为什么比特币将飙升至新纪录：Van Straten

CoinDesk 高级分析师 James Van Straten 认为，即使在首次突破 77,000 美元之后，比特币的价格看起来也很可能会继续飙升。

CoinDesk senior analyst James Van Straten thinks bitcoin's price will keep surging after hitting $77,000 for the first time.

CoinDesk 高级分析师 James Van Straten 认为，比特币价格在首次触及 77,000 美元后将继续飙升。

Bitcoin (BTC) keeps hitting new highs, propelled above $77,000 on Nov. 8 for the first time ever by optimism in the crypto industry over Donald Trump winning the U.S. presidential election.

由于加密行业对唐纳德·特朗普赢得美国总统大选的乐观情绪，比特币 (BTC) 不断创下新高，并于 11 月 8 日首次突破 77,000 美元。

Other cryptocurrencies are soaring, too. Ethereum's ether (ETH), for instance, just surpassed $3,000 for the first time since August.

其他加密货币也在飙升。例如，以太坊 (ETH) 的价格自 8 月以来首次突破 3,000 美元。

But bitcoin plowed through prior highs on Nov. 6 ($76,400), Nov. 7 ($76,900) and Nov. 8 ($77,200), instead of selling off. Gold and U.S. equities are doing the same thing, hitting highs and then breaking them.

但比特币在 11 月 6 日（76,400 美元）、11 月 7 日（76,900 美元）和 11 月 8 日（77,200 美元）突破之前的高点，而不是遭到抛售。黄金和美国股市也在做同样的事情，先创高点，然后突破高点。

This illustrates how strong the current rally is — and how likely it is to continue.

这说明了当前反弹的强劲程度以及持续下去的可能性。

Bitcoin's Google search interest is way below highs

比特币的谷歌搜索热度远低于高位

The bitcoin rally can keep going due to several factors. First, people searching Google for the term “bitcoin” still shows relatively low interest in the cryptocurrency. Searches were considerably higher in November 2021 and March 2024, so, even though search interest has perked up in the past week, this suggests we are far away from market euphoria.

由于多种因素，比特币的涨势能够持续下去。首先，在谷歌上搜索“比特币”一词的人们对加密货币的兴趣仍然相对较低。 2021 年 11 月和 2024 年 3 月的搜索量大幅增加，因此，尽管搜索兴趣在过去一周有所上升，但这表明我们距离市场欣欣向荣还很远。

CoinDesk has been monitoring profit-taking over the past few weeks. Are investors cashing in as bitcoin soars?

过去几周，CoinDesk 一直在监控获利回吐情况。随着比特币的飙升，投资者是否正在兑现？

They are. Glassnode data shows that on Nov. 6, the day after the U.S. election, $3.5 billion of profit was realized as bitcoin jumped from $68,000 to $76,000, while the total for the next two days was $3.2 billion.

他们是。 Glassnode数据显示，11月6日，即美国大选后的第二天，比特币从6.8万美元跃升至7.6万美元，实现了35亿美元的利润，而接下来两天的利润总额为32亿美元。

However, even though this may seem like a lot, it's tiny compared with prior all-time highs. In March, when bitcoin finally rose above its 2021 record, profit-taking soared to $10 billion. Throughout the 2021 bull run, it got as high as $6 billion.

然而，尽管这看起来很多，但与之前的历史高点相比还是很小的。今年 3 月，当比特币最终突破 2021 年的最高纪录时，获利回吐飙升至 100 亿美元。在整个 2021 年牛市中，它的价值高达 60 亿美元。

It was even higher in 2017 — sometimes around $4.6 billion — when bitcoin records were around $20,000. Current profit-taking isn't even topping that despite bitcoin's price being far higher.

2017 年这一数字甚至更高，有时约为 46 亿美元，当时比特币的记录约为 20,000 美元。尽管比特币的价格要高得多，但当前的获利了结甚至还没有超过这一水平。

Bitcoin has been stuck between $50,000 and $70,000 for seven months. Despite breaking out of that range, investors are patiently waiting for higher prices.

七个月以来，比特币一直徘徊在 50,000 美元至 70,000 美元之间。尽管突破了该区间，投资者仍在耐心等待更高的价格。

Bitcoin is still below the inflation-adjusted record

比特币仍低于通胀调整后的记录

Using inflation from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, you can measure how much purchasing power has been lost versus previous years. Bitcoin's November 2021 record of around $69,000 converts to about $78,000 in today's U.S. dollars, barely above its current price.

使用美国劳工统计局的通货膨胀率，您可以衡量与前几年相比购买力损失了多少。比特币在 2021 年 11 月创下的约 69,000 美元的纪录，换算成今天的美元价格约为 78,000 美元，仅略高于当前价格。

Investors may want more for their bitcoin on an inflation-adjusted basis.

经通胀调整后，投资者可能希望获得更多比特币。