中国会改变对比特币（BTC）采矿的立场吗？

本文回顾了有关美国在比特币采矿业的统治地位的最新发展以及包括唐纳德·特朗普总统征收的政治压力如何影响中国的政策。

China has long been known for its anti-cryptocurrency stance, shutting down bitcoin (BTC) mining activity and other crypto-related businesses in the country. However, with the changing global dynamics, especially the new dominance achieved by the United States in terms of bitcoin mining, a question arises whether China will change its policy.

长期以来，中国以其反货币姿态，关闭比特币（BTC）采矿活动以及该国其他与加密相关的企业而闻名。但是，随着全球动态的变化，尤其是美国在比特币采矿方面实现的新统治力，中国是否会改变其政策。

This article explores the latest developments concerning U.S. dominance in the bitcoin mining industry and how political pressure, including tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump, might affect China’s policies.

本文探讨了有关美国在比特币采矿业中统治地位的最新发展以及包括唐纳德·特朗普总统征收的政治压力如何影响中国的政策。

U.S. Dominance in Bitcoin Mining

美国在比特币采矿中的统治地位

According to the Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance (CCAF), the United States now controls 75.4% of the total global bitcoin hashrate. This marks a major shift in the bitcoin mining industry that was previously dominated by China. In 2017, China was a major leader in bitcoin mining, leveraging low electricity costs and extensive mining infrastructure to control more than 75% of the world’s total hashrate.

根据剑桥替代金融中心（CCAF）的说法，美国现在控制着全球总比特币桥梁的75.4％。这标志着比特币采矿业的重大转变以前由中国主导。 2017年，中国是比特币采矿的主要领导者，利用低电力成本和广泛的采矿基础设施来控制世界总桥梁的75％以上。

However, in 2019, China began taking decisive steps by banning cryptocurrency mining activities. Some provinces in China even started shutting down their mining operations. This ban was further strengthened in 2021 when the Chinese government declared that all crypto-related transactions were illegal, including banning foreign crypto exchanges from serving Chinese citizens.

但是，在2019年，中国开始通过禁止加密货币采矿活动采取决定性的步骤。中国的一些省甚至开始关闭他们的采矿业务。该禁令在2021年中国政府宣布所有与加密相关的交易都是非法的，包括禁止外国加密货币交易所为中国公民服务。

Despite Ban, Mining Activities Continue in China

尽管禁止，但中国仍在开采活动

Despite the official ban, bitcoin mining activity in China has not completely stopped. An analysis by Daniel Batten, a researcher focusing on the environmental impact of bitcoin, shows that China still controls about 15% of the total global hashrate. This indicates that despite the ban, the existing infrastructure in China can still support mining activities, both directly and through methods that are not officially registered.

尽管有官方禁令，但中国的比特币采矿活动并未完全停止。专注于比特币的环境影响的研究人员丹尼尔·巴顿（Daniel Batten）的分析表明，中国仍控制着全球总桥梁的15％。这表明，尽管禁令，但中国现有的基础设施仍然可以直接和通过未正式注册的方法来支持采矿活动。

According to the co-founder of Coin Bureau, Samuel "Sam" Mc Ingle (known as "Coin Bureau" online), this shift in hashrate to the United States is significant. He explained that if China were to rejoin the global hashrate network, they could quickly regain a substantial portion of the total hashrate due to their existing technological capabilities and large-scale operations.

据Coin局的联合创始人，塞缪尔·萨姆·麦克·英格（Samuel“ Sam” Mc Ingle）（在线称为“ Coin Bureau”），哈希拉特向美国的这种转变非常重要。他解释说，如果中国要重新加入全球哈希底网络，则由于其现有的技术能力和大规模运营，他们可能会迅速重新获得总哈希酸盐的很大一部分。

China and Its Digital Currency Strategy

中国及其数字货币战略

Apart from focusing on bitcoin mining, China has also shown interest in developing digital currencies, such as the digital yuan (e-CNY). This aligns with China’s efforts to reduce its dependence on the U.S. dollar and strengthen the yuan’s position in the global market. The development of the digital yuan is seen as a step to support the de-dollarization of the Chinese economy, aiming to decrease the dominance of the U.S. dollar in international trade.

除了专注于比特币采矿外，中国还对开发数字货币（例如数字元素（E-CNY））表现出兴趣。这符合中国为减少美元对美元的依赖并加强人民币在全球市场的地位而努力的努力。数字人民币的发展被视为支持中国经济承保的一步，旨在减少美元在国际贸易中的统治地位。

According to Temujin Louie, CEO of Wanchain, while China remains obstructive to the use of domestic cryptocurrencies, they remain active in developing other digital assets, such as CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currency) research and the launch of the digital yuan. He explained that China’s policies are not solely driven by pressure from the U.S. but also by global market trends and China’s own domestic strategies.

Wanchain首席执行官Temujin Louie表示，虽然中国仍然阻碍使用国内加密货币，但它们仍活跃于开发其他数字资产（例如CBDC（中央银行数字货币）研究和数字元素的推出）中。他解释说，中国的政策不仅受美国的压力，而且还受到全球市场趋势和中国自己的国内战略的驱动。

Trade Tension Risks and U.S. Influence

贸易紧张风险和美国影响力

Trade tensions between the U.S. and China, triggered by trade tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump, add a layer of uncertainty in terms of the cost efficiency of bitcoin mining operations in the U.S. According to Coin Bureau, China could use this moment to reconsider their bitcoin mining policies, although they are unlikely to make any major changes immediately.

根据Coin Bureau的说法，美国和中国之间的贸易紧张局势是由唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总统征收的贸易关税触发的，在美国的比特币采矿业务的成本效率方面增加了一层不确定性，尽管他们不可能立即进行任何重大变化，但中国可以利用这一刻重新考虑其比特币采矿政策。

Instead, China is likely to adopt a more cautious and measured approach in response to these changes. However, considering the significant trade friction and political pressure from the U.S., China might be motivated to reevaluate their stance on bitcoin mining and other cryptocurrencies.

取而代之的是，中国可能对这些变化采取更加谨慎和衡量的方法。但是，考虑到美国的巨大贸易摩擦和政治压力，中国可能会被激励重新评估其对比特币采矿和其他加密货币的立场。

Will China Change Its Stance on Crypto?

中国会改变对加密货币的立场吗？

Although China’s policy toward cryptocurrencies looks contradictory, some analysis suggests that there is a possibility of a change in policy direction, especially in relation to the de-dollarization strategy. Several countries, including China and Russia, have started using bitcoin (BTC) in energy trade to circumvent the dominance of the U.S. dollar. This is evidence that the use of cryptocurrencies as an alternative to international transactions is gaining attention at the global level.

尽管中国对加密货币的政策似乎是矛盾的，但一些分析表明，政策方向有可能改变，尤其是与债务策略有关。包括中国和俄罗斯在内的几个国家已经开始在能源贸易中使用比特币（BTC）来规避美元的统治地位。这证明使用加密货币作为国际交易的替代方案正在全球范围内受到关注。

In this case, China may choose to change their policy quietly, adjusting their policy towards cryptocurrencies in order to support efforts to internationalize the digital yuan or e-CNY. This process, while perhaps not directly related to U.S. dominance in mining, suggests that China retains a broader strategy in dealing with global challenges.

在这种情况下，中国可能会选择安静地改变其政策，调整其对加密货币的政策，以支持国际化数字人民币或E-CNY的努力。这个过程虽然可能与美国在采矿领域的统治地位没有直接关系，但表明中国在应对全球挑战方面保留了更广泛的战略。