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加密貨幣新聞文章

下一個“黃金十字”的價格從60,000美元到目前的106,000美元

2025/05/13 23:02

同時,下一步發生了“黃金十字”,價格從60,000美元上漲至106,000美元,這是BTC目前的歷史最高水平。

下一個“黃金十字”的價格從60,000美元到目前的106,000美元

This article provides a technical analysis of Bitcoin price movements in relation to the Golden Cross indicator and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It tracks multiple instances where the occurrence of a Golden Cross coincided with a rally in BTC price.

本文提供了與金交叉指標和相對強度指數(RSI)相關的比特幣價格變動的技術分析。它跟踪了多個實例,其中金十字的發生與BTC價格集會相吻合。

The article by Benzinga previously discussed three possible scenarios that can unfold after the 50-day MA crosses above the 200-day MA, commonly known as a Golden Cross.

Benzinga的文章此前討論了三種可能的情況,這些情況可能會在50天的MA橫穿200天的MA(通常稱為Golden Cross)上方之後展開。

Meanwhile, the next instance that a ‘golden cross’ occurred, the price rallied from $60,000 to $106,000, which is BTC’s current all-time high.

同時,下一步發生了“黃金十字”,價格從60,000美元上漲至106,000美元,這是BTC目前的歷史最高水平。

However, it is worth noting that there have been some false positives along the way. These are bullish crossovers that don’t end up propelling BTC to higher highs.

但是,值得注意的是,一路上有一些誤報。這些是看漲的跨界車,最終不會推動BTC提高到更高的高點。

In a previous article, we shared a bullish price target of $140,000 if this turns out to be one of those crossovers that push BTC to new all-time highs. However, two other scenarios can still unfold where the outcome will be different.

在上一篇文章中,如果事實證明這是將BTC推向新的歷史最高點的跨界車之一,我們將看漲的價格目標為140,000美元。但是,在結果不同的情況下,其他兩個方案仍然可以展開。

The first is a weak crossover. This is a scenario where the rally does not manage to gain enough strength to push BTC to higher highs.

第一個是薄弱的跨界。在這種情況下,集會無法獲得足夠的力量來將BTC推向更高的高點。

Interestingly, every time this happened, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) failed to reach overbought levels.

有趣的是,每當發生這種情況時,相對強度指數(RSI)都無法達到過分的水平。

In contrast, the ‘golden crosses’ that ended up propelling BTC to higher highs were followed by a strong push in the RSI to overbought territory.

相比之下,最終將BTC推向更高高點的“黃金十字架”之後,RSI強烈推動了過多的領土。

Latest Rally Has Resulted in Overbought RSI

最新的集會導致RSI過多

In the case of our latest rally, this has already been the case as the RSI currently sits at 71 – meaning that the uptrend has gained strong momentum.

就我們最新的集會而言,由於RSI目前為71,已經是這種情況,這意味著上升趨勢已經獲得了強大的動力。

The second scenario that may result in a failed push to new ATHs is a post-overbought pullback. However, this is not necessarily bearish. In fact, it is often the necessary move that the market needs to make to raise enough liquidity to keep the rally going.

可能導致新ATHS的第二種情況是反過來的回調。但是,這不一定是看跌。實際上,市場通常需要採取的必要行動來提高足夠的流動性以保持集會。

The most relevant support in all of these bullish scenarios has been the 200-day EMA. The price has only dropped below this marker one time in the instances that have pushed BTC to new all-time highs.

在所有這些看漲的情況下,最相關的支持是200天EMA。在將BTC推向新的歷史高點的情況下,價格僅下降了此標記。

Hence, as long as the price stays above that threshold – or the price action pulls a bear trap, as it happened once – BTC will remain on track to reach this long-term target of $140,000 per token.

因此,只要價格保持在該門檻之上 - 或價格動作就會像一次發生的熊陷阱一樣,BTC將保持正軌達到這個長期目標,即每個令牌140,000美元。

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