在乐观情绪减半的情况下，比特币的历史性反弹仍在继续

随着市场消化最近的减半事件，比特币价格周二触及 67,100 美元，然后回落。在 67,100 美元上方盘整可能会导致价格上涨至 72,000 美元至 74,000 美元区间，而下行逆转可能会导致回落至 60,000 美元。减半后，比特币的供应增长已低于黄金，这加剧了加密货币投资者的看涨情绪。

Bitcoin's Meteoric Rise Continues, Halving Event Spurs Optimism

比特币持续暴涨，减半事件激发乐观情绪

In the face of market volatility, Bitcoin's upward trajectory remains undeterred. Early Tuesday morning, the cryptocurrency briefly surpassed $67,100, testing the 50-day moving average before retreating slightly. According to Alex Kuptsikevich, an analyst at broker FxPro, this calm may be deceptive and could swiftly dissipate. He emphasizes that consolidation above $67,100 could pave the way for a surge to the $72,000 to $74,000 range, while a downside reversal could swiftly lead to a retracement to the $60,000 area.

面对市场波动，比特币的上涨轨迹仍然没有受到阻碍。周二早间，加密货币短暂突破 67,100 美元，测试 50 日移动均线，然后小幅回落。经纪商 FxPro 分析师 Alex Kuptsikevich 表示，这种平静可能具有欺骗性，并且可能会迅速消散。他强调，在 67,100 美元上方盘整可能为飙升至 72,000 美元至 74,000 美元区间铺平道路，而下行逆转可能会迅速导致回撤至 60,000 美元区域。

The market is still processing Bitcoin's halving event last Friday, a pre-determined alteration to the crypto's monetary policy that halves the issuance of new tokens. This adjustment has further escalated Bitcoin's scarcity, placing it on par with gold, a commodity often touted as "digital gold." Gold prices have recently receded from record highs, with gold futures experiencing their steepest dollar decline since 2021 on Monday and shedding another 1% on Tuesday.

市场仍在处理上周五比特币减半事件，这是对加密货币政策的预先确定的改变，将新代币的发行量减半。这一调整进一步加剧了比特币的稀缺性，使其与黄金这种经常被吹捧为“数字黄金”的商品持平。金价近期已从历史高位回落，黄金期货周一经历了自 2021 年以来最大幅度的美元跌幅，周二又下跌 1%。

Yassine Elmandjra, director of digital assets at asset manager ARK, notes that the supply growth of Bitcoin has "halved" for the fourth time in history, decreasing from ~1.8% at an annual rate to ~0.9%. Consequently, Bitcoin's supply growth has fallen below that of gold, estimated to be ~1.7% in 2023, on a long-term basis.

资产管理公司 ARK 数字资产总监 Yassine Elmandjra 指出，比特币的供应增长历史上第四次“减半”，从年增长率约 1.8% 降至约 0.9%。因此，从长期来看，比特币的供应增长已低于黄金，预计 2023 年约为 1.7%。

Crypto enthusiasts are optimistic that limiting the supply of new Bitcoin, coupled with soaring demand from new spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), will propel prices even higher. Historically, Bitcoin has exhibited strong performance leading up to halving events and in the subsequent months. However, some analysts caution that the recent halving witnessed an extraordinary outperformance, which could potentially set the stage for disappointment.

加密货币爱好者乐观地认为，限制新比特币的供应，加上新现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）需求的飙升，将推动价格进一步走高。从历史上看，比特币在减半事件之前以及随后的几个月中表现出了强劲的表现。然而，一些分析师警告说，最近的减半见证了非凡的表现，这可能会令人失望。

Elmandjra emphasizes that Bitcoin's halving has occurred during prolonged bull market runs since its inception 15 years ago. While past performance is not a guarantee of future results, in the 12 months following the three previous halvings, Bitcoin's price has appreciated by a staggering range of ~285% to ~8,478.2%, averaging ~3,108%.

Elmandjra 强调，比特币减半发生在自 15 年前诞生以来的长期牛市运行期间。虽然过去的表现并不能保证未来的结果，但在前三次减半后的 12 个月内，比特币的价格涨幅惊人，幅度约为 285% 至 8,478.2%，平均约为 3,108%。

Beyond Bitcoin, Ether – the second-largest crypto by market cap – dipped 1% to $3,170. Smaller tokens experienced gains, with Solana rising 1% and Ripple advancing 3%. Memecoins faced weakness, with Dogecoin and Shiba Inu each declining 1%.

除比特币外，市值第二大加密货币以太币下跌 1%，至 3,170 美元。较小的代币上涨，Solana 上涨 1%，Ripple 上涨 3%。 Memecoin 面临疲软，Dogecoin 和 Shiba Inu 各下跌 1%。