尽管比特币在周一进行了短暂回调，但以太坊（ETH）的价格表现出了实力。这是人造的力量吗？

仔细研究技术分析和链上数据，表明明显的疲惫迹象，并可能发生2,000美元的崩溃。

Ethereum (ETH) price showed strength despite Bitcoin’s brief pullback on Monday. However, a closer look at technical analysis and on-chain data indicates clear signs of exhaustion and a potential crash to $2,000.

尽管比特币在周一进行了短暂回调，但以太坊（ETH）的价格表现出了实力。但是，仔细研究技术分析和链上数据表明，明显的疲惫迹象和可能的崩溃迹象至2,000美元。

What Happened: At press time, Ethereum trades at $2,638 and is up 3.10% for the day. Due to the recent uptick, the market cap of ETH stands at around $318 billion.

发生的事情：发稿时，以太坊的交易价格为2,638美元，当天增长了3.10％。由于最近的上升，ETH的市值约为3180亿美元。

On the daily chart, Ethereum’s price has been oscillating between $2,323 and $2,738 with signs of bullish exhaustion. While ETH produced almost equal highs in the past two weeks, the momentum indicators like RSI and AO produced lower highs. This non-conformity is termed bearish divergence and hints at ETH price pulling back shortly.

在每日图表上，以太坊的价格在2,323美元至2,738美元之间的振荡，陈列着疲惫的迹象。尽管ETH在过去的两个星期中产生了几乎相等的高点，但RSI和AO等动量指标产生了较低的高点。这种不合格被称为看跌的差异，并暗示ETH价格很快就会退缩。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also dropped below the overbought zone. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator is approaching the mean level with decreasing red histogram bars, denoting a decline in momentum, similar to the RSI.

相对强度指数（RSI）也下降到了过多的区域以下。令人敬畏的振荡器（AO）指示器正在接近平均水平，而红色直方图杆降低，表示动量下降，类似于RSI。

The chances of reversal are also high, considering that Ethereum’s price also tagged the February 22 supply zone, extending from approximately $2,800 to $2,600. In trading terminology, a supply zone refers to an area where a significant spike in sell orders has previously led to a steep correction. A retest of this area usually leads to a sharp rejection if the buying pressure is weak.

考虑到以太坊的价格也标记为2月22日的供应区，逆转的机会也很高，从大约2,800美元延长到2,600美元。在交易术语中，供应区是指以前在卖出订单上大幅提高的地区已导致了彻底的纠正。如果购买压力较弱，则重新测试该区域通常会导致急剧拒绝。

The key levels to watch if Ethereum price begins its correction here include the weekly bullish breaker, spanning from $1,800 to $2,100. A revisit of this level is likely considering the aforementioned bearish divergence.

观看以太坊价格是否开始更正的关键水平包括每周的看涨破坏者，涉及1,800美元至2,100美元。重新访问该级别可能正在考虑上述看跌差异。

Related Link: Bitcoin Breathes, But Can It Escape The Graveyard At $23K This Time?

相关链接：比特币呼吸，但是这次可以以23k的价格逃脱墓地吗？

Why It Matters: Open Interest (OI) for Ethereum has increased by $1.36 billion in nine hours or less. With a current price of $3,000 just 13% rally away, the rapid addition of leveraged products is evident.

为什么重要的是：以太坊的开放利息（OI）在9小时或更短时间内增加了13.6亿美元。目前的价格仅为3,000美元，只有13％的集会，因此很快就可以迅速增加杠杆产品。

Typically, when leverage is ramped up at such a rate, markets tend to reverse to cull eager participants. Hence, the second sell signal also indicates that a drop in Ethereum price is highly likely.

通常，当杠杆率以这样的速度加速时，市场往往会逆转到急切的参与者。因此，第二个卖出信号还表明，以太坊价格下跌很可能。

Furthermore, Santiment’s 30-day MVRV Ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) stands at 24%. This figure represents the average unrealized profit of ETH investors who purchased a month ago.

此外，Santiment的30天MVRV比率（市场价值与已实现价值）为24％。该数字代表了一个月前购买的ETH投资者的平均未实现利润。

Usually, spikes into the 10% to 20% ‘danger zone’ often lead to reversals as these investors book their profits.

通常，由于这些投资者预定了他们的利润，因此将尖峰升入10％至20％的“危险区”通常会导致逆转。

To conclude, the short-term profit-taking potential, coupled with a significant increase in Open Interest, suggests an overextended and overleveraged move for Ethereum price. These two indicators lend credence to the bearish divergence noted on the daily chart, which hints at a correction to the next key support level of $2,000.

总而言之，短期利润潜力，再加上开放利息的大幅增加，这表明以太坊价格过度扩张和过度杠杆化的举动。这两个指标在每日图表上指出的看跌差异提供了信誉，这暗示了对下一个2,000美元的关键支持水平的更正。

For a long-term price prediction of Ethereum 2030-2050: Read This

对于以太坊的长期价格预测2030-2050：阅读此

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

常见问题（常见问题解答）

1. What is Ethereum's current price and market cap?

1。以太坊目前的价格和市值是什么？

As of Monday morning, Ethereum's price is hovering around $2,638, with a 24-hour trading volume of $18.33 billion. This positions Ethereum at the second-largest cryptocurrency, boasting a market capitalization of approximately $318 billion.

截至周一上午，以太坊的价格徘徊在2,638美元左右，交易量为183.3亿美元。这将以太坊定位为第二大加密货币，其市值约为3180亿美元。

2. What are the sell signals indicating for Ethereum's price?

2。卖出以太坊价格的卖出信号是什么？

A technical analysis of Ethereum's price suggests that the positive trends might be exhausting, hinting at a potential correction. The RSI has dropped from the overbought zone and the Awesome Oscillator is approaching the mean level with decreasing red bars, indicating a decline in momentum. Additionally, Ethereum's price has tagged the February 22 supply zone, which might lead to a sharp rejection if the buying pressure weakens.

对以太坊价格的技术分析表明，积极的趋势可能令人筋疲力尽，暗示了潜在的纠正。 RSI从过度买的区域下降了，令人敬畏的振荡器正随着红色条的降低而接近平均水平，表明动量下降。此外，以太坊的价格已标记为2月22日的供应区，如果购买压力减弱，这可能会导致急剧拒绝。

3. What is the potential support level for Ethereum's price if it corrects?

3。如果纠正措施，以太坊价格的潜在支持水平是多少？

If Ethereum price corrects, it might find support at the weekly bullish breaker, extending from $1,800 to $2,100, which was breached in November 2022 during Bitcoin's final attempt at a bottom. This level could be a key determinant of the next major trend for Bitcoin and, in turn, Ethereum. A revisit of this level is likely considering the bearish divergence and the Open Interest (OI) in the ETH perpetual futures market.

如果以太坊价格纠正，它可能会在每周的看涨破坏者中得到支持，从1,800美元延伸到2,100美元，这在2022年11月在比特币最终尝试的最终尝试中被违反了。该水平可能是比特币下一个主要趋势的关键决定因素，进而是以太坊。重新审视这一水平很可能考虑到ETH永久期货市场中的看跌差异和开放兴趣（OI）。