標準包機預測XRP ETF流入將達到83億美元

本週，Crypto上關於XRP ETF的chat不休，從虛假的謠言和報告到關鍵決策的延遲。

Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.

歡迎來到美國加密貨幣新聞早晨的簡報 - 您未來一天中最重要的進展的基本衰退。

As prospects for XRP ETFs (exchange-traded funds) in the US continue to grow, experts are discussing the potential impact on Ripple’s XRP token.

隨著美國XRP ETF（交易所貿易資金）的前景繼續增長，專家正在討論對Ripple XRP令牌的潛在影響。

Crypto News of the Day: XRP ETF Inflows to Reach $8.3 Billion, Standard Chartered Predicts

當日加密新聞：XRP ETF流入到83億美元，標準包機預測

There has been much chatter this week in crypto about XRP ETFs, ranging from false rumors and reports to delays in key decisions. However, one thing appears certain: the conversation is growing more than ever.

本週，Crypto上關於XRP ETF的chat不休，從虛假的謠言和報告到關鍵決策的延遲。但是，似乎可以肯定的是：對話比以往任何時候都更加增長。

The recent decision to approve ProShares leveraged futures XRP ETF provided optimism, and now anticipation is building.

最近批准Proshares利用Futures XRP ETF的決定提供了樂觀，現在正在建立期望。

In a recent US Crypto News publication, ETF analyst Eric Balchunas indicated they have raised their odds to 85%. Based on this, analysts offer diverging outlooks on how such a product might perform.

在最近的美國加密新聞出版物中，ETF分析師埃里克·巴爾庫納斯（Eric Balchunas）表示，他們的機率提高到了85％。基於此，分析師提供了有關這種產品的性能的不同展望。

“XRP price could rise to $12.23 or $22.20 after ETF Approval if XRP ETFs Get 15% to 30% of Bitcoin ETF Inflows,” a popular account on X shared.

“如果XRP ETF獲得比特幣ETF流入的15％至30％，XRP價格可能會上升到$ 12.23或22.20美元，” X上的一個流行帳戶分享。

BeInCrypto data shows that XRP was trading for $2.22 as of this writing, down by almost 1% in the last 24 hours.

Beincrypto數據顯示，XRP在撰寫本文時的交易價格為2.22美元，在過去的24小時內下降了近1％。

Against this backdrop, BeInCrypto contacted Standard Chartered for a commentary. The bank’s head of digital assets research, Geoff Kendrick, said it was challenging to predict precise inflow figures. However, he indicated that comparative data from Europe could provide some guidance.

在此背景下，Beincrypto與憲章的標準聯繫以進行評論。該銀行的數字資產研究負責人傑夫·肯德里克（Geoff Kendrick）表示，預測精確流入數字是一項挑戰。但是，他指出，歐洲的比較數據可以提供一些指導。

“The amount of eventual inflows to XRP ETFs is difficult to estimate. However, Bitwise has listed ETPs in Germany for XRP, Solana, Litecoin, BTC, and ETH, which may provide an apples-for-apples comparison,” Kendrick told BeInCrypto.

Kendrick告訴Beincrypto：“最終流入XRP ETF的流入量很難估計。但是，Bitwise已在德國列出了XRP，Solana，Litecoin，BTC和ETH的ETP，這可能會提供蘋果的比較。”

Drawing on his prediction of how an XRP ETF could perform and the associated impact on XRP price, Kendrick compared Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other altcoins.

利用他對XRP ETF的性能的預測以及對XRP價格的相關影響，Kendrick比較了比特幣，以太坊和其他山寨幣。

Citing Bitwise data, the Standard Chartered executive noted that altcoins garner a larger percentage of ETP (exchange-traded product) net asset value (NAV) as a percentage of coin market capitalization than Bitcoin and Ethereum. However, he acknowledged that this could be because fewer ETPs are available for altcoins. Kendrick added that NAV-to-market-cap ratios from already approved US spot ETFs provide a useful benchmark.

這位標準特許執行官引用了位數據，指出，替補幣獲得了比特幣和以太坊的淨資產價值（交易所交易產品）淨資產價值（NAV）的比例更大。但是，他承認這可能是因為AltCoins可用的ETP較少。肯德里克（Kendrick）補充說，已經批准的美國ETF的NAV-Market-cap比率提供了有用的基準。

Based on these assessments, Geoff Kendrick projected that a US-listed spot XRP ETF could attract as much as $8.3 billion in inflows within its first year.

基於這些評估，傑夫·肯德里克（Geoff Kendrick）預計，美國上市的XRP ETF可能會在第一年內吸引多達83億美元的流入。

“Of the US spot ETFs approved so far, NAV as a percentage of market cap is 3% for Ethereum and just under 6% for Bitcoin. At current XRP market cap, that would imply a range of $4.4 billion to $8.3 billion as a future total NAV measure for an XRP ETF, which seems like a reasonable target range for inflows in the first 12 months,” Kendrick said.

“迄今為止批准的美國ETF在以太坊批准的情況下為3％，比特幣佔6％。在當前的XRP市值處，這意味著在XRP ETF的未來總衡量標準量度上，XRP ETF的未來總量度為44億美元至83億美元，這似乎是XRP ETF的一項合理的投入範圍，這似乎是第一個12個月的合理目標範圍。

Kendrick Sees Ripple Price at $8, Bitfinex Analysts Question Investor Interest for XRP ETFs

肯德里克（Kendrick

The Standard Chartered executive said he expects XRP price gains to keep pace with Bitcoin price growth targets.

這位標準的特許執行官表示，他預計XRP價格上漲將與比特幣價格增長目標保持同步。

As indicated in a recent US Crypto News publication, the bank sees Bitcoin’s price rising to $120,000 in Q2, $200,000 by the end of 2025, and $500,000 by 2028.

正如最近美國加密新聞出版物中所示的那樣，該銀行認為比特幣的價格上漲至第二季度的120,000美元，到2025年底到200,000美元，到2028年為500,000美元。

He forecasted the Ripple price to rise to $8 by 2026, contingent on spot XRP ETF approvals in the US. This would constitute a 260% surge above the current price of $2.22.

他預測，到2026年，連鎖價上漲至8美元，取決於美國的XRP ETF批准。這將構成高於當前價格2.22美元的260％。

“In real terms, XRP inflation is currently 6%, versus 0.8% for Bitcoin. As such, we target the XRP-USD price levels of $5.50 at end-2025, $8.00 at end-2026, $10.40 at end-2027, $12.50 at end-2028 and $12.25 at end-2029,” Kendrick explained.

“實際上，XRP通貨膨脹目前為6％，比特幣為0.8％。因此，我們針對2025年End-2025的XRP-USD價格水平為5.50美元，$ 8.00，售價為$ 10.40，在2027年End-2027售價為10.40美元，在End-20.50 $ 12.50，在End-2028和12.25美元，在End-20229 End-2029，kendrick selding。

Meanwhile, analysts at Bitfinex caution against optimism, saying that investor interest in a US-based spot XRP ETF may not match that witnessed in Bitcoin ETFs.

同時，Bitfinex謹慎對待樂觀的分析師說，投資者對總部位於美國的現場XRP ETF的興趣可能與比特幣ETF中見證的不符。

“We expect limited inflows into an XRP ETF as some investors may choose to broaden their exposure across available crypto ETFs. However it is unlikely to see the level of flows experienced by Bitcoin,” Bitfinex analysts told BeInCrypto.

Bitfinex分析師告訴BeinCrypto：“我們預計有限的流入成為XRP ETF，因為一些投資者可能會選擇擴大其在可用的加密ETF中的曝光率。但是，Bitfinex分析師告訴Beincrypto。

The contrasting assessments reflect broader uncertainty over how altcoin ETFs might perform in a regulated US market. Bitcoin’s dominance and changing regulatory attitudes toward digital assets still heavily influence the crypto market in the US.

對比評估反映了Altcoin ETF在受監管的美國市場中表現的更廣泛的不確定性。比特幣對數字資產的主導地位和監管態度的變化仍然嚴重影響了美國的加密市場。

So far, Grayscale, Wisdom Tree, Bitwise, Canary, and 21Shares have filed for XRP

到目前為止，灰度，智慧樹，位，金絲雀和21shares已為XRP申請