市场力量占据主导地位，比特币减半并非事件

比特币最近的“减半”事件对其价格影响很小，因为行业专家将加密货币的表现归因于更广泛的金融市场动态和地缘政治不确定性。尽管有人预计比特币价格会像过去的减半事件一样飙升，但比特币的波动有限，分析师指出，比特币与传统市场情绪的相关性越来越大，而减半前后零售交易活动的影响力正在减弱。

Bitcoin Unfazed by Halving Event, Market Sentiment Remains Paramount

比特币并未受到减半事件的影响，市场情绪仍然至关重要

London, United Kingdom - The highly anticipated "halving" event for Bitcoin, a significant change to its underlying technology, has had a negligible impact on its price, as industry experts emphasize the cryptocurrency's susceptibility to broader financial market trends and geopolitical events.

英国伦敦 - 备受期待的比特币“减半”事件是其基础技术的重大变化，但对其价格的影响微乎其微，因为行业专家强调加密货币对更广泛的金融市场趋势和地缘政治事件的敏感性。

This "halving," which occurred on Saturday at approximately 0014 GMT, involves a reduction in the rate at which new Bitcoins are created. It occurs every four years, and some enthusiasts had anticipated a price surge, citing historical gains after previous halvings.

这次“减半”发生在周六格林威治标准时间 0014 左右，涉及新比特币创建速度的降低。它每四年发生一次，一些爱好者预计价格会飙升，理由是之前减半后的历史涨幅。

However, as of Monday afternoon, Bitcoin's price remained largely unchanged, hovering around $66,300. It had experienced a modest gain of 1.2% last week and a further 3.4% increase on Monday, but its broader movement has been characterized by indecision since reaching an all-time high of $73,794 last month.

然而，截至周一下午，比特币价格基本保持不变，徘徊在 66,300 美元左右。该股上周小幅上涨 1.2%，周一进一步上涨 3.4%，但自上个月触及历史高点 73,794 美元以来，其整体走势一直犹豫不决。

"The geopolitical developments ongoing at the moment are exerting a greater influence than any impact from the halving. In particular, the perceived easing of tensions between Iran and Israel," remarked Mick Roche, senior trader at Zodia Markets, the cryptocurrency arm of Standard Chartered.

渣打银行加密货币部门 Zodia Markets 的高级交易员米克·罗奇 (Mick Roche) 表示：“目前正在发生的地缘政治事态发展所产生的影响比减半带来的影响更大。特别是伊朗和以色列之间紧张局势的缓和。” 。

Global equity markets staged a recovery on Monday as investors retreated from defensive positions adopted due to fears of a broader conflict in the Middle East.

全球股市周一出现复苏，投资者因担心中东发生更广泛的冲突而放弃防御性立场。

Eric Demuth, CEO of Bitpanda, an Austrian cryptocurrency exchange, observed that Bitcoin's correlation with broader market sentiment has intensified, and there is no discernible pattern of retail trading activity surrounding the halving.

奥地利加密货币交易所 Bitpanda 首席执行官埃里克·德穆斯 (Eric Demuth) 观察到，比特币与更广泛市场情绪的相关性已经增强，围绕减半的散户交易活动没有明显的模式。

"Cryptocurrencies have become increasingly akin to stocks. The individuals trading stocks and technology stocks are also engaged in cryptocurrency trading," he explained.

“加密货币变得越来越类似于股票。交易股票和科技股的个人也从事加密货币交易，”他解释道。

Excitement surrounding the potential regulatory approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States contributed to Bitcoin's rebound last year following a series of setbacks in 2022.

围绕美国现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 可能获得监管机构批准的兴奋情绪，促使比特币在 2022 年经历一系列挫折后于去年反弹。

According to Ben Laidler, global markets strategist at eToro, the focus for Bitcoin now shifts towards "institutionalisation." While retail investors currently dominate Bitcoin, Laidler anticipates that future regulatory developments could facilitate the adoption of Bitcoin by companies, banks, and central banks.

eToro 全球市场策略师 Ben Laidler 表示，比特币的焦点现在转向“制度化”。虽然散户投资者目前主导比特币，但莱德勒预计未来的监管发展可能会促进公司、银行和中央银行采用比特币。

Despite their recent surge, cryptocurrencies remain a niche asset class, with their combined value estimated at approximately $2.5 trillion by CoinGecko, a market tracker. Regulators continue to express caution, emphasizing their speculative nature, inherent risk, and limited practical applications.

尽管最近加密货币大幅上涨，但它仍然是一种利基资产类别，市场跟踪机构 CoinGecko 估计其总价值约为 2.5 万亿美元。监管机构继续表示谨慎，强调其投机性质、固有风险和有限的实际应用。

The cryptocurrency market is also awaiting the US Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) decision on spot ETFs for Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency. However, both Demuth and Roche expressed skepticism that such approval would materialize in May, as had been previously anticipated.

加密货币市场也在等待美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 对第二大加密货币以太币现货 ETF 的决定。然而，Demuth 和 Roche 都对这种批准能否如之前预期的那样在 5 月份实现表示怀疑。