Dogecoin（Doge）价格将出现中期弱点，分析师Farid Saremi警告

TradingView分析师Farid Saremi认为，狗狗币的中期弱点，预计不会很快增长。

TradingView analyst Farid Saremi is spotting weakness for Dogecoin in the mid-term and isn’t expecting to see any major gains anytime soon.

TradingView分析师Farid Saremi在中期发现Dogecoin的弱点，并且不希望很快看到任何重大收益。

Dogecoin’s recent price action has seen a shift in sentiment as the asset pulls back from early May highs. After briefly touching levels above $0.18 at the start of the month, the coin reversed course, dipping below the $0.175 support line by May 3.

Dogecoin最近的价格行动发生了变化，因为资产从5月初的高点撤回。在本月初的短暂接触水平超过$ 0.18之后，硬币逆转课程，到5月3日之前下降到$ 0.175的支持线以下。

This decline continued into May 6, with the price reaching a local low just above $0.165. As of press time, Dogecoin is trading near $0.1734, showing a minor 3% recovery over the past 24 hours.

这种下降一直持续到5月6日，其价格达到了当地低于$ 0.165的当地低价。截至发稿时，Dogecoin的交易价格接近$ 0.1734，在过去24小时内恢复了3％。

However, this rebound has done little to resolve the growing uncertainty around its broader trend. As analysts assess the coin’s macro positioning, conflicting interpretations have emerged.

但是，这种反弹并没有解决围绕其更广泛趋势的不确定性的越来越多。随着分析师评估硬币的宏观定位，出现了冲突的解释。

Macro Resistance Zones

宏阻力区

Farid Saremi, a TradingView analyst, has been examining a 3-hour chart of DOGE/USDT to identify broader-level patterns. His analysis is pivoting on key equilibrium zones that are being defined by two main resistance points—December 2024 and January 2025.

TradingView分析师Farid Saremi一直在研究Doge/USDT的3小时图表，以识别更广泛的模式。他的分析是对由两个主要阻力点（2024年12月和2025年1月）定义的关键平衡区域的枢纽。

In December, Dogecoin reached just under $0.50, while in January it peaked lower, at around $0.43. After these highs, the price declined to be contained within a consolidation band between $0.18 and $0.21. This range now forms the main equilibrium zone.

去年12月，Dogecoin到达不到0.50美元，而在1月，它的峰值降低了，约为0.43美元。在这些高点之后，价格降低在合并频段内的0.18美元至0.21美元之间。该范围现在构成主要平衡区。

Crucially, the price has slipped below this area, signaling a breakdown in buyers’ strength. According to Saremi, Dogecoin is not yet ready for major growth in the mid-term, and price action is expected to gravitate toward the middle zone.

至关重要的是，价格已经低于该区域，标志着买家的实力发生了故障。根据Saremi的说法，Dogecoin尚未为中期的重大增长做好准备，预计价格行动将倾向于中间区域。

Lower Structural Supports

较低的结构支持

Following the loss of the main equilibrium zone, Saremi identifies two additional levels to watch. The first is located at $0.10894, which corresponds to price consolidation from January 2025. This area will act as intermediate support and may become the new balance zone if the price continues downward.

在主要平衡区域丧失之后，萨雷米（Saremi）确定了另外两个要注意的级别。第一个定价为0.10894美元，与2025年1月起的价格合并相对应。该区域将作为中间支持，如果价格持续下降，可能会成为New Balance区。

Spanning a broader structure, a deeper level near $0.07478 is identified as the final downside target. This level is based on historical price clustering from the October–November 2024 period, forming a lower structure.

跨越更广泛的结构，更深的水平接近$ 0.07478被确定为最终的下行目标。该级别基于2024年10月至1024年10月的历史价格集群，形成了较低的结构。

Saremi adds that external factors, such as actions by large holders or market news, may affect the timing of these moves, but they will not invalidate the projected levels.

Saremi补充说，外部因素，例如大型持有人或市场新闻的行动，可能会影响这些举动的时机，但它们不会使预计水平无效。

“We may be delayed in reaching the target, but the targets will be touched,” explains the analyst.

分析师解释说：“我们可能会推迟到达目标，但目标将被触及。”

Another View: Falling Wedge

另一种观点：掉落的楔子

In a contrasting analysis, Trader Tardigrade is examining Dogecoin’s performance against the total crypto market with a 3-day chart of DOGE/Total.

与对比分析相比，Trader Tardigrade正在研究Dogecoin对总的加密货币市场的绩效，其中3天的总督/总计图表。

#Dogecoin/#Total signals an identical Falling Wedge 🔥

＃dogecoin/＃总信号相同的下降楔形🔥

It seems ready to break out.A previous surge in $Doge/ $Total resulted in a 300% gain for $Doge. pic.twitter.com/9nEgq2wOGz— Trader Tardigrade (@TATrader_Alan) May 7, 2025

似乎已经准备好爆发了。先前的$ DOGE/ $总数的激增导致$ DOGE的300％收益。 pic.twitter.com/9negq2wogz-交易者tardigrade（@tatrader_alan）5月7日，2025年5月7日

His analysis highlights a recurring pattern of falling wedges. The first wedge, which formed during mid-2024, is shown to have fully played out in a sharp breakout, propelling Dogecoin from around $0.10 to $0.46—a 300% rally.

他的分析突出了掉落楔的反复出现模式。在2024年中期成立的第一个楔形物已显示出急剧突破，从大约0.10美元降至0.46美元，这是300％的拉力赛。

After the rally, the asset underwent a correction phase, forming another wedge from February to May 2025. This second wedge exhibits a similar structure with narrowing price ranges and compressing volume.

集会结束后，资产经历了校正阶段，从2月至2025年5月形成了另一个楔形阶段。第二个楔形物展示了类似的结构，价格较窄，而且压缩体积。

The analyst points out this tightening pattern, which signals accumulation and the potential for an upcoming breakout. He notes the technical similarity between the two wedges, implying that the current structure may precede another major move.

分析师指出了这种紧缩模式，该模式标志着积累和即将发生的突破的潜力。他指出了两个楔形之间的技术相似性，这意味着当前的结构可能是另一个主要举动。

If the 300% rise were to repeat, then Dogecoin could reach $0.6936 from its current price.

如果要重复300％的上升，那么Dogecoin的目前价格可能会达到0.6936美元。