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以太坊(ETH)已收回了一个关键的技术水平,历史上一直以前的价格上涨,并标志着“季前赛”的开始
The price of Ethereum (ETH) has reclaimed a key technical level that could be setting the stage for a substantial price increase in the coming months.
以太坊(ETH)的价格已收回了一个关键的技术水平,这可能是为未来几个月的大幅上涨奠定基础。
As of Monday, the mid-line of the Gaussian Channel on the 2-week chart—a technical indicator used to visualize long-term price trends—remained the immediate resistance for ETH.
截至周一,在2周图表上,高斯频道的中线(用于可视化长期价格趋势的技术指标)对ETH的直接阻力揭示了。
The mid-line of the channel has acted as a point of divergence for significant rallies in previous market cycles.
该频道的中线一直是先前市场周期中重大集会的分歧。
In 2020, ETH surged from $400 to over $4,800 in 2021 after closing above the Gaussian mid-line in July 2020. A similar move in late 2023 saw ETH climb from below $1,500 to nearly $4,000 within a year after November 2023.
2020年,ETH在2020年7月关闭高斯中线之上后,从400美元飙升至2021年超过4,800美元。2023年下半年,ETH在2023年11月以后的一年中,ETH从1,500美元低于1,500美元攀升至近4,000美元。
In both instances, ETH quickly advanced toward and broke above the channel’s upper band as momentum built.
在这两种情况下,随着动量的建立,ETH迅速朝着频道的上乐队迈出并在频道的上乐队上方。
The next logical resistance level is the upper band of the Gaussian Channel, which is currently at around $3,200. A breakout above this level could open the path toward the previous cycle high of $4,100 by July.
下一个逻辑阻力水平是高斯通道的上带,目前约为3200美元。超过此水平的突破可能会为7月的上一环高达4,100美元开辟道路。
The potential for a large ETH price rally may also influence the broader altcoin market to rise alongside, according to market analyst Moustache.
据市场分析师胡须,大型ETH价格集会的潜力也可能影响更广泛的Altcoin市场与之一起上升。
According to the analyst, the combined market cap of the altcoin market, excluding Ethereum, surged by over 1,400% over a year after Ether’s close above the channel’s midline in July 2020.
根据分析师的说法,除了以太坊(以太坊)的替补市场的联合市值在2020年7月以太频道的中线超过该频道的中线后一年飙升了1,400%以上。
Similarly, the altcoin market cap gained by more than 200% a year after ETH’s midline breakout in November 2023.
同样,在2023年11月ETH的中线突破之后,Altcoin市值每年增长了200%以上。
The prospect of a 2025 altseason is further amplified by a repeating post-Bitcoin-halving pattern.
重复的居币后期模式进一步扩大了2025年Altseason的前景。
In both 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin dominance dropped sharply around 400 days after the halving, triggering altcoin rallies. With the April 2024 halving nearing the same period, a similar decline could occur within the next 100 days.
在2017年和2021年,比特币在减半后约400天左右急剧下降,引发了山寨币集会。随着2024年4月的同期减半,在接下来的100天内可能会发生类似的下降。
Analyst Wimar X expects the altcoin market cap to surge toward $15 trillion if the trend repeats.
分析师Wimar X预计,如果趋势重复,Altcoin市值将飙升至15万亿美元。
However, while ETH is showing technical strength, its support remains shallow unless it can move further away from its cost basis.
但是,尽管ETH表现出技术力量,但其支持仍然很浅,除非它可以远离成本基础。
According to onchain data from Glassnode, the largest portion of ETH’s market cap—around $123 billion—is held by investors who bought between $2,300 and $2,500.
根据来自ETH市场上限最大部分的GlassNode的OnChain数据(1,230亿美元),由投资者持有,他们购买了2,300美元至2,500美元。
If ETH’s price drops even slightly below this range, a large number of holders would flip into a loss. That could increase the risk of panic selling, adding pressure to the market.
如果ETH的价格甚至略低于此范围,则大量持有人会损失损失。这可能会增加恐慌销售的风险,从而增加市场压力。
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