标准包机预测XRP ETF流入将达到83亿美元

本周，Crypto上关于XRP ETF的chat不休，从虚假的谣言和报告到关键决策的延迟。

Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.

欢迎来到美国加密货币新闻早晨的简报 - 您未来一天中最重要的进展的基本衰退。

As prospects for XRP ETFs (exchange-traded funds) in the US continue to grow, experts are discussing the potential impact on Ripple’s XRP token.

随着美国XRP ETF（交易所贸易资金）的前景继续增长，专家正在讨论对Ripple XRP令牌的潜在影响。

Crypto News of the Day: XRP ETF Inflows to Reach $8.3 Billion, Standard Chartered Predicts

当日加密新闻：XRP ETF流入到83亿美元，标准包机预测

There has been much chatter this week in crypto about XRP ETFs, ranging from false rumors and reports to delays in key decisions. However, one thing appears certain: the conversation is growing more than ever.

本周，Crypto上关于XRP ETF的chat不休，从虚假的谣言和报告到关键决策的延迟。但是，似乎可以肯定的是：对话比以往任何时候都更加增长。

The recent decision to approve ProShares leveraged futures XRP ETF provided optimism, and now anticipation is building.

最近批准Proshares利用Futures XRP ETF的决定提供了乐观，现在正在建立期望。

In a recent US Crypto News publication, ETF analyst Eric Balchunas indicated they have raised their odds to 85%. Based on this, analysts offer diverging outlooks on how such a product might perform.

在最近的美国加密新闻出版物中，ETF分析师埃里克·巴尔库纳斯（Eric Balchunas）表示，他们的几率提高到了85％。基于此，分析师提供了有关这种产品的性能的不同展望。

“XRP price could rise to $12.23 or $22.20 after ETF Approval if XRP ETFs Get 15% to 30% of Bitcoin ETF Inflows,” a popular account on X shared.

“如果XRP ETF获得比特币ETF流入的15％至30％，XRP价格可能会上升到$ 12.23或22.20美元，” X上的一个流行帐户分享。

BeInCrypto data shows that XRP was trading for $2.22 as of this writing, down by almost 1% in the last 24 hours.

Beincrypto数据显示，XRP在撰写本文时的交易价格为2.22美元，在过去的24小时内下降了近1％。

Against this backdrop, BeInCrypto contacted Standard Chartered for a commentary. The bank’s head of digital assets research, Geoff Kendrick, said it was challenging to predict precise inflow figures. However, he indicated that comparative data from Europe could provide some guidance.

在此背景下，Beincrypto与宪章的标准联系以进行评论。该银行的数字资产研究负责人杰夫·肯德里克（Geoff Kendrick）表示，预测精确流入数字是一项挑战。但是，他指出，欧洲的比较数据可以提供一些指导。

“The amount of eventual inflows to XRP ETFs is difficult to estimate. However, Bitwise has listed ETPs in Germany for XRP, Solana, Litecoin, BTC, and ETH, which may provide an apples-for-apples comparison,” Kendrick told BeInCrypto.

Kendrick告诉Beincrypto：“最终流入XRP ETF的流入量很难估计。但是，Bitwise已在德国列出了XRP，Solana，Litecoin，BTC和ETH的ETP，这可能会提供苹果的比较。”

Drawing on his prediction of how an XRP ETF could perform and the associated impact on XRP price, Kendrick compared Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other altcoins.

利用他对XRP ETF的性能的预测以及对XRP价格的相关影响，Kendrick比较了比特币，以太坊和其他山寨币。

Citing Bitwise data, the Standard Chartered executive noted that altcoins garner a larger percentage of ETP (exchange-traded product) net asset value (NAV) as a percentage of coin market capitalization than Bitcoin and Ethereum. However, he acknowledged that this could be because fewer ETPs are available for altcoins. Kendrick added that NAV-to-market-cap ratios from already approved US spot ETFs provide a useful benchmark.

这位标准特许执行官引用了位数据，指出，替补币获得了比特币和以太坊的净资产价值（交易所交易产品）净资产价值（NAV）的比例更大。但是，他承认这可能是因为AltCoins可用的ETP较少。肯德里克（Kendrick）补充说，已经批准的美国ETF的NAV-Market-cap比率提供了有用的基准。

Based on these assessments, Geoff Kendrick projected that a US-listed spot XRP ETF could attract as much as $8.3 billion in inflows within its first year.

基于这些评估，杰夫·肯德里克（Geoff Kendrick）预计，美国上市的XRP ETF可能会在第一年内吸引多达83亿美元的流入。

“Of the US spot ETFs approved so far, NAV as a percentage of market cap is 3% for Ethereum and just under 6% for Bitcoin. At current XRP market cap, that would imply a range of $4.4 billion to $8.3 billion as a future total NAV measure for an XRP ETF, which seems like a reasonable target range for inflows in the first 12 months,” Kendrick said.

“迄今为止批准的美国ETF在以太坊批准的情况下为3％，比特币占6％。在当前的XRP市值处，这意味着在XRP ETF的未来总衡量标准量度上，XRP ETF的未来总量度为44亿美元至83亿美元，这似乎是XRP ETF的一项合理的投入范围，这似乎是第一个12个月的合理目标范围。

Kendrick Sees Ripple Price at $8, Bitfinex Analysts Question Investor Interest for XRP ETFs

肯德里克（Kendrick

The Standard Chartered executive said he expects XRP price gains to keep pace with Bitcoin price growth targets.

这位标准的特许执行官表示，他预计XRP价格上涨将与比特币价格增长目标保持同步。

As indicated in a recent US Crypto News publication, the bank sees Bitcoin’s price rising to $120,000 in Q2, $200,000 by the end of 2025, and $500,000 by 2028.

正如最近美国加密新闻出版物中所示的那样，该银行认为比特币的价格上涨至第二季度的120,000美元，到2025年底到200,000美元，到2028年为500,000美元。

He forecasted the Ripple price to rise to $8 by 2026, contingent on spot XRP ETF approvals in the US. This would constitute a 260% surge above the current price of $2.22.

他预测，到2026年，连锁价上涨至8美元，取决于美国的XRP ETF批准。这将构成高于当前价格2.22美元的260％。

“In real terms, XRP inflation is currently 6%, versus 0.8% for Bitcoin. As such, we target the XRP-USD price levels of $5.50 at end-2025, $8.00 at end-2026, $10.40 at end-2027, $12.50 at end-2028 and $12.25 at end-2029,” Kendrick explained.

“实际上，XRP通货膨胀目前为6％，比特币为0.8％。因此，我们针对2025年End-2025的XRP-USD价格水平为5.50美元，$ 8.00，售价为$ 10.40，在2027年End-2027售价为10.40美元，在End-20.50 $ 12.50，在End-2028和12.25美元，在End-20229 End-2029，kendrick selding。

Meanwhile, analysts at Bitfinex caution against optimism, saying that investor interest in a US-based spot XRP ETF may not match that witnessed in Bitcoin ETFs.

同时，Bitfinex谨慎对待乐观的分析师说，投资者对总部位于美国的现场XRP ETF的兴趣可能与比特币ETF中见证的不符。

“We expect limited inflows into an XRP ETF as some investors may choose to broaden their exposure across available crypto ETFs. However it is unlikely to see the level of flows experienced by Bitcoin,” Bitfinex analysts told BeInCrypto.

Bitfinex分析师告诉BeinCrypto：“我们预计有限的流入成为XRP ETF，因为一些投资者可能会选择扩大其在可用的加密ETF中的曝光率。但是，Bitfinex分析师告诉Beincrypto。

The contrasting assessments reflect broader uncertainty over how altcoin ETFs might perform in a regulated US market. Bitcoin’s dominance and changing regulatory attitudes toward digital assets still heavily influence the crypto market in the US.

对比评估反映了Altcoin ETF在受监管的美国市场中表现的更广泛的不确定性。比特币对数字资产的主导地位和监管态度的变化仍然严重影响了美国的加密市场。

So far, Grayscale, Wisdom Tree, Bitwise, Canary, and 21Shares have filed for XRP

到目前为止，灰度，智慧树，位，金丝雀和21shares已为XRP申请