UNISWAP（UNI）价格预测：导航市场波动和资本流动

在市场波动中，分析UniSWAP的价格行动，市值动态和未来预测。反弹是在地平线上吗？

Uniswap (UNI) has been on a wild ride, with intraday volatility and a noticeable bearish trend. This article dives into the recent price movements, market capitalization shifts, and what analysts are saying about UNI's potential future.

UNISWAP（UNI）一直在狂野骑行，并具有盘中波动性和明显的看跌趋势。本文深入研究了最近的价格变动，市值的变化以及分析师对Uni潜在未来的评价。

Intraday Volatility and Bearish Trends

盘中的波动和看跌趋势

Recent data from July 5, 2025, highlights a significant downturn. UNI experienced a rapid retracement of nearly 8% in a single session, trading just below $6.94. Analyst Crypto Signals pointed out a sharp breakdown in UNI’s short-term structure, with a rapid decline from $7.22 to below $7.00 within minutes. This breakdown was accompanied by a volume surge exceeding 100,000, indicating heavy selling pressure.

从2025年7月5日开始的最新数据突出了大幅下滑。 Uni在一次会议上经历了近8％的迅速回撤，交易额低于6.94美元。分析师Crypto信号指出，Uni的短期结构发生了巨大的破坏，在几分钟内迅速下降到7.22美元至7.00美元以下。这种分解伴随着超过100,000的量增长，表明销售压力很大。

The 24-hour chart confirms an extended bearish trajectory, with UNI falling from above $7.40 to a closing price of $6.94, reflecting a 7.68% loss. Trading volume remained high at $561.19 million, but predominantly on the sell side.

24小时的图表证实了一个延长的看跌轨迹，Uni从7.40美元下降到6.94美元的收盘价，反映了7.68％的亏损。交易量仍然很高，为5.6119亿美元，但主要在卖方面。

Market Cap and Investor Sentiment

市值和投资者情绪

Uniswap’s market capitalization dropped to $4.16 billion, signaling broader market skepticism or capital outflows from DeFi assets. For UNI to recover, reclaiming the $7.10–$7.20 zone with stronger buyer engagement is crucial.

UNISWAP的市值下降到41.6亿美元，这表明了更广泛的市场怀疑或资本资本流出。对于Uni恢复，以更强的买家参与度收回7.10- $ 7.20的区域至关重要。

Adding to the bearish sentiment, UNI's price has crashed into a bear market, falling over 20% from its peak in May. On July 5, UNI was trading at $6.95, a far cry from its November high of $20. This decline has reduced its market cap to $4.8 billion, significantly down from last year’s $10 billion high.

除了看跌的情绪外，Uni的价格已经崩溃了，从5月的顶峰下降了20％以上。 7月5日，Uni的交易价格为6.95美元，与11月的20美元高点相去甚远。这种下降使其市值降低到48亿美元，比去年的100亿美元高。

Technical Indicators and Analysis

技术指标和分析

Technical indicators signal elevated risk. Uniswap closed at $6.933 on July 4, marking a 7.25% decline. The price broke below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the Bollinger Bands ($7.085), indicating bearish positioning. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) remains marginally positive at 0.192, but red histogram bars suggest weakening bullish momentum.

技术指标表明风险升高。 UNISWAP于7月4日收于6.933美元，标志下降了7.25％。价格低于布林乐队（7.085美元）的20天简单移动平均线（SMA），表明看跌位置。令人敬畏的振荡器（AO）在0.192处的略有正阳性，但红色直方图杆表明看涨势头削弱。

Analysts suggest that if UNI fails to regain footing above the $7.08 midline, further downside toward $6.35–$6.00 could unfold. A rebound would require volume confirmation and improvement in the AO’s trajectory to reestablish upward momentum.

分析师建议，如果Uni未能重新获得高于$ 7.08的中线的地位，则可能会进一步发展$ 6.35- $ 6.00的缺点。反弹将需要确认体积和改进AO的轨迹，以重新建立向上的动力。

Competition and On-Chain Data

竞争和链接数据

One factor contributing to Uniswap's price decline is the loss of market share in the decentralized exchange (DEX) industry. Uniswap's DEX volume in the last 30 days was $80 billion, significantly lower than PancakeSwap’s $160 billion. Competition from Hyperliquid, Raydium, and Aerodrome Finance has also intensified.

导致UNISWAP价格下跌的一个因素是分散交易所（DEX）行业的市场份额损失。最近30天的Uniswap的DEX量为800亿美元，大大低于Pancakeswap的1600亿美元。超流动性，雷迪（Raydium）和机场融资的竞争也加剧了。

On-chain data indicates that investors have been dumping UNI tokens. The supply of UNI on exchanges has jumped to 84.6 million, up from the year-to-date low of 69 million. Additionally, the supply held by whales has dwindled, signaling further bearish expectations.

链上的数据表明投资者一直在倾倒大学令牌。交易所上的Uni供应量增加到8460万，高于6,900万的低点。此外，鲸鱼持有的供应减少了，这表明了看跌期望。

Uniswap Price Prediction: What's Next?

UNISWAP价格预测：下一步是什么？

The daily chart reveals a bearish flag pattern, suggesting a potential bearish breakdown. The next key point to watch is the year-to-date low of $4.70. A move above the resistance level at $8.6 would invalidate the bearish view.

每日图表揭示了看跌的旗帜模式，表明潜在的看跌崩溃。要观看的下一个关键点是$ 4.70的年初低点。高于$ 8.6的电阻水平的移动将使看跌视图无效。

Wrapping Up

总结

Uniswap's current situation is a mixed bag of bearish trends, market competition, and technical challenges. Whether UNI can bounce back depends on its ability to reclaim key resistance zones and regain investor confidence. Keep an eye on those charts, folks – it’s gonna be an interesting ride!

UNISWAP的当前状况是看跌趋势，市场竞争和技术挑战的混合。 Uni是否可以反弹取决于其收回关键阻力区并恢复投资者信心的能力。伙计们，请密切关注这些图表 - 这将是一个有趣的旅程！