比特币花在欧洲交易时间里，将双手接近103,000美元

比特币花在欧洲的交易时间里，在周日晚上失败的尝试清除107,100美元之后

Bitcoin price is showing signs of recovery after a recent setback. As the market awaits new U.S. inflation data, one market technician is still setting the scene for a move to all-time highs.

比特币价格显示在最近的挫折之后的恢复迹象。随着市场在等待新的通货膨胀数据，一位市场技术人员仍在为人们迈向历史最高点。

Bitcoin (BTC) price action has stalled once again after failing to clear $107,100 during Sunday night’s trading hours. The cryptocurrency is currently changing hands near the $103,000 mark as the European session begins.

比特币（BTC）的价格行动在周日晚上的交易时间内未能清除107,100美元后再次停滞不前。随着欧洲会议的开始，该加密货币目前正在接近103,000美元的大关。

The pull-back has done little to dent the conviction of market technician Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX), who argues that the decisive battleground is still three weeks away: the weekly close of 9 June, when the Tenkan-sen is projected to cross above the Kijun-sen on the Ichimoku chart.

撤回的行动几乎没有使市场技术人员Cat博士（@DoctorCatx）的定罪，他认为决定性的战场仍然是三个星期的路程：6月9日，每周9月9日，当Tenkan-Sen预计将在Ichimoku图表上的Kijun-Sen上方交叉。

What This Means For Bitcoin Price

这对比特币价格意味着什么

In a post on X (formerly Twitter) published on May 19, the analyst reminded followers that “some people don’t understand the concept of time-frames,” adding that “while now we have a clear rejection with volume, a lot of people decided to get scared … on the first red 4h candle which even if red, didn’t break support.”

分析师在5月19日发表的X（以前是Twitter）的帖子中提醒追随者，“有些人不了解时件的概念”，并补充说：“虽然现在我们对数量有明确的拒绝，但许多人决定在第一个红色的4H蜡烛上感到害怕……即使是红色的，即使没有红色，也没有打破支持。”

He framed the current setback as routine consolidation: “Since tomorrow ~99.9K is a super-strong support,” Dr Cat stated. In his view, the high-liquidity pocket between $98,900 and $100,200 is an area that is “most likely” to be “bought up pretty quickly and decisively” should spot bids be tested.

他将目前的挫折定为例行合并：“自明天以来〜99.9k是超级支持，” Cat博士说。在他看来，高流动性袋在98,900美元至100,200美元之间，是一个“最有可能”“很可能”“很可能”购买的区域，如果测试竞标。

The crux of Dr Cat’s argument lies in the interaction of the fast-moving Tenkan-sen and the medium-term Kijun-sen on the weekly chart. An upward cross of the former above the latter—sometimes colloquially dubbed a “TK golden cross”—carries weight among Ichimoku practitioners because it signals that near-term momentum has finally overwhelmed the baseline trend.

Cat博士的论点的症结在于每周图表上快速发展的Tenkan-Sen和中期Kijun-Sen的相互作用。后者上方上方的一个向上的交叉点（有时是口语称为“ TK Golden Cross”）在Ichimoku从业者中的重量，因为它表明近期动量终于淹没了基线趋势。

What makes the 9 June close especially delicate is the tightness of the current range. Dr Cat concedes that “it’s unclear which will come first, $99,000 or $109,000—and that doesn’t really matter,” but he is categorical that “any deeper retrace below $98,000 is very unlikely.” The rising Kijun-sen, itself a 26-period mid-point, has in effect ratcheted support higher with every week of sideways trade.

6月9日关闭的原因是当前范围的紧密度。 Cat博士承认：“目前尚不清楚哪个将首先出现，$ 99,000或109,000美元，这并不重要。”但他明确地说，“任何更深层次的回顾低于$ 98,000的不可能是不太可能的。”上升的Kijun-Sen本身是26个周期的中点，实际上在每周的侧向贸易中都会更加更高的支持。

Macro traders will also be keeping an eye out for the May US CPI reading on 11 June—two days after the anticipated TK cross—and the Fed’s rate decision on 17-18 June. With real-yield expectations still dominating risk-asset positioning, any upside surprise in core inflation could delay the confirmation of bullish chart patterns.

宏观交易者还将注意6月11日5月11日的美国CPI阅读（预期TK十字架后的两天）以及6月17日至8日的美联储决定。随着真实收益的期望仍然主导了风险资产的定位，核心通货膨胀的任何上行惊喜都可能延迟对看涨图表模式的确认。

For now, the market remains range-bound. As long as $99,000 holds on a closing basis and the Chikou-span (lagging line) stays above price, Dr Cat sees little reason to abandon an all-time-high thesis.

目前，市场仍然存在。只要有99,000美元的闭幕式，Chikou-Span（滞后线）的价格就超过了价格，Cat博士几乎没有理由放弃历史上的论文。

“If by the time of the cross the price is still holding above Tenkan Sen … if ATH is not seen by then, it should be seen pretty much immediately,” he wrote.

他写道：“如果到十字架时，价格仍在tenkan sen上方……如果那时看不到ATH，应该立即看到它。”

Whether that confidence will survive the macro calendar is another question. What is clear is that both discretionary traders and systematic funds are marking 9 June as the moment the chart either validates the 2025 bull cycle—or postpones it once more.

这种信心是否会在宏日历中幸存下来是另一个问题。很明显，酌处权交易员和系统基金都在6月9日标记，因为图表要么验证2025年公牛周期，要么再次推迟。

At press time, BTC traded in a narrow range around $103,721.

发稿时，BTC的交易范围约为103,721美元。