Dogecoin（Doge）价格预测：下一个牛市的21shares预测$ 1.42

研究室和交易所交易的发行人21shares认为，狗狗币已成长为“您的投资组合的明智之举”，如果看涨势头持有，则将牛市市场的目标价值为1.42美元。

Research house and exchange-traded-product issuer 21Shares is arguing that Dogecoin has matured into “a smart addition to your portfolio,” projecting a bull-market price target of $1.42 per coin if bullish momentum holds.

研究室和交易所交易的发行人21shares认为，狗狗币已成长为“您的投资组合的明智之举”，如果看涨势头持有，则将牛市市场的目标价值为1.42美元。

In a post published on X on 30 April, the firm told its followers that “Dogecoin isn’t just a meme anymore—it might be a smart addition to your portfolio.” Linking to a research note, 21Shares detailed stress-tested portfolio simulations in which a traditional 60/40 basket of equities and bonds is first “infused with 3 % Bitcoin” and then supplemented with a “modest 1 % DOGE allocation.”

该公司在4月30日在X上发表的一篇文章中告诉其追随者，“不再是模因，这可能是您投资组合的明智之处。”链接到研究说明，21shares详细的压力测试的投资组合模拟，其中传统的60/40篮子股票和债券首先“注入3％的比特币”，然后补充“适中的1％的Doge分配”。

According to the researchers, “the benchmark returned 7.25 % annually, while DOGE-enhanced portfolios reached as high as 8.95 %. Sharpe ratios improved in almost all tests,” while the worst peak-to-trough drawdown only “deepened by a few percentage points.”

根据研究人员的说法，“该基准每年返回7.25％，而Doge增强的投资组合则达到8.95％。几乎所有测试中的Sharpe比率都提高了，而最糟糕的峰值降低仅“深度降低了几个百分点”。

The study attributes the incremental performance to Dogecoin’s decade-long record of outpacing most large-cap crypto-assets while maintaining “a low correlation to crypto and traditional assets.” Even so, the authors stress that disciplined rebalancing remains vital.

该研究将增量表现归因于多霉素长达十年的记录，该记录超过了大多数大型加密资源，同时保持“与加密和传统资产的相关性较低”。即便如此，作者还是强调，纪律处分仍然至关重要。

“Without it, returns can plateau while risk quietly compounds,” they warn, adding that monthly or weekly rebalancing strikes the best compromise between upside capture and volatility control, particularly “during periods of broader market stress, as we’ve recently seen.”

他们警告说：“没有它，回报量可能会高涨，而冒着悄悄地复合的情况，”他补充说，每月或每周的重新平衡罢工是上升捕获和波动性控制之间的最佳折衷，尤其是“在更广泛的市场压力期间，正如我们最近看到的那样。”

Three Scenarios For Dogecoin

Dogecoin的三种情况

To frame expectations for the coming cycle, 21Shares sets out three scenarios:

为了实现对即将周期的期望，21shares列出了三种情况：

In the bear case, Dogecoin’s post-election rally is described as potentially having “front-run its true cycle potential.” If the token merely compounds at 10 % per year from its 2021 peak of $0.73, it would “land around $0.38 by 2025,” a doubling from today’s $0.18 but, for the first time, a failure to record a new all-time high within a full market cycle.

在熊案中，狗狗的大选后拉力赛被描述为可能具有“前进的真实周期潜力”。如果令牌从2021年的峰值$ 0.73的峰值开始，每年仅以10％的速度化合物，则“到2025年，它将降落约0.38美元”，这是当今的0.18美元增加一倍，但首次未能在整个市场周期内记录新的历史高处。

The neutral case assumes the total crypto-asset market capitalizes at $5 trillion and DOGE’s market share slips from 4 % to 3 %. On those inputs, Dogecoin would be worth roughly $150 billion and trade “near $1 per coin,” about a 5.5-fold gain from current levels, with the token “retaining its stature as the leading memecoin” amid stiffer competition.

中立案子假设总加密资产市值为5万亿美元，而总督的市场份额下滑从4％到3％。在这些意见上，Dogecoin的价值约为1500亿美元，“每枚硬币接近1美元”，从当前水平获得约5.5倍的收益，而在更严厉的竞争中，代币“保持其身材为领先的成员”。

The bullish projection scales the token’s compounded growth between the pre-2021 bottom of $0.007 and the current-cycle trough of $0.0585, a rate calculated at 189 % per year. “If DOGE were to mirror this explosive growth,” the paper concludes, “DOGE would reach approximately $1.42.”

看涨的投影将令牌的复杂增长范围扩大到2021年前的底部0.007美元和当前周期谷的0.0585美元，这一比率为每年189％。该论文总结说：“如果Doge能够反映出这种爆炸性的增长，将达到约1.42美元。”

Such an outcome would require a revival of “memecoin mania,” tangible real-world use cases and, critically, deeper integration with major consumer platforms such as Elon Musk’s X. In that environment, the authors write, a full-throated return of retail exuberance “could re-establish DOGE as the breakout asset of the cycle, potentially even doubling its all-time high.”

这样的结果将需要复兴“纪念物躁狂”，有形现实世界中的用例，并且与埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）的主要平台（例如埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）的X.。

21Shares finishes on a pragmatic note: “With the right structure, a 1 % allocation to Dogecoin isn’t reckless—it’s rewarding.”

21shares在务实的说明上结束了：“凭借正确的结构，向狗狗币分配了1％的分配并不鲁ck，这是有意义的。”

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.175.

发稿时，Doge的交易价格为0.175美元。