比特幣花在歐洲交易時間裡，將雙手接近103,000美元

比特幣花在歐洲的交易時間裡，在周日晚上失敗的嘗試清除107,100美元之後

Bitcoin price is showing signs of recovery after a recent setback. As the market awaits new U.S. inflation data, one market technician is still setting the scene for a move to all-time highs.

比特幣價格顯示在最近的挫折之後的恢復跡象。隨著市場在等待新的通貨膨脹數據，一位市場技術人員仍在為人們邁向歷史最高點。

Bitcoin (BTC) price action has stalled once again after failing to clear $107,100 during Sunday night’s trading hours. The cryptocurrency is currently changing hands near the $103,000 mark as the European session begins.

比特幣（BTC）的價格行動在周日晚上的交易時間內未能清除107,100美元後再次停滯不前。隨著歐洲會議的開始，該加密貨幣目前正在接近103,000美元的大關。

The pull-back has done little to dent the conviction of market technician Dr Cat (@DoctorCatX), who argues that the decisive battleground is still three weeks away: the weekly close of 9 June, when the Tenkan-sen is projected to cross above the Kijun-sen on the Ichimoku chart.

撤回的行動幾乎沒有使市場技術人員Cat博士（@DoctorCatx）的定罪，他認為決定性的戰場仍然是三個星期的路程：6月9日，每週9月9日，當Tenkan-Sen預計將在Ichimoku圖表上的Kijun-Sen上方交叉。

What This Means For Bitcoin Price

這對比特幣價格意味著什麼

In a post on X (formerly Twitter) published on May 19, the analyst reminded followers that “some people don’t understand the concept of time-frames,” adding that “while now we have a clear rejection with volume, a lot of people decided to get scared … on the first red 4h candle which even if red, didn’t break support.”

分析師在5月19日發表的X（以前是Twitter）的帖子中提醒追隨者，“有些人不了解時件的概念”，並補充說：“雖然現在我們對數量有明確的拒絕，但許多人決定在第一個紅色的4H蠟燭上感到害怕……即使是紅色的，即使沒有紅色，也沒有打破支持。”

He framed the current setback as routine consolidation: “Since tomorrow ~99.9K is a super-strong support,” Dr Cat stated. In his view, the high-liquidity pocket between $98,900 and $100,200 is an area that is “most likely” to be “bought up pretty quickly and decisively” should spot bids be tested.

他將目前的挫折定為例行合併：“自明天以來〜99.9k是超級支持，” Cat博士說。在他看來，高流動性袋在98,900美元至100,200美元之間，是一個“最有可能”“很可能”“很可能”購買的區域，如果測試競標。

The crux of Dr Cat’s argument lies in the interaction of the fast-moving Tenkan-sen and the medium-term Kijun-sen on the weekly chart. An upward cross of the former above the latter—sometimes colloquially dubbed a “TK golden cross”—carries weight among Ichimoku practitioners because it signals that near-term momentum has finally overwhelmed the baseline trend.

Cat博士的論點的癥結在於每週圖表上快速發展的Tenkan-Sen和中期Kijun-Sen的相互作用。後者上方上方的一個向上的交叉點（有時是口語稱為“ TK Golden Cross”）在Ichimoku從業者中的重量，因為它表明近期動量終於淹沒了基線趨勢。

What makes the 9 June close especially delicate is the tightness of the current range. Dr Cat concedes that “it’s unclear which will come first, $99,000 or $109,000—and that doesn’t really matter,” but he is categorical that “any deeper retrace below $98,000 is very unlikely.” The rising Kijun-sen, itself a 26-period mid-point, has in effect ratcheted support higher with every week of sideways trade.

6月9日關閉的原因是當前範圍的緊密度。 Cat博士承認：“目前尚不清楚哪個將首先出現，$ 99,000或109,000美元，這並不重要。”但他明確地說，“任何更深層次的回顧低於$ 98,000的不可能是不太可能的。”上升的Kijun-Sen本身是26個週期的中點，實際上在每週的側向貿易中都會更加更高的支持。

Macro traders will also be keeping an eye out for the May US CPI reading on 11 June—two days after the anticipated TK cross—and the Fed’s rate decision on 17-18 June. With real-yield expectations still dominating risk-asset positioning, any upside surprise in core inflation could delay the confirmation of bullish chart patterns.

宏觀交易者還將注意6月11日5月11日的美國CPI閱讀（預期TK十字架後的兩天）以及6月17日至8日的美聯儲決定。隨著真實收益的期望仍然主導了風險資產的定位，核心通貨膨脹的任何上行驚喜都可能延遲對看漲圖表模式的確認。

For now, the market remains range-bound. As long as $99,000 holds on a closing basis and the Chikou-span (lagging line) stays above price, Dr Cat sees little reason to abandon an all-time-high thesis.

目前，市場仍然存在。只要有99,000美元的閉幕式，Chikou-Span（滯後線）的價格就超過了價格，Cat博士幾乎沒有理由放棄歷史上的論文。

“If by the time of the cross the price is still holding above Tenkan Sen … if ATH is not seen by then, it should be seen pretty much immediately,” he wrote.

他寫道：“如果到十字架時，價格仍在tenkan sen上方……如果那時看不到ATH，應該立即看到它。”

Whether that confidence will survive the macro calendar is another question. What is clear is that both discretionary traders and systematic funds are marking 9 June as the moment the chart either validates the 2025 bull cycle—or postpones it once more.

這種信心是否會在宏日曆中倖存下來是另一個問題。很明顯，酌處權交易員和系統基金都在6月9日標記，因為圖表要么驗證2025年公牛週期，要么再次推遲。

At press time, BTC traded in a narrow range around $103,721.

發稿時，BTC的交易範圍約為103,721美元。