UNISWAP（UNI）價格預測：導航市場波動和資本流動

在市場波動中，分析UniSWAP的價格行動，市值動態和未來預測。反彈是在地平線上嗎？

Uniswap (UNI) has been on a wild ride, with intraday volatility and a noticeable bearish trend. This article dives into the recent price movements, market capitalization shifts, and what analysts are saying about UNI's potential future.

UNISWAP（UNI）一直在狂野騎行，並具有盤中波動性和明顯的看跌趨勢。本文深入研究了最近的價格變動，市值的變化以及分析師對Uni潛在未來的評價。

Intraday Volatility and Bearish Trends

盤中的波動和看跌趨勢

Recent data from July 5, 2025, highlights a significant downturn. UNI experienced a rapid retracement of nearly 8% in a single session, trading just below $6.94. Analyst Crypto Signals pointed out a sharp breakdown in UNI’s short-term structure, with a rapid decline from $7.22 to below $7.00 within minutes. This breakdown was accompanied by a volume surge exceeding 100,000, indicating heavy selling pressure.

從2025年7月5日開始的最新數據突出了大幅下滑。 Uni在一次會議上經歷了近8％的迅速回撤，交易額低於6.94美元。分析師Crypto信號指出，Uni的短期結構發生了巨大的破壞，在幾分鐘內迅速下降到7.22美元至7.00美元以下。這種分解伴隨著超過100,000的量增長，表明銷售壓力很大。

The 24-hour chart confirms an extended bearish trajectory, with UNI falling from above $7.40 to a closing price of $6.94, reflecting a 7.68% loss. Trading volume remained high at $561.19 million, but predominantly on the sell side.

24小時的圖表證實了一個延長的看跌軌跡，Uni從7.40美元下降到6.94美元的收盤價，反映了7.68％的虧損。交易量仍然很高，為5.6119億美元，但主要在賣方面。

Market Cap and Investor Sentiment

市值和投資者情緒

Uniswap’s market capitalization dropped to $4.16 billion, signaling broader market skepticism or capital outflows from DeFi assets. For UNI to recover, reclaiming the $7.10–$7.20 zone with stronger buyer engagement is crucial.

UNISWAP的市值下降到41.6億美元，這表明了更廣泛的市場懷疑或資本資本流出。對於Uni恢復，以更強的買家參與度收回7.10- $ 7.20的區域至關重要。

Adding to the bearish sentiment, UNI's price has crashed into a bear market, falling over 20% from its peak in May. On July 5, UNI was trading at $6.95, a far cry from its November high of $20. This decline has reduced its market cap to $4.8 billion, significantly down from last year’s $10 billion high.

除了看跌的情緒外，Uni的價格已經崩潰了，從5月的頂峰下降了20％以上。 7月5日，Uni的交易價格為6.95美元，與11月的20美元高點相去甚遠。這種下降使其市值降低到48億美元，比去年的100億美元高。

Technical Indicators and Analysis

技術指標和分析

Technical indicators signal elevated risk. Uniswap closed at $6.933 on July 4, marking a 7.25% decline. The price broke below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the Bollinger Bands ($7.085), indicating bearish positioning. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) remains marginally positive at 0.192, but red histogram bars suggest weakening bullish momentum.

技術指標表明風險升高。 UNISWAP於7月4日收於6.933美元，標誌下降了7.25％。價格低於布林樂隊（7.085美元）的20天簡單移動平均線（SMA），表明看跌位置。令人敬畏的振盪器（AO）在0.192處的略有正陽性，但紅色直方圖桿表明看漲勢頭削弱。

Analysts suggest that if UNI fails to regain footing above the $7.08 midline, further downside toward $6.35–$6.00 could unfold. A rebound would require volume confirmation and improvement in the AO’s trajectory to reestablish upward momentum.

分析師建議，如果Uni未能重新獲得高於$ 7.08的中線的地位，則可能會進一步發展$ 6.35- $ 6.00的缺點。反彈將需要確認體積和改進AO的軌跡，以重新建立向上的動力。

Competition and On-Chain Data

競爭和鏈接數據

One factor contributing to Uniswap's price decline is the loss of market share in the decentralized exchange (DEX) industry. Uniswap's DEX volume in the last 30 days was $80 billion, significantly lower than PancakeSwap’s $160 billion. Competition from Hyperliquid, Raydium, and Aerodrome Finance has also intensified.

導致UNISWAP價格下跌的一個因素是分散交易所（DEX）行業的市場份額損失。最近30天的Uniswap的DEX量為800億美元，大大低於Pancakeswap的1600億美元。超流動性，雷迪（Raydium）和機場融資的競爭也加劇了。

On-chain data indicates that investors have been dumping UNI tokens. The supply of UNI on exchanges has jumped to 84.6 million, up from the year-to-date low of 69 million. Additionally, the supply held by whales has dwindled, signaling further bearish expectations.

鏈上的數據表明投資者一直在傾倒大學令牌。交易所上的Uni供應量增加到8460萬，高於6,900萬的低點。此外，鯨魚持有的供應減少了，這表明了看跌期望。

Uniswap Price Prediction: What's Next?

UNISWAP價格預測：下一步是什麼？

The daily chart reveals a bearish flag pattern, suggesting a potential bearish breakdown. The next key point to watch is the year-to-date low of $4.70. A move above the resistance level at $8.6 would invalidate the bearish view.

每日圖表揭示了看跌的旗幟模式，表明潛在的看跌崩潰。要觀看的下一個關鍵點是$ 4.70的年初低點。高於$ 8.6的電阻水平的移動將使看跌視圖無效。

Wrapping Up

總結

Uniswap's current situation is a mixed bag of bearish trends, market competition, and technical challenges. Whether UNI can bounce back depends on its ability to reclaim key resistance zones and regain investor confidence. Keep an eye on those charts, folks – it’s gonna be an interesting ride!

UNISWAP的當前狀況是看跌趨勢，市場競爭和技術挑戰的混合。 Uni是否可以反彈取決於其收回關鍵阻力區並恢復投資者信心的能力。伙計們，請密切關注這些圖表 - 這將是一個有趣的旅程！