比特币，Kiyosaki和八月的诅咒：历史会重复吗？

罗伯特·基亚萨基（Robert Kiyosaki）警告说，由于“八月的诅咒”，八月可能发生了潜在的比特币坠毁，但认为这是一个购买机会。历史即将重复吗？

The 'Bitcoin, Kiyosaki, August Curse' narrative is back in full swing. Robert Kiyosaki, the 'Rich Dad Poor Dad' author, is once again raising eyebrows with his predictions of a potential Bitcoin price crash in August, a phenomenon he calls the 'August Curse.' But is it a cause for panic, or a strategic opportunity in disguise?

“比特币，Kiyosaki，August Curse”的叙述又恢复了。罗伯特·基亚萨基（Robert Kiyosaki）是“有钱的父亲爸爸”作家，他再次提高了眉毛，他预测了八月份的潜在比特币价格崩溃，这一现象称为“八月诅咒”。但这是恐慌的原因，还是伪装的战略机会？

Kiyosaki's August Curse: A History Lesson

Kiyosaki的八月诅咒：历史课

Kiyosaki isn't just pulling this 'August Curse' out of thin air. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to underperform in August. Data reveals that Bitcoin has averaged a meager 1.5% return in August over the past 12 years, with losses recorded in eight of those years. Last year saw a significant drop, with Bitcoin's price plummeting from $65,587.9 to $49,486.9 within the first week.

Kiyosaki不仅将这种“八月诅咒”从稀薄的空气中拉出。从历史上看，比特币表现出八月份表现不佳的趋势。数据表明，在过去的12年中，比特币在8月的平均收益率为1.5％，其中八年记录了损失。去年，比特币的价格大幅下降了，在第一周内，比特币的价格从65,587.9美元下降到49,486.9美元。

Is a Dip Inevitable?

蘸酱是不可避免的吗？

While past performance isn't a guarantee of future results, the 'August Curse' has many investors on edge. Kiyosaki himself has stated he hopes Bitcoin's price dips below $90,000 this August. Despite the concerns over a potential price drop, Kiyosaki made it clear: Bitcoin isn’t the problem. He added that the real issue is the multi-trillion-dollar U.S. debt and the “incompetent PhDs” running the Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury. He believes these leaders are mismanaging the economy and sees Bitcoin as a safe haven.

尽管过去的表现并不保证未来的结果，但“八月的诅咒”使许多投资者处于边缘状态。 Kiyosaki本人表示，他希望今年8月比特币的价格下降到90,000美元以下。尽管担心潜在的价格下跌，但Kiyosaki明确表示：比特币并不是问题。他补充说，真正的问题是美国债务的数万亿美元和拥有美联储和美国财政部的“无能的博士学位”。他认为，这些领导人的经济不善，将比特币视为避风港。

A Contrarian's Perspective

逆势人士的观点

What sets Kiyosaki apart is his contrarian approach. Instead of panicking, he views a potential crash as a golden opportunity. He's publicly stated that if the 'August Curse' hits, he plans to double his Bitcoin holdings. This strategy aligns with the 'buy the dip' mentality prevalent among many crypto investors, who see short-term volatility as a chance to accumulate assets at a discount.

他的逆势方法使Kiyosaki与众不同。他没有惊慌，而是将潜在的撞车视为一个千载难逢的机会。他公开表示，如果“八月的诅咒”命中率，他计划将比特币持有量加倍。该策略与许多加密投资者中普遍存在的“购买”心态保持一致，他们将短期波动视为以折扣价积累资产的机会。

He isn't alone in his long-term bullish outlook. Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy, has long advocated for a 21-year Bitcoin holding strategy. He sees Bitcoin as a strategic asset with a capped supply, making patience key to capturing its full value. Strategy has been aggressively accumulating Bitcoin, viewing it as a cornerstone of its financial strategy.

他的长期看法并不孤单。战略执行董事长迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）长期以来一直主张一项21年的比特币持有策略。他认为比特币是具有限制供应的战略资产，这是捕获其全部价值的耐心。战略一直在积极积累比特币，将其视为其财务战略的基石。

Beyond the Curse: Macroeconomic Factors

超越诅咒：宏观经济因素

It's important to remember that Bitcoin's price isn't solely determined by historical patterns. Macroeconomic factors play a significant role. Kiyosaki attributes Bitcoin's volatility to issues like the U.S. national debt and the Federal Reserve's monetary policies. He believes Bitcoin's performance reflects deeper systemic economic problems.

重要的是要记住，比特币的价格不仅由历史模式决定。宏观经济因素起着重要作用。 Kiyosaki将比特币的波动归因于美国国家债务和美联储的货币政策等问题。他认为比特币的绩效反映了更深的系统经济问题。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

Whether the 'August Curse' strikes again remains to be seen. But Kiyosaki's perspective offers a valuable lesson: Don't let fear dictate your investment decisions. Instead, consider the long-term potential and view market dips as potential opportunities. So, buckle up, keep an eye on the charts, and remember, even if Bitcoin takes a tumble, it might just be the perfect time to load up. After all, who knows, maybe you'll be laughing all the way to the crypto bank next summer!

“八月诅咒”是否再次袭击还有待观察。但是Kiyosaki的观点提供了一个宝贵的教训：不要让恐惧决定您的投资决定。取而代之的是，将长期潜力并视为潜在机会。因此，扣紧，请密切关注图表，并记住，即使比特币失败，也可能只是加载的最佳时机。毕竟，谁知道，也许您会在明年夏天一直笑到加密银行！