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加密貨幣新聞文章

以太坊(ETH)的價格在昨天5月20日飆升了7%,這與整體市場回收率一致。

2025/05/21 09:21

以太坊(ETH)的價格在昨天5月20日飆升了7%,這與整體市場回收率一致。領先的Altcoin短暫交易了2500美元的心理水平

In an interview with Kitco News, economists at Moody's Analytics said that while they expect the U.S. to avoid a recession this year, they see a high probability of one developing in 2024.

穆迪分析(Moody's Analytics)的經濟學家在接受Kitco新聞採訪時說,儘管他們希望美國避免今年的衰退,但他們看到2024年發展的可能性很大。

"We’re not expecting a recession in 2023. We think the economy will continue to grow, albeit slowly, with the unemployment rate remaining low and inflation gradually declining throughout the year," said economists Christian Richter and Pranav Kashyap.

經濟學家克里斯蒂安·里奇特(Christian Richter)和普拉納夫·卡什亞普(Pranav Kashyap)表示:“我們不希望2023年的衰退。我們認為經濟將繼續增長,儘管緩慢,但失業率仍然較低,通貨膨脹率全年逐漸下降。”

"However, we do see a high probability of a recession developing in 2024 as the Federal Reserve continues to hike interest rates and the full impact of those hikes begins to take hold."

“但是,隨著美聯儲繼續提高利率,這些衰退的可能性很高,而這些遠足的全部影響開始產生。”

Earlier this month, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the consumer price index rose 4.9% in April from the previous year, marking the smallest 12-month increase since November 2021. Economists polled by Dow Jones had anticipated a 4.4% rise and a 0.4% monthly increase.

本月早些時候,美國勞工統計局報告說,4月份的消費者價格指數比上一年增長了4.9%,標誌著自2021年11月以來的12個月增長最小的12個月。道瓊斯(Dow Jones)對經濟學家進行了調查,預計預計將上升4.4%,每月增長0.4%。

"The broadest measure of consumer prices, the personal consumption expenditures price index, is also expected to decline gradually from the 4.2% year-over-year gain reported for March," said economists at Moody's Analytics.

穆迪分析的經濟學家說:“消費價格的最廣泛衡量標準是個人消費支出價格指數,也有望從3月份報告的4.2%的同比增長率逐漸下降。”

"We project that the PCE price index will reach the Fed's 2.5% year-over-year target in the fourth quarter of 2023, and the unemployment rate will remain at 3.7% throughout the year."

“我們預計,PCE價格指數將在2023年第四季度達到美聯儲同比目標的2.5%,並且全年失業率將保持在3.7%。”

The economists noted that the labor market remains strong, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 3.7% for the third consecutive month in April. Economists had predicted a slight rise to 3.8% after March saw the jobless rate unexpectedly tick down from 3.9% to 3.7%.

經濟學家指出,勞動力市場仍然強勁,四月份連續第三個月,失業率穩定為3.7%。經濟學家預測,在3月份,失業率意外地從3.9%下降到3.7%後,略有上升到3.8%。

"Despite the small decrease in the unemployment rate from 3.8% to 3.7%, we observe a continuation of the gradual decline in labor market strength, evident in the slight uptick in the U-3 unemployment rate to 3.7% from 3.6% in the prior month," said economists at Moody's Analytics.

“儘管失業率從3.8%降低到3.7%,但我們觀察到勞動力市場實力逐漸下降的延續,這在U-3失業率的略有上升速度顯然是上個月的3.6%,”經濟學家在Moody的分析中說。

"Furthermore, there was a modest rise in the U-6 unemployment rate, which takes into account underemployment and those who have become discouraged in their job search, to 7.3% from 7.1% in the previous month."

“此外,U-6的失業率卻有所上升,這考慮到了就業不足,而在求職中灰心的人則從上個月的7.1%開始灰心。”

Economists at Moody's Analytics also noted that they expect the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates in 2023.

穆迪分析的經濟學家還指出,他們預計美聯儲將在2023年繼續提高利率。

"We anticipate the Fed funds rate will reach a peak of 5.25% to 5.5% by the third quarter of 2023, and then remain at that level for the remainder of the year as the full impact of the rate hikes on the economy begins to take hold," said economists Christian Richter and Pranav Kashyap.

經濟學家Christian Christian Christian Christian Christian和Pranav Kashyap說:“我們預計,到2023年第三季度,美聯儲的資金利率將達到5.25%至5.5%的峰值,然後在剩餘的一年中保持該水平,因為這種速度對經濟的全部影響開始持續下去。”

"We project that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates in the first quarter of 2024, gradually reducing the rate by 100 basis points throughout the year to reach 4.25% by the fourth quarter."

“我們預計,美聯儲將在2024年第一季度開始降低利率,將全年的利率逐漸降低100個基點,到第四季度達到4.25%。”

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