儘管比特幣在周一進行了短暫回調，但以太坊（ETH）的價格表現出了實力。這是人造的力量嗎？

仔細研究技術分析和鏈上數據，表明明顯的疲憊跡象，並可能發生2,000美元的崩潰。

Ethereum (ETH) price showed strength despite Bitcoin’s brief pullback on Monday. However, a closer look at technical analysis and on-chain data indicates clear signs of exhaustion and a potential crash to $2,000.

儘管比特幣在周一進行了短暫回調，但以太坊（ETH）的價格表現出了實力。但是，仔細研究技術分析和鏈上數據表明，明顯的疲憊跡象和可能的崩潰跡象至2,000美元。

What Happened: At press time, Ethereum trades at $2,638 and is up 3.10% for the day. Due to the recent uptick, the market cap of ETH stands at around $318 billion.

發生的事情：發稿時，以太坊的交易價格為2,638美元，當天增長了3.10％。由於最近的上升，ETH的市值約為3180億美元。

On the daily chart, Ethereum’s price has been oscillating between $2,323 and $2,738 with signs of bullish exhaustion. While ETH produced almost equal highs in the past two weeks, the momentum indicators like RSI and AO produced lower highs. This non-conformity is termed bearish divergence and hints at ETH price pulling back shortly.

在每日圖表上，以太坊的價格在2,323美元至2,738美元之間的振盪，陳列著疲憊的跡象。儘管ETH在過去的兩個星期中產生了幾乎相等的高點，但RSI和AO等動量指標產生了較低的高點。這種不合格被稱為看跌的差異，並暗示ETH價格很快就會退縮。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also dropped below the overbought zone. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator is approaching the mean level with decreasing red histogram bars, denoting a decline in momentum, similar to the RSI.

相對強度指數（RSI）也下降到了過多的區域以下。令人敬畏的振盪器（AO）指示器正在接近平均水平，而紅色直方圖桿降低，表示動量下降，類似於RSI。

The chances of reversal are also high, considering that Ethereum’s price also tagged the February 22 supply zone, extending from approximately $2,800 to $2,600. In trading terminology, a supply zone refers to an area where a significant spike in sell orders has previously led to a steep correction. A retest of this area usually leads to a sharp rejection if the buying pressure is weak.

考慮到以太坊的價格也標記為2月22日的供應區，逆轉的機會也很高，從大約2,800美元延長到2,600美元。在交易術語中，供應區是指以前在賣出訂單上大幅提高的地區已導致了徹底的糾正。如果購買壓力較弱，則重新測試該區域通常會導致急劇拒絕。

The key levels to watch if Ethereum price begins its correction here include the weekly bullish breaker, spanning from $1,800 to $2,100. A revisit of this level is likely considering the aforementioned bearish divergence.

觀看以太坊價格是否開始更正的關鍵水平包括每週的看漲破壞者，涉及1,800美元至2,100美元。重新訪問該級別可能正在考慮上述看跌差異。

Related Link: Bitcoin Breathes, But Can It Escape The Graveyard At $23K This Time?

相關鏈接：比特幣呼吸，但是這次可以以23k的價格逃脫墓地嗎？

Why It Matters: Open Interest (OI) for Ethereum has increased by $1.36 billion in nine hours or less. With a current price of $3,000 just 13% rally away, the rapid addition of leveraged products is evident.

為什麼重要的是：以太坊的開放利息（OI）在9小時或更短時間內增加了13.6億美元。目前的價格僅為3,000美元，只有13％的集會，因此很快就可以迅速增加槓桿產品。

Typically, when leverage is ramped up at such a rate, markets tend to reverse to cull eager participants. Hence, the second sell signal also indicates that a drop in Ethereum price is highly likely.

通常，當槓桿率以這樣的速度加速時，市場往往會逆轉到急切的參與者。因此，第二個賣出信號還表明，以太坊價格下跌很可能。

Furthermore, Santiment’s 30-day MVRV Ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) stands at 24%. This figure represents the average unrealized profit of ETH investors who purchased a month ago.

此外，Santiment的30天MVRV比率（市場價值與已實現價值）為24％。該數字代表了一個月前購買的ETH投資者的平均未實現利潤。

Usually, spikes into the 10% to 20% ‘danger zone’ often lead to reversals as these investors book their profits.

通常，由於這些投資者預定了他們的利潤，因此將尖峰升入10％至20％的“危險區”通常會導致逆轉。

To conclude, the short-term profit-taking potential, coupled with a significant increase in Open Interest, suggests an overextended and overleveraged move for Ethereum price. These two indicators lend credence to the bearish divergence noted on the daily chart, which hints at a correction to the next key support level of $2,000.

總而言之，短期利潤潛力，再加上開放利息的大幅增加，這表明以太坊價格過度擴張和過度槓桿化的舉動。這兩個指標在每日圖表上指出的看跌差異提供了信譽，這暗示了對下一個2,000美元的關鍵支持水平的更正。

For a long-term price prediction of Ethereum 2030-2050: Read This

對於以太坊的長期價格預測2030-2050：閱讀此

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

常見問題（常見問題解答）

1. What is Ethereum's current price and market cap?

1。以太坊目前的價格和市值是什麼？

As of Monday morning, Ethereum's price is hovering around $2,638, with a 24-hour trading volume of $18.33 billion. This positions Ethereum at the second-largest cryptocurrency, boasting a market capitalization of approximately $318 billion.

截至週一上午，以太坊的價格徘徊在2,638美元左右，交易量為183.3億美元。這將以太坊定位為第二大加密貨幣，其市值約為3180億美元。

2. What are the sell signals indicating for Ethereum's price?

2。賣出以太坊價格的賣出信號是什麼？

A technical analysis of Ethereum's price suggests that the positive trends might be exhausting, hinting at a potential correction. The RSI has dropped from the overbought zone and the Awesome Oscillator is approaching the mean level with decreasing red bars, indicating a decline in momentum. Additionally, Ethereum's price has tagged the February 22 supply zone, which might lead to a sharp rejection if the buying pressure weakens.

對以太坊價格的技術分析表明，積極的趨勢可能令人筋疲力盡，暗示了潛在的糾正。 RSI從過度買的區域下降了，令人敬畏的振盪器正隨著紅色條的降低而接近平均水平，表明動量下降。此外，以太坊的價格已標記為2月22日的供應區，如果購買壓力減弱，這可能會導致急劇拒絕。

3. What is the potential support level for Ethereum's price if it corrects?

3。如果糾正措施，以太坊價格的潛在支持水平是多少？

If Ethereum price corrects, it might find support at the weekly bullish breaker, extending from $1,800 to $2,100, which was breached in November 2022 during Bitcoin's final attempt at a bottom. This level could be a key determinant of the next major trend for Bitcoin and, in turn, Ethereum. A revisit of this level is likely considering the bearish divergence and the Open Interest (OI) in the ETH perpetual futures market.

如果以太坊價格糾正，它可能會在每週的看漲破壞者中得到支持，從1,800美元延伸到2,100美元，這在2022年11月在比特幣最終嘗試的最終嘗試中被違反了。該水平可能是比特幣下一個主要趨勢的關鍵決定因素，進而是以太坊。重新審視這一水平很可能考慮到ETH永久期貨市場中的看跌差異和開放興趣（OI）。