharp decline in new network addresses. This, coupled with other bearish metrics, paints a complicated picture for XRP's immediate future.

最近，XRP的旅程过得很顺利。在可能总结的Ripple-SEC案件周围的嗡嗡声中，有关趋势的出现：新网络地址的急剧下降。加上其他看跌指标，为XRP的不久的将来画了一幅复杂的图片。

New Wallets, Old Problems

新钱包，旧问题

Coin Bureau recently highlighted a troubling trend: the number of new wallets being created on the XRP Ledger has plummeted. Back in January, we were seeing over 30,000 new addresses daily. Now? We're scraping the bottom at below 5,000. That's a serious drop. And as Glassnode's data points out, there's a pretty tight correlation between price action and network growth. Remember that parabolic move in late 2024 that took XRP to $2.71? That was fueled by a surge in new users. Now that the new user excitement has waned, so has the price.

硬币局最近强调了一个令人不安的趋势：XRP分类帐中创建的新钱包数量已暴跌。早在一月份，我们每天看到超过30,000个新地址。现在？我们在5,000以下的底部刮擦底部。那是一个严重的下降。正如GlassNode的数据指出的那样，价格动作与网络增长之间存在相当密切的相关性。还记得2024年末的抛物线措施，XRP达到了2.71美元吗？这是由于新用户的激增所推动的。现在，新的用户兴奋已经下降，价格也有所下降。

Active Addresses in the Doldrums

低迷中的主动地址

It's not just new wallets; daily active addresses have also taken a nosedive. We're talking a drop from 557,000 to a mere 34,000. Ouch. This suggests a serious lack of retail investor interest in the XRP ecosystem. One analyst even thinks that XRP might struggle to hit that crucial $3 resistance zone due to insufficient market demand.

这不仅仅是新钱包；每日活跃的地址也是一个鼻子。我们说的是从557,000下降到仅34,000。哎哟。这表明对XRP生态系统缺乏散户投资者的兴趣。一位分析师甚至认为，由于市场需求不足，XRP可能会努力达到至关重要的3美元阻力区。

A Grain of Salt?

一粒盐？

Now, not everyone's hitting the panic button. Some analysts, like MoonLambo, argue that the previous highs in network activity were simply a result of market greed following the US general elections. According to this view, the current decline is just a natural correction, nothing to get too worked up about.

现在，并不是每个人都按下恐慌按钮。像Moonlambo这样的一些分析师认为，以前的网络活动高点仅仅是美国大选之后市场贪婪的结果。根据这种观点，目前的下降只是一种自然的纠正，没有什么可实现的。

The Ripple-SEC Wildcard

涟漪 - 塞克通配符

Of course, we can't talk about XRP without mentioning the elephant in the room: the Ripple-SEC case. The joint petition to Judge Torres to lift the injunction on XRP sales and reduce fines is a big deal. It could pave the way for broader market participation and set a precedent for crypto regulation in the US. A settlement could also significantly impact the prospects of a US XRP-spot ETF, currently favored by Polymarket odds at 88%.

当然，我们不能在房间里提及大象的情况下谈论XRP：Ripple-Sec案。托雷斯法官提出的联合请愿书取消对XRP销售并减少罚款的禁令是很大的。它可以为更广泛的市场参与铺平道路，并为美国加密监管树立先例。解决方案还可能会严重影响美国XRP赛车ETF的前景，目前由Polymarket赔率占88％。

XRP Price Check

XRP价格检查

As of today, XRP is hovering around $2.13, reflecting a slight dip. Trading volume is up, but investor sentiment remains largely bearish. CoinCodex predicts short-term consolidation but forecasts a bullish revival in the long term.

截至今天，XRP徘徊在2.13美元左右，反映出轻微的下降。交易量增加，但投资者的情绪在很大程度上仍然是看跌。 Concodex预测短期合并，但从长远来看，预测看涨的复兴。

My Two Satoshis

我的两个satoshis

Okay, here's my take. While the Ripple-SEC case resolution is undoubtedly a positive catalyst, these on-chain metrics can't be ignored. The drop in new and active addresses is a real concern, suggesting waning interest. The case for XRP hinges on its utility for cross-border payments, and if people aren't actively using the network, that utility is undermined. While some argue the previous surge was an anomaly, you have to wonder what will drive the next surge.

好吧，这是我的看法。虽然Ripple-SEC的案例解决无疑是积极的催化剂，但这些链度指标却不能忽略。新的活跃地址的下降是一个真正的问题，这表明兴趣减弱。 XRP的案例取决于其跨境支付的效用，如果人们不积极使用网络，则该公用事业将受到破坏。虽然有些人认为以前的激增是异常的，但您必须想知道什么会推动下一次激增。

Looking Ahead

展望未来

So, what's the takeaway? XRP is at a crossroads. The resolution of the Ripple-SEC case is a major potential tailwind, but the bearish on-chain metrics are a definite headwind. It's a situation ripe with uncertainty, and caution is advised. Whether it's the best crypto to buy now or not is a bit of a coin flip!

那么，收获是什么？ XRP处于十字路口。 Ripple-SEC案例的分辨率是主要的潜在逆风，但看跌的链指标是明确的逆风。这种情况已经不确定性成熟，并建议您谨慎。现在购买是否最好的加密货币是硬币翻转！

In the meantime, keep an eye on those new address numbers, folks. If they start ticking upwards, that'll be a good sign. Until then, buckle up—it could be a bumpy ride!

同时，请密切关注这些新的地址号码，伙计们。如果他们开始向上打勾，那将是一个好兆头。在此之前，搭扣，这可能是一个颠簸的旅程！