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Bitmex联合创始人Arthur Hayes告诉Token2049在迪拜的参与者,到2028年,比特币可能会达到100万美元。他认为美国赤字不断增长,并将重新印刷的金钱印刷作为主要催化剂。
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes told TOKEN2049 attendees in Dubai that Bitcoin (BTC) could hit $1 million by 2028 due to rising U.S. deficits and the likelihood of renewed money printing. He was also optimistic for a wider market rally across crypto and equities.
Bitmex的联合创始人Arthur Hayes告诉Dubai的Token2049与会者,由于美国赤字增加和更新货币印刷的可能性,比特币(BTC)到2028年可能会达到100万美元。他还对整个加密货币和股票的更广泛市场集会感到乐观。
“It’s time to go long everything,” said Hayes, referencing cryptocurrencies and stocks, as he spoke at TOKEN2049.
海耶斯在Token2049上发表讲话时,指参考加密货币和股票时说:“现在是时候长时间了。”
The well-known trader said the U.S. government will be forced to inject more liquidity into the financial system through mechanisms similar to quantitative easing.
这位著名的交易员说,美国政府将通过类似于定量宽松的机制将更多的流动性注入金融体系。
Liquidity Will Drive Bitcoin to $1 Million
流动性将使比特币达到100万美元
Hayes likened the current macro setup to late 2022. The period was marked by high interest rates and uncertainty following the FTX collapse, yet assets recovered quickly once the U.S. commenced its $2.5 trillion repo program.
海耶斯将当前的宏观设置比作2022年末。该期间以FTX崩溃后的高利率和不确定性为特征,但是一旦美国开始了25万亿美元的回购计划,资产就很快回收。
Now, with markets juggling Donald Trump’s proposed trade tariffs (currently postponed for 90 days) and a pending liquidity withdrawal, Hayes sees the familiar ingredients coming together again. He anticipates institutional traders stepping up to absorb U.S. debt, and that liquidity to be channeled back into riskier assets like Bitcoin.
现在,随着市场杂耍唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)提议的贸易关税(目前已推迟了90天),并撤回流动性,海耶斯(Hayes)看到熟悉的成分再次聚集在一起。他预计机构交易员会加紧吸收美国的债务,并将流动性转回像比特币这样的风险较高的资产。
While noting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell might be less inclined to support market stability with Trump’s influence, suggesting relative value hedge funds could increase their purchases of U.S. debt, thereby boosting market liquidity.
虽然指出美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)可能不太倾向于支持特朗普的影响力,但表明相对价值对冲基金可能会增加其对美国债务的购买,从而提高市场流动性。
“The Treasury ‘prints’ money to fund the U.S. government,” said Hayes, as he made his case for Bitcoin to repeat or exceed its recent price performance.
海斯说:“财政部的印刷品为美国政府提供资金。”
From 2022 to 2025, Bitcoin has already seen a nearly sixfold increase. To reach $1 million by 2028, Bitcoin would need to sustain a similar rate of appreciation from current levels.
从2022年到2025年,比特币已经增加了近六倍。到2028年,比特币需要维持当前水平的相似升值率。
At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $94,703, showing resilience despite earlier volatility in 2025.
发稿时,比特币的交易价格为94,703美元,尽管在2025年较早波动率,但仍表现出弹性。
Treasury Action and Bitcoin Performance
国库行动和比特币性能
suggest that institutional investors are becoming increasingly interested in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
表明机构投资者对比特币和其他加密货币变得越来越感兴趣。
Moreover, Harvest Savings & Inv’s Head of Research, Peter Chung, recently told CNBC he stands by his year-end Bitcoin price forecast of $210,000.
此外,Harvest Savings&Inv的研究主管Peter Chung最近告诉CNBC他的年终比特币价格预测为210,000美元。
Chung, who also manages money for Harvest, cited strong institutional demand for crypto and anticipation of rising global liquidity as key drivers, presenting over 120% potential upside from current prices. He described Bitcoin as a “risk-on asset” that benefits from network effects, similar to tech firms.
Chung还管理着收获的钱,他引用了对加密货币的强劲机构需求,并期望全球流动性作为主要驱动因素,从当前价格提出了超过120%的潜在上涨空间。他将比特币描述为与科技公司类似的网络效应中受益的“风险资产”。
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