由于避险情绪和美联储决策迫在眉睫，比特币跌破 6 万美元

比特币在过去 24 小时内暴跌 6.3%，周二跌破 60,000 美元，创下该加密货币自 2022 年 11 月以来的最大月度跌幅。更广泛的加密市场也受到影响，以太坊和其他山寨币下跌。在金融市场的避险情绪和对美联储今天悬而未决的利率决定的担忧中，10x Research 预计抛售压力将增加，预测价格范围为 52,000 美元至 55,000 美元。

Bitcoin Tumbles Below $60,000 Amidst Risk-Averse Sentiment and Imminent Fed Decision

由于避险情绪和美联储即将做出决定，比特币跌破 60,000 美元

The cryptocurrency market has witnessed a sharp decline in recent days, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping below the crucial $60,000 support level. As of Wednesday morning, BTC hovered around $57,700, marking a 6.3% decline in the past 24 hours. This significant drop follows a disappointing April for Bitcoin, which recorded its first monthly loss since August.

最近几天，加密货币市场急剧下跌，比特币（BTC）跌破了 60,000 美元的关键支撑位。截至周三上午，BTC 徘徊在 57,700 美元附近，过去 24 小时内下跌 6.3%。此次大幅下跌是在比特币 4 月份令人失望的表现之后出现的，比特币录得自 8 月份以来的首次月度下跌。

The broader financial markets have been gripped by a risk-off sentiment as investors eagerly await the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate decision and press conference later today. The Fed's decision will likely influence the direction of the cryptocurrency market, with expectations of another interest rate hike casting a shadow over riskier assets like Bitcoin.

由于投资者热切等待今天晚些时候美联储的利率决定和新闻发布会，更广泛的金融市场受到避险情绪的影响。美联储的决定可能会影响加密货币市场的走向，再次加息的预期给比特币等风险较高的资产蒙上了阴影。

The wider crypto market, as measured by the CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), has also suffered losses, with almost 9% wiped out before some recovery was witnessed. Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, slipped below $3,000, while dogecoin (DOGE) led the decline among major altcoins with a 9% drop. Solana (SOL) and avalanche (AVAX) both lost around 6%.

以 CoinDesk 20 指数 (CD20) 衡量的更广泛的加密货币市场也遭受了损失，在出现一些复苏之前，损失了近 9%。市值第二大加密货币以太币 (ETH) 跌破 3,000 美元，而狗狗币 (DOGE) 在主要山寨币中领跌，跌幅达 9%。 Solana (SOL) 和 Avalanche (AVAX) 均下跌约 6%。

Analysts have attributed the recent market weakness to several factors, including concerns about slower economic growth and persistent inflation in the U.S. This stagflationary environment has dampened hopes for an interest rate cut by the Fed, adding to the risk-averse sentiment.

分析师将近期市场疲软归因于多种因素，包括对美国经济增长放缓和持续通胀的担忧。这种滞胀环境削弱了美联储降息的希望，加剧了避险情绪。

Digital asset research firm 10x Research predicts further downside for Bitcoin, citing selling pressure towards the $52,000 level based on outflows from U.S. spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The firm estimates that the average entry price for U.S. Bitcoin ETF holders is $57,300, which could provide support, but below that level, further ETF unwinding could exacerbate the decline.

数字资产研究公司 10x Research 预测比特币将进一步下跌，理由是美国现货交易所交易基金 (ETF) 资金流出导致比特币面临 52,000 美元水平的抛售压力。该公司估计，美国比特币 ETF 持有者的平均入场价格为 57,300 美元，这可能会提供支撑，但低于该水平，ETF 的进一步平仓可能会加剧跌势。

10x CEO Markus Thielen suggests that the market may have been inflated by short-term investors who pushed prices higher ahead of the Bitcoin halving on April 20th. With this event now behind us, he expects continued unwinding of ETF positions as average buyers find themselves underwater below $57,300, potentially driving prices towards the $52,000/$55,000 target range.

10x 首席执行官 Markus Thielen 表示，短期投资者可能在 4 月 20 日比特币减半之前推高价格，导致市场膨胀。随着这一事件的结束，他预计 ETF 头寸将继续平仓，因为普通买家发现自己的价格低于 57,300 美元，这可能会推动价格向 52,000 美元/55,000 美元的目标区间移动。

The imminent Fed decision casts a significant shadow over the cryptocurrency market. A more hawkish stance from the Fed, signaling continued interest rate hikes and a prolonged fight against inflation, could further dampen risk appetite and weigh on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. However, if the Fed takes a more dovish approach, acknowledging economic headwinds and hinting at a slowdown in rate hikes, the market could potentially see a relief rally.

美联储即将做出的决定给加密货币市场蒙上了巨大的阴影。美联储采取更加强硬的立场，表明将继续加息并长期对抗通胀，可能会进一步抑制风险偏好，并打压比特币和其他加密货币。然而，如果美联储采取更加鸽派的态度，承认经济逆风并暗示加息放缓，市场可能会出现缓解性反弹。

As the Fed's decision approaches, investors remain cautious, closely monitoring the situation and awaiting clarity on the central bank's policy outlook. The cryptocurrency market is likely to remain volatile in the short term, with Bitcoin's performance serving as a key barometer of risk sentiment and the broader macroeconomic environment.

随着美联储决定的临近，投资者仍保持谨慎态度，密切关注局势并等待美联储政策前景的明确。加密货币市场短期内可能会保持波动，比特币的表现将成为风险情绪和更广泛宏观经济环境的关键晴雨表。