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加密货币新闻

以太坊(ETH)的价格在昨天5月20日飙升了7%,这与整体市场回收率一致。

2025/05/21 09:21

以太坊(ETH)的价格在昨天5月20日飙升了7%,这与整体市场回收率一致。领先的Altcoin短暂交易了2500美元的心理水平

In an interview with Kitco News, economists at Moody's Analytics said that while they expect the U.S. to avoid a recession this year, they see a high probability of one developing in 2024.

穆迪分析(Moody's Analytics)的经济学家在接受Kitco新闻采访时说,尽管他们希望美国避免今年的衰退,但他们看到2024年发展的可能性很大。

"We’re not expecting a recession in 2023. We think the economy will continue to grow, albeit slowly, with the unemployment rate remaining low and inflation gradually declining throughout the year," said economists Christian Richter and Pranav Kashyap.

经济学家克里斯蒂安·里奇特(Christian Richter)和普拉纳夫·卡什亚普(Pranav Kashyap)表示:“我们不希望2023年的衰退。我们认为经济将继续增长,尽管缓慢,但失业率仍然较低,通货膨胀率全年逐渐下降。”

"However, we do see a high probability of a recession developing in 2024 as the Federal Reserve continues to hike interest rates and the full impact of those hikes begins to take hold."

“但是,随着美联储继续提高利率,这些衰退的可能性很高,而这些远足的全部影响开始产生。”

Earlier this month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the consumer price index rose 4.9% in April from the previous year, marking the smallest 12-month increase since November 2021. Economists polled by Dow Jones had anticipated a 4.4% rise and a 0.4% monthly increase.

本月早些时候,美国劳工统计局报告说,4月份的消费者价格指数比上一年增长了4.9%,标志着自2021年11月以来的12个月增长最小的12个月。道琼斯(Dow Jones)对经济学家进行了调查,预计预计将上升4.4%,每月增长0.4%。

"The broadest measure of consumer prices, the personal consumption expenditures price index, is also expected to decline gradually from the 4.2% year-over-year gain reported for March," said economists at Moody's Analytics.

穆迪分析的经济学家说:“消费价格的最广泛衡量标准是个人消费支出价格指数,也有望从3月份报告的4.2%的同比增长率逐渐下降。”

"We project that the PCE price index will reach the Fed's 2.5% year-over-year target in the fourth quarter of 2023, and the unemployment rate will remain at 3.7% throughout the year."

“我们预计,PCE价格指数将在2023年第四季度达到美联储同比目标的2.5%,并且全年失业率将保持在3.7%。”

The economists noted that the labor market remains strong, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 3.7% for the third consecutive month in April. Economists had predicted a slight rise to 3.8% after March saw the jobless rate unexpectedly tick down from 3.9% to 3.7%.

经济学家指出,劳动力市场仍然强劲,四月份连续第三个月,失业率稳定为3.7%。经济学家预测,在3月份,失业率意外地从3.9%下降到3.7%后,略有上升到3.8%。

"Despite the small decrease in the unemployment rate from 3.8% to 3.7%, we observe a continuation of the gradual decline in labor market strength, evident in the slight uptick in the U-3 unemployment rate to 3.7% from 3.6% in the prior month," said economists at Moody's Analytics.

“尽管失业率从3.8%降低到3.7%,但我们观察到劳动力市场实力逐渐下降的延续,这在U-3失业率的略有上升速度显然是上个月的3.6%,”经济学家在Moody的分析中说。

"Furthermore, there was a modest rise in the U-6 unemployment rate, which takes into account underemployment and those who have become discouraged in their job search, to 7.3% from 7.1% in the previous month."

“此外,U-6的失业率却有所上升,这考虑到了就业不足,而在求职中灰心的人则从上个月的7.1%开始灰心。”

Economists at Moody's Analytics also noted that they expect the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates in 2023.

穆迪分析的经济学家还指出,他们预计美联储将在2023年继续提高利率。

"We anticipate the Fed funds rate will reach a peak of 5.25% to 5.5% by the third quarter of 2023, and then remain at that level for the remainder of the year as the full impact of the rate hikes on the economy begins to take hold," said economists Christian Richter and Pranav Kashyap.

经济学家Christian Christian Christian Christian Christian和Pranav Kashyap说:“我们预计,到2023年第三季度,美联储的资金利率将达到5.25%至5.5%的峰值,然后在剩余的一年中保持该水平,因为这种速度对经济的全部影响开始持续下去。”

"We project that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates in the first quarter of 2024, gradually reducing the rate by 100 basis points throughout the year to reach 4.25% by the fourth quarter."

“我们预计,美联储将在2024年第一季度开始降低利率,将全年的利率逐渐降低100个基点,到第四季度达到4.25%。”

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