比特币的疯狂骑行：ETF绩效，失业数据和90,000美元的下降？

比特币的价格受ETF成功，失业率下降和潜在崩溃的影响。亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）预测，$ 9万美元的跌幅，而ETF的表现优于标准普尔500款基金。

Bitcoin's been on a rollercoaster, fueled by ETF performance, surprising unemployment data, and whispers of a potential crash. Let's break down what's driving this crypto craziness.

比特币一直在过山车上，以ETF的性能，令人惊讶的失业数据以及潜在崩溃的耳语为动力。让我们打破驱动这种加密疯狂的原因。

Bitcoin's Bumpy Climb: ETFs and Economic Data in the Driver's Seat

比特币的颠簸攀登：驾驶员座位中的ETF和经济数据

Bitcoin (BTC) has bounced back from a mid-June dip around $98,000, surging past $110,000 recently. Trading volume's up, market cap's peaking – things are looking bullish, right? Well, kinda. This rise was fueled by strong performance in US Bitcoin ETFs and a surprising dip in unemployment data.

比特币（BTC）从6月中旬下跌约98,000美元，最近又飙升了110,000美元。交易量的增加，市值的峰值 - 事情看起来看涨，对吗？好吧，有点。美国比特币ETF的出色表现和失业数据中令人惊讶的下降促进了这一上升。

BlackRock's ETF Bonanza

贝莱德的ETF大富翁

BlackRock's killing it with crypto ETFs. Their Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have raked in billions since launch. The iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) ETF is even outperforming BlackRock's own S&P 500 ETF (IVV) in terms of annual fees generated! Despite the IVV having way more assets and a longer track record, IBIT is the new rockstar. This shows you the crazy demand for Bitcoin exposure right now.

用加密ETF杀死了贝莱德。自推出以来，他们的比特币和以太坊ETF在数十亿美元中脱颖而出。在产生的年度费用方面，iShares比特币信托（IBIT）ETF甚至优于BlackRock自己的标准普尔500 ETF（IVV）！尽管IVV拥有更多的资产和更长的记录，但IBIT是新的Rockstar。这表明您现在对比特币暴露的疯狂需求。

Unemployment Drop: Good News for Bitcoin?

失业率下降：比特币的好消息？

The US unemployment rate dipped from 4.2% to 4.1% in June. This good news boosts confidence in the economy, making people more willing to gamble on riskier assets like Bitcoin and crypto. Basically, when people feel secure about their jobs, they're more likely to throw some cash at the crypto lottery.

6月，美国失业率从4.2％下降到4.1％。这个好消息增强了人们对经济的信心，使人们更愿意在比特币和加密等风险的资产上赌博。基本上，当人们对自己的工作感到安全时，他们更有可能在加密彩票上投入一些现金。

Arthur Hayes' $90K Bitcoin Prediction: Crash or Opportunity?

亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）的$ 90K比特币预测：崩溃还是机会？

Now for the buzzkill. Arthur Hayes, BitMEX co-founder, thinks Bitcoin could drop to $90,000. He's pointing to technical patterns, global events (like potential Trump tariffs), and liquidity issues. According to Hayes, $90,000 is a key support level that Bitcoin hasn't dipped below since April 2025.

现在是嗡嗡声。 Bitmex联合创始人Arthur Hayes认为比特币可能会降至90,000美元。他指出技术模式，全球事件（例如潜在的特朗普关税）以及流动性问题。根据海耶斯的说法，自2025年4月以来，比特币从未下跌的关键支持水平。

Hayes is concerned about potential stablecoin regulations and the return of Trump's tariffs, which could hurt markets, including BTC. Some analysts also see bearish signals on Bitcoin's chart, hinting at a possible dip to $90K or even lower.

海耶斯（Hayes）担心潜在的稳定法规和特朗普的关税返回，这可能会损害包括BTC在内的市场。一些分析师还可以在比特币图表上看到看跌信号，暗示可能降至$ 90k甚至更低。

Hayes isn't necessarily preaching doom. He actually sees a potential drop to $90,000 as a good buying opportunity for long-term investors. His strategy is to accumulate Bitcoin slowly between $98,000 and $90,000. Think of it as dollar-cost averaging your way through the dip.

海斯不一定宣讲厄运。实际上，他认为潜在的跌至90,000美元是长期投资者的好购买机会。他的策略是在98,000美元至90,000美元之间缓慢积累比特币。可以将其视为通过浸入的美元成本平均。

The Bottom Line

底线

Bitcoin's price is a wild mix of ETF success, economic data, and market fears. While BlackRock's ETFs are booming and unemployment figures look good, potential regulations and global tensions could trigger a price correction. Arthur Hayes' $90,000 prediction is a reminder that Bitcoin's ride is never smooth.

比特币的价格是ETF成功，经济数据和市场恐惧的疯狂结合。虽然贝莱德的ETF正在蓬勃发展，并且失业数字看起来不错，但潜在的法规和全球紧张局势可能会引发价格纠正。亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes）的90,000美元预测提醒您，比特币的骑行永远不会平稳。

So, what's the play? Well, that's up to you. But remember, Bitcoin's volatile, so do your own research and don't bet the farm. Maybe Hayes is right, and a $90K Bitcoin is in the cards. Or maybe Bitcoin will laugh in his face and shoot for the moon. Either way, buckle up – it's gonna be a fun ride!

那么，什么是戏？好吧，这取决于你。但是请记住，比特币的动荡不安，您自己的研究也是如此，不要打赌农场。也许海耶斯是对的，卡在卡中也有9万美元的比特币。也许比特币会在他的脸上大笑，并为月球射击。无论哪种方式，都可以搭扣 - 这将是一个有趣的旅程！