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加密货币新闻

BTC摊位处于关键阻力,看跌符号安装

2025/05/01 07:06

比特币继续挣扎于95,000美元的阻力水平,尽管绿色关闭,但昨天的蜡烛显示出低于$ 92K的降低。

BTC摊位处于关键阻力,看跌符号安装

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to stall just below the $95,000 resistance as bearish signs mount, though altcoins are showing increasing strength with a growing number of TBO signals and bullish confirmation signals.

随着看跌标志坐骑,比特币(BTC)继续停滞在95,000美元的阻力下,尽管Altcoins随着TBO信号和看涨确认信号的越来越多的速度表现出越来越多的强度。

BTC stalls at key resistance with bearish signs mounting

BTC摊位处于关键阻力,看跌符号安装

Bitcoin continues to struggle just below the $95,000 resistance level. As yesterday’s candle closed green, it also formed a lower low, dipping below $92K. Daily RSI remains overbought above 70 but is also trending lower with lower highs and lows. Additionally, we can see that volume has not crossed its 30-day moving average since April 25, which is concerning for momentum.

比特币继续挣扎于95,000美元的阻力水平。随着昨天的蜡烛关闭绿色,它也形成了低于$ 92K的较低低点。每日RSI仍然超过70岁以上,但较低的高点和低点也呈较低的趋势。此外,我们可以看到,自4月25日以来,量没有超过其30天的移动平均值,这是关于动量的。

On the 4-hour chart, TBT Bearish Divergence Clusters have appeared again, the first since BTC’s top at $109K in January. While no TBO Close Long has printed yet, the frequency and clustering of these signals are still noteworthy.

在4小时的图表上,TBT看跌分歧群再次出现,这是BTC一月份以109K美元的最高水平以来的第一个。尽管尚未打印过TBO关闭,但这些信号的频率和聚类仍然值得注意。

The bullish counterpoint is that BTC remains above the daily TBO Cloud for eight straight days and the macro weekly chart still looks solid. However, with the lack of progress and strength, a pullback to $82K seems like the most likely scenario unless we see BTC decisively close above $95K.

看涨的对立面是,BTC连续八天保持了每日TBO云的上方,而宏观每周图仍然看起来很稳定。但是,由于缺乏进步和实力,除非我们看到BTC果断地关闭95,000美元,否则最有可能的情况似乎是最有可能的情况。

Stablecoin dominance remains weak and rangebound within the TBO Cloud, while Bitcoin Dominance continues strong despite having lower RSI. Top 10 Dominance is still bearish, and OTHERS.D is now pulling back, which could lead to a break of ascending RSI support. However, we can see that during November 2024, we saw some chopping occur in the RSI before any major push higher.

Stablecoin的优势仍然很弱,并且在TBO云中的射程障碍,而尽管RSI较低,但比特币优势仍然很强。前十名的主导地位仍然是看跌,而其他人现在正在退缩,这可能导致RSI支持的突破。但是,我们可以看到,在2024年11月,我们看到在RSI中发生了一些切碎,然后再推高。

Yesterday, TOTAL3 confirmed a TBO Open Long—its first since September—which signals the end of bearish control and the start of a new uptrend. We can also see that OTHERS market cap is in the process of printing a TBO Open Long, which would support a broader altcoin recovery. These signals, though early, are still encouraging and reminiscent of the pre-pump setups we saw in late 2024.

昨天,Total 3证实了TBO开放的时间(自9月以来的首次),这标志着看跌控制的终结和新的上升趋势的开始。我们还可以看到,其他市值正在打印开放式TBO的过程,这将支持更广泛的Altcoin恢复。这些信号虽然很早,但仍在鼓励和让人联想到我们2024年末看到的预泵设置。

Market structure is showing some interesting correlations to pre-November 2024 rally

市场结构显示与2024年11月之前的集会相关联

BVOL7D, which measures BTC volatility, is oddly falling back into the Bounce Zone, which is something we saw before the last big market rally in October 2024. We are also seeing multiple correlations to past market conditions—especially from September to November 2024—emerge again, which reinforces the idea that we might be setting up for a similar bullish breakout pattern.

衡量BTC波动率的BVOL7D奇怪地落入了弹跳区,这是我们在2024年10月的最后一次大型市场集会之前所看到的。我们还看到了与过去市场条件的多个相关性,尤其是从2024年9月到2024年11月,这再次促进了我们可能为类似的Bullish Bribish Breakout模式建立了一个想法。

Altcoins show increasing strength with TBO signals lighting up

TBO信号照明升高

We can see that Ethereum has stalled despite its TBO Close Short last week, while XRP and SOL are flashing 4h TBO Close Longs—a reminder to take profits and watch for trend shifts. Many altcoins are also now printing Open Longs on the daily time frame, including VET, POL, TIA, and MNT. Charts like KCS and BERA are showing breakout clusters or early bullish divergence signals.

我们可以看到,尽管TBO上周很短,但以太坊仍停滞不前,而XRP和SOL则闪烁4H TBO的关闭寿命,这提醒您获得利润并注意趋势变化。现在,许多AltCoins也在每天的时间范围内打印出渴望,包括兽医,Pol,Tia和Mnt。 KCS和BERA之类的图表显示了突破集群或早期看涨差异信号。

Most notably, the TBT Forecaster flipped from Bearish to Bullish for ALTs five days ago—its first bullish flip since January. This shift adds another confirmation that altcoin recovery is unfolding, even if BTC pulls back in the short term.

最值得注意的是,五天前,TBT预报员从看跌到看涨,这是自1月以来的首次看涨。这种转变增加了另一种确认,即即使BTC在短期内退缩,Altcoin恢复正在展开。

Bottom line

底线

BTC is at a critical tipping point. Without a close above $95K soon, we may see a rejection and a retracement to $82K. However, the macro bullish structure remains intact.

BTC处于关键的临界点。如果没有即将超过$ 95K的收盘价,我们可能会看到拒绝和回撤至82,000美元。但是,宏观看涨结构仍然完好无损。

In the meantime, altcoins are showing increasing strength with a growing number of TBO Open Longs and bullish confirmation signals. As always, traders need to stay nimble—protecting profits but also staying open to further upside, especially as the historical patterns suggest that a larger move may soon unfold.

同时,随着越来越多的TBO开放式渴望和看涨确认信号,AltCoins表现出越来越大的强度。与往常一样,交易者需要保持敏捷性 - 筹集利润,但也保持开放的态度,尤其是因为历史模式表明,更大的举动可能很快就会发生。

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