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加密货币新闻

下一个“黄金十字”的价格从60,000美元到目前的106,000美元

2025/05/13 23:02

同时,下一步发生了“黄金十字”,价格从60,000美元上涨至106,000美元,这是BTC目前的历史最高水平。

下一个“黄金十字”的价格从60,000美元到目前的106,000美元

This article provides a technical analysis of Bitcoin price movements in relation to the Golden Cross indicator and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It tracks multiple instances where the occurrence of a Golden Cross coincided with a rally in BTC price.

本文提供了与金交叉指标和相对强度指数(RSI)相关的比特币价格变动的技术分析。它跟踪了多个实例,其中金十字的发生与BTC价格集会相吻合。

The article by Benzinga previously discussed three possible scenarios that can unfold after the 50-day MA crosses above the 200-day MA, commonly known as a Golden Cross.

Benzinga的文章此前讨论了三种可能的情况,这些情况可能会在50天的MA横穿200天的MA(通常称为Golden Cross)上方之后展开。

Meanwhile, the next instance that a ‘golden cross’ occurred, the price rallied from $60,000 to $106,000, which is BTC’s current all-time high.

同时,下一步发生了“黄金十字”,价格从60,000美元上涨至106,000美元,这是BTC目前的历史最高水平。

However, it is worth noting that there have been some false positives along the way. These are bullish crossovers that don’t end up propelling BTC to higher highs.

但是,值得注意的是,一路上有一些误报。这些是看涨的跨界车,最终不会推动BTC提高到更高的高点。

In a previous article, we shared a bullish price target of $140,000 if this turns out to be one of those crossovers that push BTC to new all-time highs. However, two other scenarios can still unfold where the outcome will be different.

在上一篇文章中,如果事实证明这是将BTC推向新的历史最高点的跨界车之一,我们将看涨的价格目标为140,000美元。但是,在结果不同的情况下,其他两个方案仍然可以展开。

The first is a weak crossover. This is a scenario where the rally does not manage to gain enough strength to push BTC to higher highs.

第一个是薄弱的跨界。在这种情况下,集会无法获得足够的力量来将BTC推向更高的高点。

Interestingly, every time this happened, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) failed to reach overbought levels.

有趣的是,每当发生这种情况时,相对强度指数(RSI)都无法达到过分的水平。

In contrast, the ‘golden crosses’ that ended up propelling BTC to higher highs were followed by a strong push in the RSI to overbought territory.

相比之下,最终将BTC推向更高高点的“黄金十字架”之后,RSI强烈推动了过多的领土。

Latest Rally Has Resulted in Overbought RSI

最新的集会导致RSI过多

In the case of our latest rally, this has already been the case as the RSI currently sits at 71 – meaning that the uptrend has gained strong momentum.

就我们最新的集会而言,由于RSI目前为71,已经是这种情况,这意味着上升趋势已经获得了强大的动力。

The second scenario that may result in a failed push to new ATHs is a post-overbought pullback. However, this is not necessarily bearish. In fact, it is often the necessary move that the market needs to make to raise enough liquidity to keep the rally going.

可能导致新ATHS的第二种情况是反过来的回调。但是,这不一定是看跌。实际上,市场通常需要采取的必要行动来提高足够的流动性以保持集会。

The most relevant support in all of these bullish scenarios has been the 200-day EMA. The price has only dropped below this marker one time in the instances that have pushed BTC to new all-time highs.

在所有这些看涨的情况下,最相关的支持是200天EMA。在将BTC推向新的历史高点的情况下,价格仅下降了此标记。

Hence, as long as the price stays above that threshold – or the price action pulls a bear trap, as it happened once – BTC will remain on track to reach this long-term target of $140,000 per token.

因此,只要价格保持在该门槛之上 - 或价格动作就会像一次发生的熊陷阱一样,BTC将保持正轨达到这个长期目标,即每个令牌140,000美元。

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